15:30 Newcastle Sat 1 July 2017

  • Stobart Rail Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage) (Class 2)
  • 2m 56y, Standard
  • 20 Runners
  • Winner£92,385.002nd£27,810.003rd£13,905.004th£6,930.005th£3,480.006th£1,755.007th£870.008th£420.00
  • Surface: Allweather

Weighed In

Winning time:3m 35.37sOff time:15:32:47
1
(20)
99-10OR: 108BFD
33/1
Top-class stayer who reached his pinnacle with a Yorkshire Cup success last year. Out of form this term and facing a stiff task off topweight.
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2
(13)
59-9OR: 107D
11/2
Both victories have come on AW surfaces and he will find this easier than his clash with the Gold Cup winner Big Orange last time. Stable have an excellent record at this track at this time of year (5-9).
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3
(3)
59-7OR: 105
50/1
Put together a five-timer in 2015/early 2016, including a 1m2f Listed win at Ayr to cap that off. Only run over this trip was in a muddling race and proved inconclusive but she has form over 1m6f which makes her interesting on her AW debut.
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4
(16)
79-6OR: 104D
66/1
Has six AW wins and was in good form February/March time but last couple of efforts suggest he is not up to this.
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5
(10)
49-5OR: 103BFCD
7/1
Goes particularly well for this rider and the pair have combined for two course successes. Beat the useful London Prize here in February and that form looks better now. Looks a difficult ride who needs to be produced on the bridle. Hard to see that being possible off a career high mark in this company.
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6
(11)
69-5OR: 103D
6/1
Probably hit the front too soon when just denied in this last year. Rider keeps the mount and yard are just hitting form at the right time.
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7
(7)
89-2OR: 100
25/1
Runner-up in this in 2014 and has not won since landing the Chester Cup the same year. Can usually be spotted making late headway but probably needs the handicapper to cut him some slack as ageing takes effect.
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8
(8)
49-2OR: 100CD
11/4
Easily accounted for the Ascot Stakes runner-up over C&D last time. Looks a typically progressive type for the yard who has been trained with a big prize in mind. Trainer/rider combination 8-27 here.
9
(9)
59-1OR: 99D
33/1
Peaked in May and below her best on last couple of starts. Has underperformed on two previous AW starts and has something to find.
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10
(15)
49-1OR: 99
100/1
Useful horse in Italy on testing ground at around 1m2f. Has looked a doubtful stayer on both starts for new trainer and the long odds look justified.
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11
(6)
59-0OR: 98D
25/1
Fourth in the Vase on this card 12 months ago. Latest Musselburgh victory sets him a task that has been beyond him in the past.
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12
(4)
49-0OR: 98BFCD
20/1
His two best performances have come over C&D. Disappointing on turf recently but has been given a break. Cheekpieces are fitted for the first time by a trainer who is 17-55 when doing so.
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13
(5)
Jaameh21(ex 5)
49-0OR: 93
12/1
Had little left when scoring over 1m6f at Newmarket last time. That was a decent race though and a 5lb penalty is not too harsh on this progressive type. Yet to tackle this trip and although his sire gets his share of marathon winners, his progeny's record on this surface is less impressive (4-69).
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14
(17)
48-12OR: 96
17/2
3-8 record includes two wins on AW surfaces. Yet to prove he stays this far but latest efforts suggest it is worth a go. Stable do well here and he does not have much to find to be in the mix.
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15
(14)
58-12OR: 96
25/1
German import who won at Wolverhampton and that form does not warrant his current mark. Third in a slowly run two miler next time and stamina doubts remain after his latest tame effort.
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16
(18)
58-9OR: 93D
28/1
Finished mid-division in this last year off 3lb higher. Seems better suited to positive tactics in smaller fields so hard to see this being his kind of race.
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17
(12)
68-9OR: 93CD
40/1
Five-time winner with four of those coming on the AW. Latest win came over C&D earlier this year off a lower mark and looks held by Flymetothestars on running here in May.
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18
(2)
58-9OR: 93D
25/1
Four of his five wins have come on easy ground. Placed twice on AW surfaces including when 9L behind Flymetothestars here in May. The cheekpieces need to yield significant improvement to reverse those placings
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19
(1)
78-8OR: 92
100/1
Winner of ten races including two Tapeta victories at Wolverhampton. Struggled in lower grade off this mark last time and well beaten on previous attempts at this trip.
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20
(19)
48-8OR: 92
25/1
One of three for his trainer who has an excellent strike rate here. Best efforts have come on AW surfaces but stamina is to be proven and he has a career high mark to overcome.
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Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Flymetothestars (11/4), Higher Power (11/2), Seamour (6/1), Natural Scenery (7/1), Lord George (17/2), Jaameh (12/1), Good Run (20/1), Sir Chauvelin (25/1), Sam Missile (25/1), Champagne Champ (25/1), Suegioo (25/1), Hot Beat (25/1), My Reward (28/1), Clever Cookie (33/1), Yorkidding (33/1), Gavlar (40/1), Maleficent Queen (50/1), Winterlude (66/1), Cosmelli (100/1), Corton Lad (100/1)

