16:50 Southwell

Wednesday 10 October 2018

All14:2014:5015:2015:5016:2016:50

Mintbet Best Odds Guaranteed Singles & Multiples 'Newcomers' Standard Open NH Flat Race

  • 3YO to 5YO  |   Class 5  |   1m 7f 153y  |   Good  |   11 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 16:51  |   Winning time: 3m 54.9s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
£15,000 Multiplex gelding who is a half-brother to a bumper winner. Is one of two representing his yard and the market should give some idea of which of the two is more fancied. Yard in fine form.
2
Horse silk
Bolton Boy
Age: 4|  Weight: 11-10| J: Alan Johns| T: Tim Vaughan
22/1
Connections went to €30,000 to buy this gelded son of Arcadio who is a half-brother to two jumps winners. Looks the likelier of the two stable companions on balance.
3
Horse silk
Megan's Choice
Age: 4|  Weight: 11-10| J: T Scudamore| T: T Lacey
5/2
Interesting pedigree for this €45,000 gelded son of Doyen who is related to a few winners, including a Grade 2 hurdles scorer. Yard capable of getting them ready so worth a glance in the betting market at very least.
4
Horse silk
Show Promise
Age: 4|  Weight: 11-10| J: A Nicol| T: P A Kirby
33/1
Josr Algahoud gelding who is a half-brother to a winning 3m hurdler. Breeding suggests he'll probably be better over more of a trip, and yard is going through a quiet spell at present.
5
Horse silk
16/1
€16,000 son of little known French sire Carlotamix (won Group 1 as a juvenile in 2005). The fact he wears a hood for racecourse bow is somewhat disconcerting, and yard yet to get going this campaign so others make more appeal.
6
Horse silk
12/1
Cheaply purchased gelding by French sire Touch Of Land, out of an unraced mare. Doesn't jump off the page as a winner-in-waiting and may well need plenty more time.
By Native Ruler, out of a dam who is a half-sister to a Japanese Group 1 winner. Very interesting pedigree, and while yard not known for first-time bumper winners is still worth a check for any market interest.
8
Horse silk
11/8
Jockey booking ctaches the eye as too does the pedigree of this €50,000 gelding by Rip Van Winkle. His dam was a winner who also placed in LIsted compnay so he looks the part on paper. Major chance.
9
Horse silk
Dj Havana
Age: 3|  Weight: 10-7| J: M Goldstein| T: S Lycett
66/1
Havana Gold gelding who cost just £1,200 at auction last November. Dam won over a mile in Italy, and he is half-brother to four individual winners. Sales price is a concern though.
10
Horse silk
8/1
Yard has decent record in bumpers and this So You Think filly is one of the better bred contenders. Her dam has produced six individual winners so any market interest would be significant.
11
Horse silk
Filipine
Age: 3|  Weight: 10-0| J: Alain Cawley| T: R Hobson
12/1
Filly by decent German sire Network, out of a dam who has produced a number of French jumps winners. Yard's newcomers usually need a run or two to reach a peak so may be best watched this time

Forecasts

Adjourned (11/8), Megan's Choice (5/2), Especially So (8/1), Three Bullet Gate (12/1), Filipine (12/1), The Darley Lama (16/1), Bolton Boy (22/1), Bells Of Wansford (33/1), Show Promise (33/1), Dj Havana (66/1), Paloma Rosa (66/1)

Verdict

ADJOURNED looks the part on paper in a race where none of the runners has ever seen a racecourse before. He has a decent pedigree and the booking of Brian Hughes adds to the confidence. Megan's Choice is another who looks a likely sort and his yard is going well this campaign, operating at a 24% winning strike rate. Especially So represents connections who can ready one for a bumper, while Paloma Rose and Bolton Boy are others who may be up to making an impression first time out.
  1. Adjourned
  2. Especially So
  3. Megan's Choice

Prize Money

1st: £2,274.002nd: £668.003rd: £334.004th: £167.00

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