15:00 Carlisle

Monday 19 February 2018

All14:0014:3015:0015:3516:0516:4017:10

Bet & Watch At 188bet.co.uk Handicap Chase

Off time: 15:00 | Winning time: 5m 28.0s

Until Winning³³

Age: 10| Weight: 0-0| J: Mr N George⁽⁷⁾| T: T R George| OR: 122| D

4/1

Won for the first time since 2015 at Market Rasen (2m5½f, heavy) last time out and is most effective over this sort of trip. 5lb hike will make thing tougher, but is able to compete at this level again and should be in the mix.

Form: F467/51

Lord Ballim⁴⁴

Age: 15| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: N J Hawke| CD

Form: U1-60PP

Top Cat Henry^p,t³⁶

Age: 10| Weight: 0-0| J: Mr Kit Alexander⁽⁵⁾| T: N W Alexander| OR: 117| D

25/1

All wins under rules have included good in the going description. Won a Musselburgh hunter chase over this trip last year and put in a decent reappearance at Kelso last month, but needs improvement to win from this mark.

Form: 510P-45

Granville Island²³

Age: 11| Weight: 0-0| J: Sean Quinlan| T: J Candlish| OR: 116| D

11/2

Been in reasonable form this winter and when the handicapper relented last time, he scored over this trip at Uttoxeter (heavy). Back up 3lb as a result of that all out success and current level of ability suggests that he might be outfaced again.

Form: 8-F4431

Central Flame²⁰

Age: 17| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: J Walton| CD

Form: 5/4-PP33

Caraline²⁷

Age: 14| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: Micky Hammond

Form: 2PF-413

Swing Hard³¹

Age: 10| Weight: 0-0| J: Danny Cook| T: J Parkinson & S Smith| OR: 112| BF| CD

5/2

Dual C&D winner in 2016. Stays further, but has been running well at around this trip in recent races. Not far away from this mark at Market Rasen last time out and it will be a surprise if he is not involved on the run-in once again.

Form: 2312-33

Road To Gold¹⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 0-0| J: Lucy Alexander| T: N W Alexander| OR: 110

12/1

Both his win were over Kelso's 2m trip on heavy ground. Missed over a year before being pulled up at Ayr on his reappearance. Has now dropped 17lb for his last three chase runs to a mark that would make him interesting if supported.

Form: 21F/35-P

Zarib³⁷

Age: 14| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: Mrs Dianne Sayer| D

Form: 455-445

Mahlerdramatic^p,t¹⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 0-0| J: Henry Brooke| T: B Ellison| OR: 100

17/2

Best form over hurdles was at around 2m1f, but should see out this trip and if he can brush up a little on his jumping, you couldn't rule him out of having a say from this mark.

Form: 2-658P4

Twenty Eight Guns⁴¹

Age: 15| Weight: 0-0| J: R T Dunne| T: M Scudamore| D

Form: 73-P4U5

Oak Vintage¹⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 0-0| J: Ross Chapman⁽⁵⁾| T: Mrs A Hamilton| OR: 96| D

3/1

Won a novices' hurdle over this trip, though both chase wins over shorter, including last time at Catterick. Up 8lb for that 7L success, which equalled his best over fences. Not ruled out, but won't find it easy defying that rise.

Form: 5-21271

Whitsundays²⁰

Age: 16| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: D McCain Jnr

Form: 1-32215

Never Up²²

Age: 14| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: J Parkinson & S Smith| BF| CD

Form: 214P32

Ueueteotl³⁶

Age: 17| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: J Ewart| C| D

Form: 273-373

Cobajayisland²⁴

Age: 17| Weight: 0-0| J: T Scudamore| T: M Scudamore| D

Form: 3421-PP

Present Flight¹⁹

Age: 16| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell

Form: P2425/2

Freddies Portrait⁴⁰

Age: 16| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: D McCain Jnr| C

Form: 155-56P

The Orange Rogue²⁷

Age: 18| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: N W Alexander| D

Form: 411-5PP

Cooper's Friend⁷⁸

Age: 16| Weight: 0-0| J: Unknown| T: R M Smith| D

Form: PP4344

Forecasts

Swing Hard (5/2), Oak Vintage (3/1), Until Winning (4/1), Granville Island (11/2), Mahlerdramatic (17/2), Road To Gold (12/1), Top Cat Henry (25/1)

An interesting contest with a fairly open look to it and the suggestion is SWING HARD, who is at the very least a consistent sort who we can probably rely on to perform to a level of ability that should see him go close. Until Winning tries to back up his Market Rasen success from 5lb higher and previous form suggests that that is far from a done deal, while at the other end of the spectrum, Oak Vintage won well last time but he has an even bigger 8lb rise to contend with now. Keep a check on the market with regard to Nick Alexander's pair Top Cat Henry and Road To Gold, with the former of slightly more interest.