15:50 Newcastle
Friday 30 December 2016
All12:5013:2013:5014:2014:5015:2015:5016:20
sunbets.co.uk Handicap
- 3YO plus | Class 6 | 1m 5y | Standard | 11 Runners | Allweather
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
A maiden in 20 career starts so far, and absent since mid July. Others with more compelling claims, despite falling to a mark of 66, which he was a short head second from at Pontefract back in April.
Struggled to get his head in front in Class 4 and 5 handicaps this year, but his last two successes in January and April 2015 came in this class 6 grade, including here (on turf). However, needs to improve significantly on two mid division finishes here on tapeta in October.
Has thrived at this track on this surface over the past couple of months. A runner up in November in a race that yielded subsequent winners, she was a decisive scorer from Swansway & Bromance (run in 3.20pm race) here later that month. Narrowly denied again since, remains competitive from a 3lb higher (career high) mark.
Off for eleven months after scoring at Wolverhampton at around this time last year, but behind and eased inside the final furlong when ninth of 10 on his return at Chelmsford last month. A course winner (on turf) from a stable to respect.
Off the mark at the sixth attempt in a weak Median Auction Maiden Fillies Stakes over seven furlongs here in early November. Her main market rival ran below par on that occasion and faces a much more difficult task here stepping back into Handicap company.
A maiden after seven career starts run over a variety of trips ranging from eight furlongs to a mile and a half. Sole experience of Tapeta coming here in the opening race on this surface back in May when sixth of 11 to Tap The Honey.
A winner of two races in 29 career starts (one on turf at Ayr and the other on the AW at Wolverhampton). Now 6lbs lower (runs off 59) than when three quarter lengths second over seven furlongs at Musselburgh in October. Chance stepped up to this trip for the first time in quite a while.
Placed on his last four starts on turf, including when successful from a mark of 49 at Chepstow in August. Absent since late October, and raised a further 1lb to a mark of 57, but a dual Wolverhampton winner in the past (albeit not since 2014).
Likeable old timer who often makes life difficult for herself finishing well from off the pace. Zero from 14 on the AW, but a seven time winner on turf (including three times here), and in the placings on her last three starts here on tapeta.
A regular on the Scottish circuit over the past 18 months having raced almost exclusively at three tracks. Back from a four month break when well behind Lozah (second) when 11th of 14 here earlier this month.
Finished last on five of her 11 career starts to date. Takes a step up from six furlongs today but makes little appeal whatsoever.
Forecasts
Lozah (2/1), Hernando Torres (9/2), The Magic Pencil (5/1), Newmarket Warrior (7/1), Oak Bluffs (8/1), Crystallographer (12/1), Who's Shirl (18/1), Sir Lancelott (20/1), Poor Duke (25/1), Let Right Be Done (40/1), Jessie Allan (200/1)
LOZAH holds the key to this race, and whilst on paper she was beaten at short odds off a three pound lower mark last time, she did perform with credit in what was arguably a stronger race than this division. Her chance could be highlighted by positive showings from Swansway and Bromance half an hour earlier and with a consistent level of course form to her name, she's the selection. A potential danger could be Oak Bluffs, assuming that the Richard Fahey trained gelding can handle this step back up in trip. He's becoming dangerously handicapped, and has solid form here on turf (September 2015), whilst any market confidence for Hernando Torres should be noted.
1. Lozah
2. Oak Bluffs
3. Hernando Torres
Prize Money
1st: £3,234.002nd: £962.003rd: £481.004th: £240.00
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