17:05 Ayr

Tuesday 3 October 2017

All14:2014:5515:2516:0016:3017:0517:35

William Hill This Is More Training Series Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 17:05 | Winning time: 1m 48.95s

(3)

Mustaqbal^p⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: M Dods| OR: 66| D

6/1

A quirky character who can often flatter only to deceive in his races and that's reflected in his poor strike-rate. Attracted support last time out at Beverley but ran as per normal and he's more of a place than a win proposition despite the falling mark.

Form: 777383

(2)

Inglorious^p²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-10| J: Jane Elliott| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 67| C

8/1

Doesn't have much form to his name with ease in the ground and still 5lb above the mark that he was successful off here in August over 7f on better ground. Has run respectably for the most part since then and should run his race without having an outstanding chance.

Form: 315832

(12)

Restive¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Jamie Gormley| T: I Jardine| OR: 64| BF| D

12/1

Another one who despite running so fair races doesn't convince overall and he's 0/18 since winning in Ireland in 2015 in a maiden when with Ger Lyons. Well found in the market at Newcastle last time (1m2f) he ran with credit. Mark is reduced again but hard to trust totally.

Form: 834783

(5)

Billy Bond^b¹⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Sebastian Woods⁽⁵⁾| T: R A Fahey| OR: 60| D

5/1

Conditions (heavy ground) a much reduced mark and the re-addition of blinkers saw him find the winning habit again at Beverley last time out to record his first turf win. Won with a bit to spare and has been competitive off much higher marks in the past; leading chance.

Form: 522071

(10)

Ingleby Angel⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 9-5| J: Patrick Vaughan| T: D O'Meara| OR: 59| CD

7/2

Now back with his original yard who he won for off much higher marks in the past he took a step back in the right direction last time on the AW. Well handicapped on his best form he's won over C&D and acts on this ground and is clearly of interest now.

Form: 234704

(7)

Green Howard^p²⁸

Age: 9| Weight: 9-3| J: G C O'Neill| T: Rebecca Bastiman| OR: 57| D

5/1

The losing run continues to grow and he had several chances to break that run this year when taking the runner-up spot on four occasions. There's no doubt that he's down to a good mark but far too often he's let good opportunities slip away.

Form: 370325

(6)

Carlovian^p¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Seamus Cronin⁽³⁾| T: M Walford| OR: 53

9/2

Two wins earlier in the year saw an upturn in his form albeit off a lowly mark and looks to be working his way back to form. Proved that he stays this far and acts on deep ground before being undone by the draw last time and not ruled out of this.

Form: 113525

(8)

Stardrifter³¹

Age: 5| Weight: 8-10| J: Miss Leanne Ferguson⁽⁵⁾| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 47| D

20/1

The ground must be a question mark even though he's very well treated on his form of last year (rated 70 at the start of the year) but slow starts are becoming an issue also. Below form the last twice and not totally written off but one to have doubts about.

Form: 495405

(4)

Granite City Doc³¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: Ben Sanderson⁽³⁾| T: Mrs L B Normile| OR: 46

16/1

Still a maiden but did run his best race last time (better for reappearance) when finishing second at Hamilton over 1m1f (good to soft).Always a chance that he won't be able to back this up but yard do well here and worth watching in the market.

Form: 96/60-72

(11)

Red Shadow^v¹⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 8-10| J: Connor Murtagh| T: A C Whillans| OR: 45

66/1

2013 is when this one last won a race and although there have been some reasonable efforts this year (some over 7f at this track) she's hardly one to rely on. 5lb out of the handicap here and would be a surprise winner.

Form: 530469

(1)

Swiss Lait^b⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 8-10| J: Paula Muir| T: P Holmes| OR: 45

80/1

Struggling to find any form this year and certainly nowhere near the form that saw her successful off a mark of 56 over 1m1f at Carlisle last year. Possible that there was some promise in her last run (made a big move into the race); potentially well treated.

Form: 880880

Non-Runners

(9)

New Abbey Angel³¹

Weight: 8-12| Age: 4

T: K Dalgleish J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Ingleby Angel (7/2), Carlovian (9/2), Green Howard (5/1), Billy Bond (5/1), Mustaqbal (6/1), New Abbey Angel (6/1), Inglorious (8/1), Restive (12/1), Granite City Doc (16/1), Stardrifter (20/1), Red Shadow (66/1), Swiss Lait (80/1)

More questions than answers are posed by this group with several of these having flattered to deceive in the past. Mustaqbal and Restive would definitely reside in that group and could be joined by the likes of Green Howard none of that group appealing for win purposes. Billy Bond represents some strong form although he’s hardly a winning machine either and INGLEBY ANGEL now back with the O’Meara yard who he won 10 races for off marks up to 94 is too tempting to resist having shaped well last time and now able to run off 59. Granite City Doc is the most interesting of those at a bigger price on the basis of his last run while Carlovian has the ability to run better than he did last time when the draw was against him.

William Hill This Is More Training Series Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)

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William Hill This Is More Training Series Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)

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