16:15 Newton Abbot Mon 29 July 2019

  • Happy 70th Birthday Paddy Par Inn Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)
  • 2m 167y, Good (Good to Firm in places)
  • 9 Runners
  • Winner£4,809.002nd£1,412.003rd£706.004th£353.005th£350.006th£350.007th£350.008th£350.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:4m 3.4sOff time:16:15:18
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
911-12OR: 109D
33/1

Far from the force he once was when with Ben Pauling (without a win since January 2016). Fifth over C&D last time on his second run for this yard he showed little that run coming soon after a heavy fall over fences; not hard to leave alone.

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2
511-8OR: 105
7/1

Very much went into reverse from his chasing debut in first-time blinkers last time failing to confirm the sound start he had made over fences. Quickly switched back to hurdles (2lb below last winning mark); not one to write off.

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3
Nabhanp,t25
711-8OR: 105
5/2

Ended a long losing run in any discipline with an Epsom Flat win last time (took advantage of a falling mark) having posted a good second to Chapmanshype (runs earlier) when last seen over hurdles. On an advantageous mark, hard to ignore claims.

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4
711-5OR: 102
9/1

Not yet hit the heights that he did for Dan Skelton (four-time hurdle winner) but is getting closer to that level. Ran his best race last time after a break over C&D (did best of those ridden near the pace); form of that race franked since.

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5
611-4OR: 101BF
18/1

Makes her GB/stable debut for a yard that do well with their Irish recruits although this nine-race maiden does have something to prove on form. Favourite when last seen in May (may have needed the run); handed a stiff mark for new connections.

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6
Ourmullionb,t8(ex 7)
511-3OR: 93CD
7/4

Fairly useful on the Flat he finally put all the pieces of the jigsaw together last time when appearing to be suited by positive tactics over C&D (jumping right throughout). Holds strong claims again despite the 7lb penalty; may need to jump better.

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7
610-12OR: 95
10/1

Unfortunate to bump into an improving sort when returning from wind surgery over C&D just over a year ago. Not seen since but now ridden by senior jockey (7lb claimer last time) with cheekpieces returning; worth noting any market positivity.

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8
810-11OR: 94D
25/1

Flat winner in a match back in March on the AW (2m) he's struggled to match even that modest performance level since then in the same sphere. His one start this year was hardly brimming with enthusiasm either; makes limited appeal.

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9
610-7OR: 90
16/1

Made more of an impact than her prior hurdles starts last time over 2m6f here and now makes her handicap debut. Not hard to see that more will be expected in this sphere off a lowly initial mark but the evidence for progress does look rather flimsy.

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Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
Tamarillo Grove1111-79/2
T: Mrs S LeechJ: Sean Houlihan

Betting

Forecast

Ourmullion (7/4), Nabhan (5/2), Mauricio (7/1), Excellent Team (9/1), Powerstown Park (10/1), Floral Queen (16/1), Our Nest Egg (18/1), Sea's Aria (25/1), Cyrius Moriviere (33/1)

Verdict

David Pipe has a strong chance in the previous race and he’ll be fancying his chances here also with Ourmullion still looking well handicapped despite his penalty as he bids to follow up his recent C&D win by 8L. He may well be hard to pull back if similar tactics are used but he might not get away with jumping right all the way again that chink in his armour providing a chance for NABHAN. Scoring on the Flat last time his Ffos Las second over hurdles reads well and he’s taken to add to his recent victory on the level back over timber. Excellent Team can’t be ignored on his last run with Powerstown Park one to watch despite the absence.
  1. Nabhan
  2. Ourmullion
  3. Excellent Team

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F: -

T: A M Balding

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F: 2-13911

T: J H M Gosden

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F: 11111

T: C Appleby

King Of Change

F: 22-12

T: R Hannon

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