17:15 Kelso

Wednesday 19 September 2018

All16:1016:4517:1517:4518:1518:45

Kaye's Surprise Celebration Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 17:17 | Winning time: 4m 15.7s

Mitcd²¹

Age: 7| Weight: 12-0| J: Jonathon Bewley⁽³⁾| T: G Bewley| OR: 101| BF

9/2

Has been in decent form under both codes this summer. However, she is 9lb higher than when winning at Market Rasen in June and her last hurdles effort at Perth suggested that she will find this tough.

Form: 832-V14

Make It Happen^p,t²³

Age: 9| Weight: 11-12| J: Blair Campbell⁽⁵⁾| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell| OR: 99| CD

17/2

Goes well here and has two C&D wins to his name, the latest in April being from 3lb lower. Bettered that form at Perth in July, but pulled up at Cartmel last time and needs further improvement to win again.

Form: 71-U73P

Superefficient^p³¹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-6| J: Sean Houlihan⁽⁵⁾| T: Miss M A Duggan| OR: 93| BF

8/1

14-race maiden. Has put in some reasonably respectable efforts in defeat, but is not easy to fancy for win purposes.

Form: 454366

Snowed In^p⁵⁸

Age: 9| Weight: 11-4| J: Sean Quinlan| T: B Butterworth| OR: 91

12/1

Not easy to catch right and has done most of his winning at Catterick on softer ground. Back on his last winning mark, but not easy to fancy on recent evidence.

Form: 5406-V7

Green Zone⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-1| J: Henry Brooke| T: Miss L Harrison| OR: 88

10/3

Ran up a hat-trick last summer, but now on a 14-race losing run. Better effort last time at Perth (2m4f, good), so needs taking more seriously again from the same mark today.

Form: 695463

Sierra Oscar⁴⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-11| J: Dale Irving⁽³⁾| T: Mrs J C McGregor| OR: 84

12/1

Now a stone lower than his sole success at Huntingdon last year, when with Dan Skelton. Has shown little in recent starts and is impossible to fancy on that evidence.

Form: F-30677

Theatre Act^v⁸⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 10-11| J: B S Hughes| T: C Grant| OR: 84

6/1

3-13 and now 17lb lower than her last win, in January 2017. Would probably want some ease in the ground to be seen to best effect and recent efforts don't put her too high on the list.

Form: 5P28-44

Da Dou Ron Ron^h²⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 10-9| J: Colm McCormack⁽³⁾| T: Mrs Dianne Sayer| OR: 82

9/1

Not badly treated based on her stable debut at Cartmel (2m1f, good to firm) in July (first-time hood), but below that level back there both runs since. Step up in trip could help and she is not written off given that she acts on the ground.

Form: 2-35248

Slaney Craiglegacy^h²⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 10-4| J: Jamie Hamilton| T: H Burns| OR: 77

17/2

16-race maiden. Better effort last time at Sedgefield (2m5f, good to firm). Drops 2lb but still more needed.

Form: 09-0974

Cully Mac^p⁴⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 10-0| J: Callum Bewley| T: A Wilson| OR: 68

66/1

Yet to make the frame from 11 starts. 5lb 'wrong' at the weights and can only watch.

Form: P00F-6P

Non-Runners

Sense Of Urgency³⁰

Weight: 11-9| Age: 6

T: Mrs L B Normile J: Grant Cockburn

Sleep In First²⁵

Weight: 11-7| Age: 12

T: J Ewart J: Steven Fox

Rory's Valentine¹²⁵

Weight: 10-5| Age: 7

T: K Scott J: S Mulqueen

Forecasts

Green Zone (10/3), Mitcd (9/2), Theatre Act (6/1), Sleep In First (7/1), Superefficient (8/1), Rory's Valentine (8/1), Slaney Craiglegacy (17/2), Make It Happen (17/2), Da Dou Ron Ron (9/1), Snowed In (12/1), Sierra Oscar (12/1), Sense Of Urgency (16/1), Cully Mac (66/1)

A poor contest with much more doubt than confidence in any of the field and if conditions remain fast then it might be worth chancing DA DOU RON RON. She went to the well plenty of times in bumpers when trained in France and never won. She is also 0-3 in Britain, but she has shown form on quicker ground and this longer trip might just help get her off the mark. Green Zone has the potential to go close now back in better form, while Mitcd, Make It Happen and Rory's Valentine are other more obvious players.