20:30 Newcastle Fri 25 October 2019

  • Bombardier Golden Beer Handicap (Class 7)
  • 1m 5y, Standard / Slow
  • 12 Runners
  • Winner£2,523.002nd£751.003rd£375.004th£188.00
  • Surface: Allweather
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 42.51sOff time:20:31:51
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1
(7)
49-7OR: 50
17/2

Strongest at Carlisle and a winner of back-to-back 6f handicaps there during July; has often fluffed the start since, again doing so at Musselburgh (7f, soft) last week when finishing a keeping on second to Forever A Lady; fair chance.

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2
(1)
49-7OR: 50
7/1

Yet to fulfil his potential (on pedigree); bought cheaply (£2,000) in November 2017; finished a well held handicap debut third to Perfect Swiss (a winner since) over C&D 18 days ago.

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3
(4)
59-6OR: 49CD
12/1

Took this race from a similar mark by the narrowest of margins last year (beating Miss Bates); was beaten 8L when finishing fifth of 14 to the handicap blot Perfect Swiss (Rebel State third) over C&D last week.

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4
(5)
69-5OR: 48D
9/2

No win since March 2018 and a very modest 1-25 on the AW overall; that said, his connections will no doubt gain added confidence from the fact he no longer has to face his nemesis Perfect Swiss; realistic place prospects.

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5
(6)
89-5OR: 48
20/1

More miss than hit since winning a January Lingfield claimer (6f) for Michael Wigham; continues to tumble in the weights - down a staggering 25lb since late January; no signs of an imminent revival; stablemate of Proceeding.

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6
(9)
49-5OR: 48
11/2

Lowly-rated maiden (0-10); flattered when finishing 5L third to Dawn Delight in a 6f course novice in January; stablemate of the regressive Deeds Not Words.

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7
(8)
79-4OR: 47C
10/1

A three-time course winner (7f) who has been unable to take advantage of a steady slide in the weights despite the overall positive form of trainer Alistair Whillans; makes his first foray into a Class 7 handicap.

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9
(2)
79-4OR: 47
11/1

Has placed C&D form, albeit is a 16-race AW maiden (5-39 on turf); generally below-par on turf for the vast majority of the calendar year; fairly difficult to fancy.

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11
(11)
79-3OR: 46D
16/1

Low-mileage on the AW (0-6) and has recent related form with the likes of Rebel State and High Fort; couldn't be totally discounted on that basis - also twice placed on turf (at or around 1m) in mid-summer.

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12
(12)
49-3OR: 46
5/1

Ran his best race to date when finishing a close third to Billy Wedge over 7f here earlier this month (on AW debut); feasibly could be suited by dropping back into a Class 7 handicap, yet this extra furlong does pose an obvious concern.

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13
(14)
89-3OR: 46
40/1

41-race maiden; 50-1 but wasn't entirely disgraced when fifth of 13 to Billy Wedge (The Retriever third) over 7f here earlier this month; nevertheless, it'll be very surprising if he's the solution to this low-grade handicap.

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14
(3)
39-2OR: 48
33/1

Gregorian filly with no worthwhile form; returned from a ten-month absence in a Wolverhampton maiden (7f) three weeks ago; makes her handicap debut off a lowly-mark in the basement grade (Class 7).

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Non-Runners

8
(13)
Top Offer30
109-4OR: 47
T: P MorrisJ: Megan Nicholls
10
(10)
Snooker Jim17
49-4OR: 47
T: Steph HollinsheadJ: R Havlin

Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
1Silk Mill Blue49-412/1Full Result
T: R M WhitakerJ: Phil Dennis

Betting

Forecast

Rebel State (9/2), The Retriever (5/1), Proceeding (11/2), High Fort (7/1), Snooker Jim (8/1), Tarnhelm (17/2), Gun Case (10/1), Top Offer (10/1), Mr Sundowner (11/1), Silk Mill Blue (12/1), Mr Cool Cash (16/1), Deeds Not Words (20/1), Santana Slew (33/1), Lord Rob (40/1)

Verdict

A low-grade finale. Rebel State has been on the receiving end of a couple of hammerings from Perfect Swiss, and although regarded as a place possible he wouldn't necessarily appeal as a future winner. Similar comments are also applicable to both Snooker Jim (0-21) and the upped-in-trip The Retriever. Therefore, the suggested advice is to opt for the top-weight TARNHELM who was twice a winner on turf at Carlisle during the summer (6f). With a tendency to place herself at a disadvantage courtesy of a traditional tardy start, this step up in trip could ultimately aid her chances. She's fully expected to be running on strongly past beaten horses come the finish.
  1. Tarnhelm
  2. Gun Case
  3. Rebel State

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