13:35 Ayr Thu 11 October 2018

  • Book Christmas Parties At Ayr Racecourse Novice Stakes (Class 5)
  • 6f, Soft (Heavy in places)
  • 9 Runners
  • Winner£3,817.002nd£1,136.003rd£568.004th£284.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 16.86sOff time:13:40:30
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
(11)
29-2OR: 50
50/1

Making steady improvements and gelded since his last run. Blinkers on and could get more competitive, but not easy to see him winning.

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2
(2)
29-2OR:
100/1

100-1 and well held last of 11 on debut here over 1m (soft) last month. Much more needed.

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3
(1)
29-2OR:
14/1

€25,000 & €17,000 yearling. Half-brother to two juvenile winners, Shamrock Sheila (5f-6f) and Cappadocia (6f-7f). Dam French 1m winner. Promising pedigree. Market check ahead of his debut.

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4
(7)
29-2OR:
10/1

€2,000 yearling. €20,000 at two. Dam placed French 1m turf/AW claimers, out of 7f/1m winning half-sister to 1m4f Listed winner Grey Glitters and 1m Listed winner Loupy Glitters. Stable juveniles 14% this season. Market check.

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5
(8)
29-2OR:
2/1

Fifth foal. Half-brother to 5f-6f winner Holmeswood (inc AW at two). Dam 5f winner (inc at two), full-sister to 5f AW winner Never A Quarrel, half-sister to two fairly useful winners. Stable juveniles 14% this season. Market check.

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7
(10)
28-11OR: 69
13/8

Still improving as shown by her 2L second over C&D (heavy) last time. Has the strongest form on paper here and any continued improvement will probably make her tough to beat.

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9
(9)
28-11OR:
150/1

Has gone off at big odds and suffered heavy defeats in both starts. Watching brief advised.

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10
(3)
28-11OR:
80/1

66-1 on both starts so far and well beaten over both 6f and 7f on AW. Much improvement needed.

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11
(6)
28-11OR:
4/1

9-2 and led much of the way before being beaten 4L on debut at Pontefract (6f, good). That was perhaps a bit more promising than what the bare form figures suggest, and she could be thereabouts this time.

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Non-Runners

6
(4)
Caledonia Lass65
28-11OR: -
T: R M SmithJ: P Mathers
8
(5)
Key To The Orient
28-11OR: -
T: R M SmithJ: A Mullen

Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Epona (13/8), Pendleton (2/1), Warning Fire (4/1), Jean Merci (10/1), Gunnabedun (14/1), Key To The Orient (33/1), Bobs Authority (50/1), Caledonia Lass (66/1), Silver Pass (80/1), God Of Dreams (100/1), Milabella (150/1)

Verdict

A poor opener where the form pick is clearly Epona, and she would be no surprise winner, while Pendleton and Gunnabedun are newcomers of interest. However, WARNING FIRE ran well for a long way on debut. She will have learned plenty there and could make significant improvement this time.
  1. Warning Fire
  2. Epona
  3. Pendleton

Video Replay

Most Followed

Al Dancer

F: 2314-11

T: N A Twiston-Davies

Rockpoint

F: 327-202

T: C L Tizzard

Brain Power

F: 1UF2F-4

T: N J Henderson

Aaron Lad

F: 211P-61

T: Dr R D P Newland

Frodon

F: 21350-1

T: P F Nicholls

Most Followed

Al Dancer

F: 2314-11

T: N A Twiston-Davies

Rockpoint

F: 327-202

T: C L Tizzard

Brain Power

F: 1UF2F-4

T: N J Henderson

Aaron Lad

F: 211P-61

T: Dr R D P Newland

Frodon

F: 21350-1

T: P F Nicholls

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