14:25 Lingfield
Tuesday 31 January 2017
All13:5014:2515:0015:3016:0016:30
Happy 18th Birthday Ellie Chambers Handicap Hurdle
- 4YO plus | Class 4 | 2m | Heavy | 7 Runners | Turf | Weighed In
- Off time: 14:26 | Winning time: 4m 16.22s
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
4lb lower than when winning at Taunton almost a year ago and has twice scored over C&D. All three successes have been on heavy ground, marking him out as a leading player once again today.
All three career wins have included good in the going description, so he may need that to produce his best, although he was placed on heavy in Ireland earlier in his career. 2lb lower his last success and not ruled out.
Twice a winner when conditions have been described as they are today and put together a hat-trick in the autumn. However, she starts from 10lb higher than her best winning mark, making this a tough task. Given her proven stamina, forcing tactics may see her to best effect.
Showed signs of a return to form when a two-and-a-half length second over C&D (heavy) in December, though a 4lb rise for that makes him less appealing this time.
Both wins have been with good in the going description and as this is his first start on forecasted heavy ground he very much has to prove he handles it. Has failed to show anything in four starts, though the handicapper has now relented and a much better effort not ruled out.
50 per cent of his ten career wins have been on heavy ground, the last three being over C&D. Now at the veteran stage, but six of those successes have come from a higher mark than today's, so can't rule him out and a market check is advised.
Last success was over 2m 3.5f here (heavy) in December 2014 and clearly all has not been well for the best part of two years now. Has that lengthy absence to overcome, but has won when fresh.
Forecasts
Sea Wall (2/1), Darwins Theory (7/2), Annie Alainn (5/1), Dormouse (6/1), Honey Pound (7/1), Rocky Elsom (8/1), Kublai (20/1)
This has the look of a Lingfield heavy ground course specialist invitational event, with a few of them proven over both C&D and on this ground and on this occasion we will take top weight SEA WALL to make it a third such success. The handicapper has given him a squeak this time and he can capitalise. Old man of the party Dormouse should again give a very good account, while Annie Alainn remains interesting if Paddy Brennan chooses to make use of her proven stamina.
1. Sea Wall
2. Annie Alainn
3. Dormouse
Prize Money
1st: £3,899.002nd: £1,145.003rd: £572.004th: £286.00
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