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18:15 Chelmsford City

Thursday 4 January 2018

All18:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45

Bet toteplacepot At betfred.com Novice Stakes

  • 3YO only  |   Class 5  |   1m 2f  |   Standard  |   7 Runners  |   Polytrack  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 18:17  |   Winning time: 2m 8.78s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
1
(6)
Horse silk
Danzay8
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2| J: F Norton| T: C & M Johnston
3/1
Cost €62,000 and shaped encouragingly amid greenness first time out at Wolverhampton (extended 1m) last week when a 2½L second to Antonian. Sure to be wiser for that experience and longer trip likely to suit.
2
(1)
Horse silk
Native Arrow
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2| J: A Kirby| T: C Appleby
10/11
Kitten's Joy colt out of a US dam who won over 1m. Cost $120,000 yearling and and makes a debut with his leading yard in tremendous form. Obvious claims if the market vibes are positive.
3
(4)
Horse silk
Shakourt22
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2| J: N Mackay| T: J & T Gosden
7/2
Not lived up to a 250,000 gns price-tag in two runs, though better signs when a keeping-on third behind Highbrow over 1m at Kempton last month. Bred to appreciate this longer trip.
4
(7)
Horse silk
Volevo Lui36
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2| J: M M Monaghan(3)| T: M Botti
14/1
Too green to do himself justice on his debut at Yarmouth and never dangerous when stepping up in trip at Kempton (1m2f) next time out. Looks a longer term prospect.
5
(5)
Horse silk
Approaching Menace26
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-11| J: Jane Elliott| T: Miss A Murphy
150/1
Doesn't stand out on paper and was unfancied when beaten on out of sight on her debut at Wolverhampton (extended 1m) last month. Readily overlooked on that evidence.
6
(2)
Horse silk
Blame Me Forever36
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-11| J: Gabriele Malune(7)| T: M Botti
20/1
A half-sister to a couple of winners in North America but unfancied when never able to get on terms over a shorter trip at Wolverhampton first time out. Likely to do better over this trip with experience to draw on.
7
(3)
Horse silk
Wallflower30
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-11| J: M Dwyer| T: Rae Guest
66/1
Plenty of stamina in her pedigree, so no surprise that she found 7f far too sharp at Wolverhampton first time out. Should do better over this trip but likely to need more time.

Forecasts

Native Arrow (10/11), Danzay (3/1), Shakour (7/2), Volevo Lui (14/1), Blame Me Forever (20/1), Wallflower (66/1), Approaching Menace (150/1)

Verdict

With most of these looking longer-term prospects, it would be no surprise to see Charlie Appleby's newcomer NATIVE ARROW make a winning start. The Kitten's Joy colt looks the part on paper and, given the yard's adeptness at readying debutants, this event would be appear to be within range even though Danzay and Shakour have both offered something to work on in their starts so far
  1. Native Arrow
  2. Danzay
  3. Shakour

Prize Money

1st: £5,175.002nd: £1,540.003rd: £770.004th: £385.00

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