13:35 Ayr

Thursday 11 October 2018

All13:3514:0514:3515:1015:4016:1016:4517:15

Book Christmas Parties At Ayr Racecourse Novice Stakes

  • 2YO only  |   Class 5  |   6f  |   Soft (Heavy in places)  |   9 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 13:40  |   Winning time: 1m 16.86s
The word Sky in blue and Bet in white with a red background.
The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
1
(11)
Horse silk
Bobs Authorityb165
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2| J: T Hamilton| T: L Smyth| OR:  50
50/1
Making steady improvements and gelded since his last run. Blinkers on and could get more competitive, but not easy to see him winning.
2
(2)
Horse silk
God Of Dreams21
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2| J: Jamie Gormley(3)| T: I Jardine
100/1
100-1 and well held last of 11 on debut here over 1m (soft) last month. Much more needed.
3
(1)
Horse silk
Gunnabedun
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2| J: D C Costello| T: I Jardine
14/1
€25,000 & €17,000 yearling. Half-brother to two juvenile winners, Shamrock Sheila (5f-6f) and Cappadocia (6f-7f). Dam French 1m winner. Promising pedigree. Market check ahead of his debut.
4
(7)
Horse silk
Jean Merci
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2| J: G Lee| T: K Dalgleish
10/1
€2,000 yearling. €20,000 at two. Dam placed French 1m turf/AW claimers, out of 7f/1m winning half-sister to 1m4f Listed winner Grey Glitters and 1m Listed winner Loupy Glitters. Stable juveniles 14% this season. Market check.
5
(8)
Horse silk
Pendleton
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: M Dods
2/1
Fifth foal. Half-brother to 5f-6f winner Holmeswood (inc AW at two). Dam 5f winner (inc at two), full-sister to 5f AW winner Never A Quarrel, half-sister to two fairly useful winners. Stable juveniles 14% this season. Market check.
7
(10)
Horse silk
Epona20
Age: 2|  Weight: 8-11| J: Rowan Scott(3)| T: K Dalgleish| OR:  69
13/8
Still improving as shown by her 2L second over C&D (heavy) last time. Has the strongest form on paper here and any continued improvement will probably make her tough to beat.
9
(9)
Horse silk
Milabella34
Age: 2|  Weight: 8-11| J: J P Sullivan| T: R M Smith
150/1
Has gone off at big odds and suffered heavy defeats in both starts. Watching brief advised.
10
(3)
Horse silk
Silver Pass13
Age: 2|  Weight: 8-11| J: P Hanagan| T: L Smyth
80/1
66-1 on both starts so far and well beaten over both 6f and 7f on AW. Much improvement needed.
11
(6)
Horse silk
Warning Fire14
Age: 2|  Weight: 8-11| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston
4/1
9-2 and led much of the way before being beaten 4L on debut at Pontefract (6f, good). That was perhaps a bit more promising than what the bare form figures suggest, and she could be thereabouts this time.

Non-Runners

6
(4)
Horse silk
Caledonia Lass65
Weight: 8-11|  Age: 2
T: R M Smith  J: P Mathers
WD
8
(5)
Horse silk
Key To The Orient
Weight: 8-11|  Age: 2
T: R M Smith  J: A Mullen
WD

Forecasts

Epona (13/8), Pendleton (2/1), Warning Fire (4/1), Jean Merci (10/1), Gunnabedun (14/1), Key To The Orient (33/1), Bobs Authority (50/1), Caledonia Lass (66/1), Silver Pass (80/1), God Of Dreams (100/1), Milabella (150/1)

Verdict

A poor opener where the form pick is clearly Epona, and she would be no surprise winner, while Pendleton and Gunnabedun are newcomers of interest. However, WARNING FIRE ran well for a long way on debut. She will have learned plenty there and could make significant improvement this time.
  1. Warning Fire
  2. Epona
  3. Pendleton

Prize Money

1st: £3,817.002nd: £1,136.003rd: £568.004th: £284.00

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