Winner of the Group 3 Renaissance Stakes in August 2015 (good to firm) and during his younger years was an even classier performer. Didn't appear to be the force of old for the majority of 2016 however and was below par in Dubai early this year. Beaten 4½L in 6f Listed Curragh contest on the first of the month. Drops in trip.
Winner over 1m at Limerick last month, unable to handle 10lb hike since at the Curragh last weekend. Runs off that inflated mark here and nothing in previous 5f form suggesting he'll be able to win this.
Remains a bit high in the ratings for now, last seen in January when tackling this trip at Newcastle and fading out of contention to finish last of nine. Recent form at this track is also poor so others are preferred.
Fine effort when 2½L third of 10 over this trip at Cork last month coming off a 287-day break. Hasn't won since 2013, which is a concern, but off the same mark now cannot be ignored.
Ran a fine race in the Rockingham Handicap at the Curragh last weekend over this trip in going down just 1¾L back in seventh. This looks easier and so has to be high on the shortlist.
All three career wins have come on the AW, latest over this C&D from a mark of 66 in January. Remained competitive off higher marks than this afterwards and appears one of the more likely winners now back on preferred surface.
Holy Roman Emperor filly acquitted herself well enough in 59K Curragh handicap over this trip last weekend, being beaten 3½L. Big ask to win but should be competitive.
Non-Runners
6
(5)
Independence Day6
Weight: 8-11| Age: 4
T: S Donohoe J: M C Hussey
WD
Forecasts
Moviesta (11/4), Go Kart (3/1), Abstraction (5/1), Accalia (11/2), Geological (7/1), Chiclet (7/1), Independence Day (12/1), Strategic Force (14/1)
The top three in the weights all appear to have their hands pretty full based on recent efforts, with perhaps Moviesta preferred of the trio. It can pay to look elsewhere though and GO KART was excellent in a much tougher race at the Curragh last weekend. The consistent filly may take this prize with a similar effort now. Strategic Force is capable of running a big race on these terms and is much-respected while Accalia could also outrun her odds.