19:35 Nottingham

Tuesday 14 August 2018

All17:0517:3518:0518:3519:0519:3520:05

1st Security Handicap

Off time: 19:35 | Winning time: 1m 1.19s

(3)

Big Time Maybe^p,t¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: D Nolan| T: M J Attwater| OR: 71| D

12/1

Most effective on the AW (33% strike rate), and remains a maiden on turf after seven starts; that said, this is much more realistic than his last couple of attempts on grass (in Class 2 & 4 handicaps).

Form: 029176

(7)

Independence Day¹⁰²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: Joey Haynes| T: P Howling| OR: 67| BF| D

8/1

Hit hard by the handicapper (13lb rise) after winning decisively at Chelmsford (5f) in March; beaten favourite at Newcastle latest, but has changed stables since; 1 from 18 on turf.

Form: 0000-10

(6)

Rolladice⁹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Harrison Shaw⁽⁵⁾| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 69

14/1

Half-brother to the 5f winner Flicka's Boy, but hasn't set the world alight in three spins so far (7f-1m); market potentially helpful dropped in trip for handicap debut.

Form: 706

(4)

Lexington Place¹⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 9-6| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 65| CD

5/2

Effective under most conditions (C&D winner) and continues to perform fairly consistently; winner off a 2lb lower mark at Ayr (5f) last month.

Form: 453135

(1)

Indian Tinker¹⁰³

Age: 9| Weight: 9-4| J: Tom Marquand| T: R M H Cowell| OR: 63| D

7/1

Not seen much racing since September 2016, but competitively handicapped if he can translate his early season Fibresand form back to turf.

Form: 2348/2-3

(5)

Major Valentine⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: L Morris| T: J G M O'Shea| OR: 63| CD

5/2

C&D winner (on good to firm in April 2017), and races off a 7lb lower mark here; better effort latest when weakening close home to finish fourth of 11 to Jacksonfire at Chepstow (6f, good).

Form: 465574

(2)

Spin Top^p¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: M Dwyer| T: W R Muir| OR: 60| D

11/2

Raised 7lb for his Lingfield win last month (5f), but ought to prove competitive in a fairly weak race if able to show his peak ability back on turf (0 from 9 so far).

Form: 655031

Forecasts

Lexington Place (5/2), Major Valentine (5/2), Spin Top (11/2), Indian Tinker (7/1), Independence Day (8/1), Big Time Maybe (12/1), Rolladice (14/1)

Not a contest to overthink, and a race which is unlikely to produce many future winners. SPIN TOP remains a maiden on turf (0 from 9), but scored with plenty in hand on the AW at Lingfield last month, and might prove capable of following up despite a 7lb rise in the weights.. Others to consider include the returning to form Major Valentine and the largely consistent Lexington Place.