15:30 Sedgefield Thu 7 November 2019
Looking on a very good mark on the best of his form, incliuding a C&D won here a couple of years ago; would have needed run here last month after long absence but yard still in the doldrums, and on that, hard to fancy here.
Steadily progressive over the past year and turned in another solid effort after almost six months off at Kelso in October, only giving best late; extra distance today here will help, handles soft ground, and has chances here.
Early unseat on chase debut at Huntingdon last time not exactly a plus point towards his chances here, but was a winning hurdler at this trip, has scope for fences, and yard having a good autumn. Ground fine, and not discounted in a winnable race.
Thrown in here on the best of his form but that was way back in 2015, and he's not been seen out for over 1000 days; ideally wants further but effective at this trip, and despite long absence, that mark makes him very tempting.
A regular around here, winning six times, and this sort of trip ideal for him; will strip fitter for a couple of recent outings and now just 2lb higher than last winning mark, so cannot be discounted at what is a home fixture for him.
Doesn't win very often but looks good when he does, as he jumps well and handles soft/heavy ground fine; however, tends to need a run to put him straight, and given he's not been out since April, is best watched today.
Two wins in 24 starts but on the plus side, they have both come at this venue; had a really good time of it in the spring and could be he's now found his feet, so a little more improvement not discounted, and he should be fitter for a recent outing.
Now 1lb lower than last winning mark (a win that came over this C&D) but the years are advancing and he's not shown enough in two starts this autumn to think he's up to wining this; yard out of form too.
Have to go back to 2016 to find her last win, and there's been some long absences between her runs after that, so may have had issues; not the worst effort over fences at Hexham given another long absence last month, and may yet do better. Risky.
One win in 25 starts rather tells it's own story, but in his defence, he has hit the frame three times in his last four starts and is probably capable of winning another; decent effort here when third last time, and place chances again on that.
Lightly raced 8yo that went close under similar conditions at Hexham two starts ago; moderate effort on latest start though, so that needs forgiving, but there might be a little more improvement to come over fences, and not totally ruled out.
Just the one win in 24 starts, that coming here over a longer trip last year; not seen out since finishing second at Market Rasen in May, likely to find this trip on the sharp side, and may well need the run in any case.
Last Year's Winner
|Grow Nasa Grow||7||10-7||13/8|
|T: P WinksJ: B S Hughes|
Mah Mate Bob (3/1), Lord Brendy (11/2), Black Kettle (6/1), Adherence (7/1), Two Hoots (7/1), Ripstick (11/1), Roxyfet (14/1), Scorpo (16/1), Burning Issues (18/1), Jolie Crickette (22/1), Maxed Out King (33/1), Frankie Ballou (40/1)
- Mah Mate Bob
- Lord Brendy
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