17:15 Musselburgh

Friday 22 March 2019

All14:0014:3015:0515:4016:1016:4517:15

Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Mares' Intermediate Open NH Flat Race (NHMOPS Bonus Race)

  • 4YO to 6YO  |   Class 4  |   2m 85y  |   Good  |   7 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 17:17  |   Winning time: 3m 54.3s
The word Sky in blue and Bet in white with a red background.
The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
Horse silk
18/1
Finished 5¾L fifth of nine to Paris Dixie on first start for this trainer at Carlisle (2m1f, good) last month; interesting to see if she can build upon that with the benefit of the run under her belt.
Cost €3,000 as a 3yo; hasn't shown enough so far in order for her to be competitive in any bumper; should fare better once introduced to hurdling at a more realistic level.
Half-sister to the 2m4f hurdle/chase winner Grange Hall; showed ability but frustratingly also perfect symmetry in PTP's (F,F,F); raced keenly on rules/stable debut at Doncaster in January when finishing 3L third to Redbridge Gold; player.
4
Horse silk
16/1
Bought for £30,000 out of the Irish PTP scene in December 2018; flopped on stable/rules debut at Carlisle (3/1), but hails from much respected quarters and is surely far better than that opening effort; market helpful.
5
Horse silk
66/1
Second foal; half-sister to the point winner Frankies Fire; outpaced in a 3m Flat Race at Alnwick (Northumberland) 12-days ago; rules debut.
6
Horse silk
5/1
Sixth foal; half-sister to the 7½f-2m Flat/2m hurdle and chase winner Thankyouverymuch; holds an obvious chance on debut in a low-key bumper; trainer 3-21 (14%) in bumpers (1-1 (100%) this season).
€2,500 foal, £5,000 yearling; second foal from a Listed bumper/2m4f-3m hurdle/chase winner; trainer 7-91 (8%) in bumpers; market helpful in assessing her chance.

Forecasts

Methodtothemadness (1/1), Danced Every Dance (7/2), Hello Bob (5/1), Tannadice Park (7/1), Mrs Davies (16/1), Colorado Gold (18/1), Shelter Belt (66/1)

Verdict

Methodtothemadness has demonstrated that she has a degree of natural ability and is likely to figure towards the fore of the market. However, there are also other alternatives worth exploring. Mrs Davies flopped on debut for Carluke-handler Keith Dalgleish, but horses carrying the Straightline Bloodstock silks are always worthy of respect in the northern region, so there's every chance that she'll leave that poor opening effort well behind. Nevertheless, the very tentative advice is to take a chance on the James Bethell-trained newcomer HELLO BOB who is a half-sister to the adaptable Flat winner Thankyouverymuch (who also carried the Robert Gibbons silks).
  1. Hello Bob
  2. Mrs Davies
  3. Methodtothemadness

Prize Money

1st: £3,249.002nd: £954.003rd: £477.004th: £238.00

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