Free betting preview and tips | Value Bet: Perfection punt | Royal Ascot day four tips
Ben Linfoot has tipped the Hunt Cup winner at 18/1 and Britannia winner at 16/1 this week - don't miss his Value Bet selections for day four of Royal Ascot on Friday.
Recommended Bets: Value Bet, Royal Ascot, day four
1pt e.w. Fleet Review in 3.40 Royal Ascot at 20/1
1pt win Agrotera in 5.00 Royal Ascot at 12/1
1pt win Perfection in 5.00 Royal Ascot at 16/1
1pt e.w Eynhallow in Royal Ascot 5.35 at 12/1
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
You can tell it's a good renewal of the Coronation Stakes, the feature event on day four of Royal Ascot, when there are three Guineas winners in the line-up and one of the joint-favourites has no Classic to her name.
That horse is Clemmie, a Group One-winning two-year-old in the Cheveley Park, with the English, Irish and French Guineas winners locking horns in the shape of Billesdon Brook, Alpha Centauri and Teppal respectively.
The market is finding it hard to split them, but the plunge horse in the race is Sir Michael Stoute’s Veracious, a Frankel filly that is just twice-raced and hasn’t been seen for 252 days.
Out of Infallible, runner-up in this very race in 2008, Veracious has been backed from double-figure prices into 8/1 this week so it is fair to presume she's primed and ready for this test on her first start out of maiden company.
The form of her Newmarket maiden win has worked out well, as the four-length second, Winter Lightning, has won twice since and is now rated 109, and it would be no surprise to see this Cheveley Park-owned filly put up a bold show.
She looks short enough now, though, considering the opposition, but the best bet of the day runs in the same colours later on in the Sandringham Handicap (5.00) when PERFECTION (16/1 General) lines up for John Gosden.
Cheveley Park always seem to have one lined up for this race and they invariably run well. Persuasive won it for Gosden and Cheveley Park in 2016, while the red, white and blue silks were placed in the race in 2002, 2003, 2004, 2008 and 2010.
Perfection looks another likely type that’s been saved for this as she bolted up on the Rowley Mile course at Newmarket in the middle of May, pulling two lengths clear of Ziarah with four lengths of clear daylight back to the third in a seven-furlong maiden.
Ziarah has come out and won a handicap subsequently off 80, so Perfection is looking very nicely treated off 85 and looks every inch a likely improver over the mile.
This is her handicap debut and just her second start on grass as well, while her pedigree is stamped with the stamina for further on her dam’s side thanks to the exploits of 10-furlong winner Autocratic.
Gosden replaces blinkers with cheekpieces and he is 18 wins from 120 goes at 15 per cent with the sheepskin first time, the former headgear perhaps just lighting her up a bit too much last time out.
Drawn in stall one on the far side wing, the stalls are central on the straight course on Friday so you’d expect them to come up the middle leaving her plenty of room to mount a challenge down the outside.
She’s the main bet, but I also want to have a saver on Ed Walker’s AGROTERA at 12/1 (Betfair, Paddy Power, Bet Victor) as she’s another that looks hugely progressive and likely to relish this test.
Beaten a length on soft ground on the round course here by Dathanna in May, she gets a 7lb pull at the weights with that rival and proved herself on much faster conditions last time out at Windsor.
She did it very cosily that day, beating subsequent easy Goodwood winner Four White Socks by over a length, and a mark of 88 looks on the lenient side on that line of form.
Jamie Spencer takes over in the saddle, the best man to have on your side on the Ascot straight course, and at anything around a double-figure price she looks worth at least a saver.
Earlier on, FLEET REVIEW looks worth an each-way bet in the Commonwealth Cup at 20/1 (Sky Bet, Betfair, Paddy Power, Betway, William Hill 1/5 1,2,3,4).
If he’s going to win he’ll have to reverse Lacken Stakes form with Sioux Nation from last time, but he has beaten that horse twice before and the price discrepancy looks too big with his stablemate a general 5/1 shot.
The angle with him is that he’s a proven Group One horse, second in the Middle Park where he had Cardsharp, Hey Jonesy, Sioux Nation, Unfortunately and Sands Of Mali in behind, and he’s trained on judging by his good effort at Naas last time.
You wouldn’t watch that race and think he can reverse form with Sioux Nation, but while that rival is all speed, Fleet Review looks like he’ll stay seven and this stiff test run at a good clip could really suit him.
He’ll love the faster ground being a son of War Front and he looks likely to play a part in setting the pace towards the stands’ side, too, which could well be the place to be with two or three others drawn in that area likely to go forward.
Finally, EYNHALLOW looks an each-way bet at 12/1 (General 1/5 1,2,3,4,5) in the closing Duke Of Edinburgh Handicap.
Charlie Appleby won this race with Rare Rhythm last year, a horse that had been off the track 371 days, so Eynhallow’s absence of 120 days looks a positive if anything, especially as he’s run well fresh a couple of times.
The son of Nathaniel is a really strong stayer and has plenty more to give at 1m4f, as he’s only run over the distance three times and a big field and good gallop looks sure to bring out the best in him.
If James McDonald can get him to settle he must go close, as he raced really keenly when second to Walton Street at Meydan when last seen on February 22.
A 3lb pull at the weights can help him reverse the form with that rival, his wide draw is a positive and McDonald has a 12 from 49 record at 24 per cent when riding for Appleby in the UK.
Posted at 1700 BST on 21/06/18.
Ben Linfoot's Value Bet aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +364.34pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current).
Click here for the full Value Bet record
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