Breaking It Down: Murt Khan’s horse racing tips for Saturday's action

Mad Jack Mytton

Pro punter and National Hunt expert Murt Khan has a 12/1 shot among five selections for today's racing.

Recommended bets: Breaking It Down

1pt win Dica in 3.40 Cartmel at 7/2 - good chance given 102 mark

1pt win Miss Mackie in 3.40 Cartmel at 12/1 - unexposed & should be more competitive than odds suggest

1pt win Apache Jack in 4.15 at Cartmel at 9/2 - starts life with new trainer & has a strong history

0.5pt win Mad Jack Mytton in 2.10 Market Rasen at 13/2 - classy horse looks decent value

0.5pt win Tangolan in 3.55 Market Rasen at 13/2 - looks very well handicapped

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3.40 Cartmel preview

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Yourholidayisover is a consistent horse in this grade and comes off a fair run on the level over a mile and a half at Chepstow.

He's likely to appreciate a decent-run race and that could be provided by DICA, who has put together three solid runs for the grade and has every chance of adding another victory to his name off a mark of 102.

Another horse who likes coming off the pace is Endeavour. He has been backed overnight but he doesn't excite me at odds of 7/2 - it's hard to knock his last two runs.  However, there has to be a slight concern that this race may come to soon after his second at Southwell.

The most unexposed horse is MISS MACKIE and in a race of this quality this type of horse is always worth a double take.

Last year she ran a couple of fair races over hurdles off higher marks. On her first start this year she ran keen enough and that run would've blown the cobwebs away. Next time she was well supported but never really got in a blow.  

Last time out, on her chase debut, she had no chance at the weights and although beaten a long way it was a reasonably-encouraging effort. Her jumping wasn't the greatest but she showed ability to keep tabs with far superior horses for a long way.

She jumped left that day so Cartmel should help her in that sphere. She handles a bit of dig in the ground and running in a handicap off her true mark, she could prove to be a lot more competitive than her odds imply.

4.15 Cartmel preview

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Shady Glen will have his supporters but he's not a horse I would put my full trust in just yet.

Brother Scott is a consistent type of late and a repetition of his last run will see him go close.

APACHE JACK is a horse of interest. Three years ago he finished third at the Cheltenham Festival in the Grade 1 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle.

Over the past year he has been regressive and has now dropped to a lowly mark of 115. The main factor for having a bet on him today is that it's his first start for trainer Steven Crawford. If he shows any glimpses of his old form he could outclass these.

2.10 Market Rasen preview

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MAD JACK MYTTON is a horse who has always possessed a touch of class.

He lost a bit of confidence in chases and had been running over a variety of trips. Last time out he dropped back to the minimum trip and won comfortably.

I don't think a mark of 137 is beyond him and 13/2 looks fair value.

3.55 Market Rasen preview

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TANGOLAN seems overpriced simply based on the fact he is very well handicapped on his chase form.

He's a horse whose confidence is sky high and at 13/2 is worth a small play.

Where to watch on TV: RacingUK

Follow Murt on Twitter: @purple_n_gold1

 Breaking It Down P&L: +17.52pts

July: -2.38pts
June: -10.10pts
May: +30pts 

Posted at 0900 BST on 22/07/17.

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