14:30 Chepstow Thu 18 July 2019

  • Total Home UK Ltd Handicap (Class 6)
  • 7f 16y, Good to Firm (Good in places)
  • 14 Runners
  • Winner£2,782.002nd£828.003rd£414.004th£300.005th£300.006th£300.007th£300.008th£300.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 22.05sOff time:14:33:08
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1
(8)
Kafeelb,t8
89-9OR: 56D
10/1

On a very fair mark if he can recapture best form, and comes here off the back of a couple of reasonable efforts in similar company. Another change of headgear tried, good jockey takes a useful 5lb off, and he looks to hold a chance.

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2
(4)
59-9OR: 56D
4/1

Winner over 6f at Lingfield last time but does just about get 7f, slight concern that he might be happier on the all-weather rather than turf but this is not a strong event and has to come into calculations.

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3
(2)
79-7OR: 54
5/1

Wins in his turn and probably on a good mark if he can get it together, but this trip has to be a major concern, with wins coming at 1m. However, not been with yard long, and excellent jockey booking, so hard to dismiss.

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4
(11)
59-6OR: 53D
8/1

Well handicapped on old form and her midfield effort at Lingfield after a long absence last month wasn't terrible. Should come on for that and if so, with trip, track and ground ideal, might take a hand in the finish.

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6
(14)
69-2OR: 49D
6/1

Overall record of 2 wins from 37 starts doesn't inspire a lot of confidence but she went close to winning a couple of times in the spring and she's well enough handicapped if you're willing to forgive a couple of poor efforts in May. Risky.

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7
(15)
58-13OR: 46CD
7/2

One win in two starts at the track (and ran well on the other occasion), but came back off an absence to run well at Lingfield last month and she really wouldn't need a lot more than that to take a hand here. Conditions fine and good draw too.

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8
(9)
48-12OR: 45D
12/1

Just the one win in 16 starts but going nowhere quickly at present and although this drop back to 7f will help her cause (having not stayed 10f last two starts), others much more persuasive.

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9
(10)
88-12OR: 45D
20/1

Popped up off a much higher mark at Yarmouth around this time last year and trip/ground both fine, but has looked regressive for some time now and can't really be entertained in current form.

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10
(6)
98-12OR: 45CD
14/1

Unseated rider in a rough race here last week but clearly none the worse for that, overall record is most inconsistent though and he might be happier at 6f rather than 7f these days anyway. Makes only minimal appeal.

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11
(5)
58-12OR: 45
33/1

No wins or places in 12 starts and takes a huge drop back in distance here, not beaten far over this trip last December at Lingfield but that's his only real piece of form, and he's not hard to pass over.

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12
(3)
58-12OR: 45
22/1

Just the one place to show for his 14 starts so far, going nowhere quickly at present but shrewd yard haven't had him long, and he takes a big drop back in trip here, which may help. Worth a look in the market for support if nothing else.

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13
(7)
48-12OR: 45
33/1

No win and just one place in 14 starts, but she did show a little more at Bath last time (5½f) and is worth another try at this trip. Young enough to improve and not the total no-hoper her form makes her look.

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14
(13)
78-12OR: 45
50/1

Four wins in 75 starts immediately shows you the issue, he simply doesn't win enough, and given he's going nowhere form-wise at present, it's really not hard to look elsewhere for the winner.

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15
(1)
48-12OR: 45
100/1

Well beaten all four starts at big prices and has yet to beat a horse home. Might be more of the same here unless finding dramatic improvement from somewhere, and that looks very unlikely.

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Non-Runners

5
(12)
Your Pal Tal73
99-3OR: 50
T: J F LevinsJ: Donagh O'Connor

Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Captain Sedgwick (7/2), Papa Delta (4/1), Pike Corner Cross (5/1), Little Miss Kodi (6/1), Your Pal Tal (7/1), Miss Icon (8/1), Kafeel (10/1), Herringswell (12/1), Indian Affair (14/1), Gulland Rock (20/1), Innstigator (22/1), Mahna Mahna (33/1), Spirit Of Ishy (33/1), Burauq (50/1), Longville Lilly (100/1)

Verdict

Hard to know where to begin with this, as none of them are that consistent, and most of them find poking their head in front tricky. Gulland Rock looks sure to get an easy lead and that probably counts for something, but his profile suggests he'll find a few too good come the business end. Money for Innstigator would need to be heeded, as the yard know the time of day, but CAPTAIN SEDGWICK could be well drawn and ran with some promise at Lingfield last time. A repeat of that might be enough. Miss Icon looks a possible improver, and Kafeel has the in-form Cieren Fallon to do the steering, which is a plus.
  1. Captain Sedgwick
  2. Kafeel
  3. Miss Icon

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