16:05 Warwick

Saturday 14 January 2017

All12:4013:1513:5014:2515:0015:3516:05

Betfred TV 'Newcomers' Standard Open NH Flat Race

  • 4YO to 6YO  |   Class 6  |   2m  |   Soft (Heavy in places)  |   14 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 16:06  |   Winning time: 3m 57.1s
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The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
Horse silk
50/1
Cost €10,000 as a three-year-old and may deal with the softer conditions better than some based on his pedigree. May want further with time but respected for a trainer who has a good record in bumpers.
2
Horse silk
20/1
Cost €18,000 as a three-year-old and trainer does well around here but she's 0-5 in bumpers over the last 12 months.
3
Horse silk
Dollnamix58
Age: 6|  Weight: 11-5| J: S Bowen| T: H Fry
7/1
Should deal with soft conditions and trainer has an excellent record in this sphere but he only has a 5% record at this track and that's low for such a respected trainer. Jockey has a fine record at this track.
5
Horse silk
Kaveman
Age: 5|  Weight: 11-5| J: J E Moore| T: G & J Moore
1/1
Potentially smart on pedigree (related to several winners) and jockey booking an obvious plus. Likely to be of warm order in the market but trainer hasn't got the best record in bumpers.
Expensive €60,000 purchase and jockey booking looks positive. Trainer has a very low strike rate at this course though (around 3%) so others preferred.
7
Horse silk
28/1
Likely to want plenty further than this and will most likely need more time.
Jockey has an excellent strike rate (nearly 30%) in bumpers and cost €18,000 as a three-year old. Trainer has a respectable record in this sphere so respect warranted.
9
Horse silk
16/1
Tongue strap on debut slightly off-putting. but related to plenty of winners. Trainer has an excellent record in bumpers so market check advised.
10
Horse silk
8/1
Cost €5,000 as a yearling and €50,000 as a three-year-old. May want further with time but trainers excellent record in these races makes him hard to rule out.
12
Horse silk
16/1
Cost €3,000 as a yearling and €16,000 as a three-year-old. Trainer not known for his bumper winners and they usually come on markedly for their first run.
13
Horse silk
Echnaton13
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-7| J: L P Aspell| T: L Wadham
16/1
Cost €16,000 as a yearling and €50,000 as a three-year-old. Related to some winners but will probably want further. Interesting to see what the market makes of him as trainer has a good record in these races.
14
Horse silk
100/1
Trainer not had a bumper winner for well over a year and plenty of others make more appeal on pedigree.
15
Horse silk
50/1
Cost €8,500 last year. Trainer's has a good record in these races and this looks about the right kind of trip on debut. Interesting runner.
16
Horse silk
Sir Egbert29
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-7| J: T Scudamore| T: T Lacey
16/1
Trainer has a respectable record in these races and jockey booking is an obvious positive but likely to want further and more time.

Non-Runners

4
Horse silk
Faint Hope
Weight: 11-5|  Age: 5
T: G Harris  J: David England
NR
11
Horse silk
Amoola Gold
Weight: 10-7|  Age: 4
T: D Skelton  J: Bridget Andrews
NR

Forecasts

Kaveman (1/1), Paisley Park (6/1), Dollnamix (7/1), Well Smitten (8/1), Amoola Gold (8/1), Sir Egbert (16/1), Battle Of Ideas (16/1), The Floating Bear (16/1), Echnaton (16/1), Destined To Shine (20/1), Project Mars (28/1), Rock And Roll King (33/1), Point Of Principle (50/1), A L'asseau (50/1), Faint Hope (66/1), Our Young Un (100/1)

Verdict

A typically tricky bumper with 16 debutantes to sort through but a chance is taken on ROCK AND ROLL KING. His jockey has a remarkable record in this sphere and he may be very good value for that 7 lb claim. Trainer also does well in these races so plenty to like about his chance. Well Smitten cost a pretty penny and his connections should always be respected in bumpers and similar can be said for Echnaton. Any support for either of those could be telling. 1. Rock And Roll King 2. Well Smitten 3. Echnaton

Prize Money

1st: £1,949.002nd: £572.003rd: £286.004th: £143.00

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