Timeform uses its pace maps to identify three horses who are likely to be suited by the run of the race on Monday.
KNOWWHENTORUN – 19:00 Wolverhampton
Pace Forecast: Strong
The likes of Dark Company, Richard R H B and Hooflepuff should ensure a strong pace in the finale, putting the emphasis firmly on stamina at this trip.
That ought to suit KNOWWHENTORUN, who was seemingly crying out for a stiffer test in two starts on the all-weather towards the end of 2021, including when last seen finishing a staying-on sixth over a mile at Kempton six weeks ago.
The longer trip here should be well within his compass and this set of circumstances might prove the catalyst for an improved display, particularly now that he is refitted with cheekpieces from a career-low mark.
GAOT – 16:05 Taunton
Pace Forecast: Strong
Joyful Kit (2), Sawpit Sienna (11), Minnie Escape (6) and West On Sunset (8) all like to get on with things, so their presence in the line-up should guarantee a strong gallop.
That will play into the hands of GAOT (4), who usually races off the pace with the aim of trying to get her to settle (can sometimes be keen).
That should be achievable now back down in trip in a big field and the way she shaped when filling the runner-up spot on her penultimate outing at Exeter suggests she is competitively handicapped when she puts it all together.
ALGHEED – 16:30 Wolverhampton
Pace Forecast: Very Weak
It’s hard to make a strong case for which of the five runners will make the running here, so it seems inevitable that the gallop will be on the steady side.
Khatwah is perhaps the likeliest pace angle, but that’s just a tentative view and there is every chance ALGHEED will be the one to go on given that she made all when registering her only career win so far at Lingfield in August.
She dictated a steady pace on that occasion and similar tactics could prove very effective now dropping back into a handicap. A BHA mark of 77 also looks fair judged on the balance of her form.
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