1st Class Logistics Novices' Chase

Age: 9| Weight: 11-4| J: Bryony Frost| T: P F Nicholls| OR: 148

Has a most peculiar profile having run three times over fences but falling in the other three. Not actually a bad jumper but keeps getting punished for his mistakes. Leading and going well when tipping up last week and big chance if he stands up.

Form: 11/F-1FF

Moonlighter²¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-4| J: David Noonan| T: Nick Williams| OR: 143| C

Heavy ground winner here over extended 2m before finding Warwick Grade 2 an altogether tougher nut to crack. Stayed 2m3f over hurdles so longer trip maybe a plus but others have stronger form.

Form: 7-U2U14

Senior Citizen¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 11-4| J: Adrian Heskin| T: A King| OR: 134

Good ground winner over hurdles gained first chase success latest when winning a 2m5f Fakenham contest by 11L on soft. On the upgrade but up against it versus the big two.

Form: 6406-21

Tidal Flow^p⁶³

Age: 7| Weight: 11-4| J: R Johnson| T: P Hobbs & J White| OR: 146| BF| C| D

Looked a novice to follow when dismantling his rivals at Uttoxeter over 2m4f on heavy ground. Found only Nicky Henderson trained Burbank too strong here next over 2m6f and leading claims especially with main rival so error prone.

Form: 642-312

Supremely Lucky^t1⁷²

Second in all three chases although all lower key small field events late last year. Probably has the least persuasive form on offer but had a wind-op since last seen.

Form: 421-222

Forecasts

Master Tommytucker (11/8), Tidal Flow (5/2), Moonlighter (4/1), Supremely Lucky (8/1), Senior Citizen (10/1)

Backing a horse who has fallen in three of his four chase starts wouldn't normally be policy but exception is made for MASTER TOMMYTUCKER because the form of his success was the best on offer and he still held every chance when falling last week in a stronger race. If disaster strikes again it ought to be Tidal Flow who takes advantage and in these conditions he can give the selection plenty to think about even if he does have a clear round. Moonlighter looks best of the rest.