Verdict

FLYMETOTHESTARS is hard to overlook despite his unattractive odds. He holds a couple of these judged by his C&D victory in May and the runner-up gave the form a lift at Royal Ascot last week. James Fanshawe's runners are always worthy of closer inspection here. Higher Power chased home the Gold Cup winner last time and Lord George looks the type to improve for the trip. Godolphin took this 12 months ago and neither of their runners have the ideal profile coming into this. Natural Scenery goes well for Josephine Gordon but she needs handling with kid gloves and this may not be the ideal race to do that. Good Run has been below par lately but he could be the type to go better when fresh. Seamour went close 12 months ago and has been trained with a view to going one better this time.
  1. Flymetothestars
  2. Seamour
  3. Higher Power

Tips

What the connections say


Brian Ellison, Seamour: "He's drawn one better than last year. I think he's better this year. He's in very good form and his home work is awesome.

"He's drawn in the middle, so it's better than being drawn wide, although the better fancied ones are inside us. We were drawn wide last year and ran wide all the way.

"He went a bit early, but the winner had a great run all the way and got a great ride.

"Everything's gone fine with his training and we had him away a couple of weeks ago. It went well and he's working well, so we're just very hopeful. It was a good run first time out and he's improved loads for it.

"It would be nice to have this race on the CV - this and the Melbourne Cup would be nice, but as long as he comes back OK, that's the main thing. We just need a good run and if he gets a good run and is second again, so be it."

Tim Palin, for owners of Flymetothestars: "Sir Mark told us that Lady Bamford was going to send him to the sales and he felt the horse would have a good chance in the Northumberland Plate if we wanted to buy him.

"We said we would buy him specifically with that race in mind and he's been trained for this race. He is in the Irish St Leger because it is possible if he were to win the Northumberland Plate you'd be looking at those staying Group races.

"He could be a Group horse masquerading in a handicap, we don't know that for sure. All we have seen so far is a nice, progressive, young handicapper that everyone has fallen in love with at Middleham Park.

"He's favourite for the Plate and deserves to be the way he beat Endless Acres last time and that horse was second in the Ascot Stakes. Our horse wasn't fully tuned up, there is some improvement in there and we go there with a big chance.

"It's a very competitive race and there have been horses laid out for it. We have and he's an improving young gun that seems to fit the bill.

"Our worst nightmare would to have been drawn in the car park, but he's drawn eight so the draw gods have been reasonably kind to us and he's had a clean, uninterrupted preparation."

Jim Goldie, Sir Chauvelin: "He's in good form and we've got quite a good draw (six). He ran a blinder in the consolation last year and seemed to handle the surface, so it's all positive.

"He's in good order and I think he's got a good chance. It's a difficult race, but he's one of the players, I think."

Tim Easterby, My Reward: "He'd have a good chance. He had a few issues last year, but we've sorted them out now.

"The only thing I'm worried about is the surface, as he came there with every chance last year and just emptied. He shouldn't do that this year."

Josephine Gordon, rider of Natural Scenery: "We're drawn 10. There could be worse draws. Hopefully she can slot in and find a nice position. I'm expecting a big run. She's won there and the further the better for her. She has her quirks but every time she's won, she's done it smartly. I think she's a very progressive filly."

Tom Queally, rider of Higher Power: "It's (wide draw) not ideal, but he's in good form. It was a good run at Sandown, so hopefully he can build on that.

"I'd like to think he's a little bit better than a handicapper, but he's weighted accordingly."

Tony Hamilton, rider of Suegioo: "He's a bit of a law to himself because he doesn't go early in the race. You've got to leave him alone so you end up out the back, but his last two have been good runs at Haydock and he was fifth at Ascot last week (behind Thomas Hobson)."

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