Free racing tips: Betting advice from leading tipster Rory Delargy

Recommended bets, Sunday October 25

2pts win One Style in 1.22 Aintree at 14/1 (minimum 11/2)

0.5pts e.w Let’s Go Dutchess in 3.27 Wincanton at 50/1 (4 places – 40/1 minimum)

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Style Over Substance? One Style 1.22 Aintree

I wrote this race up briefly in The Irish Field, suggesting that Minellacelebration might be underestimated, and that may be the case by off time but he’s been put in as second favourite and with a band of heavy rain likely to tun the going very testing, that dampens my ardour and Dave had little enough to start with.

I must say that I would revisit this judgment if the track wasn’t riding too deep and the horse drifted but as it stands the one who has been missed by the compilers is the Venetia Williams-trained One Style.

Venetia’s record with chasers returning from a break is excellent and it’s become something of a cliché that her horses revel in the mud. As such, it’s often hard to find value about her chasers as they tend to be well-backed by the stats boys, but that isn’t the case here, with the lightly raced One Style, who has shown all his best form in the mud and on flat tracks, put in at double figures.

Veterans’ races tend to go to the least exposed runners for obvious reasons and Venetia has farmed similar races in the past with similar types.

One Style has had only 13 career starts over fences and his record when completing is 22334311111. That stands out in this contest, where many of his rivals are on the downgrade, and he may well start favourite in a race his trainer won last year with another lightly raced type.

Dutch For Beginners: 3.27 Wincanton - Lets Go Dutchess

Oscars Moonshine dominates the betting and is the likeliest winner in this handicap hurdle but his presence does help shape this race for each-way punters and with most firms paying four places, there is a sneaky bet here.

Lets Go Dutchess has got ideas of her own (including a refusal to jump off at Newton Abbot last month) and is inconsistent but the 10/1 about her being placed here is very tempting. She’s not won since 2017 but has shown a fair degree of ability remains on her last two starts, particularly at Hereford last time.

Take out the easy winner Cotton End, who still looked about a stone in front the handicapper, and she was only beaten 4½l, and travelled pretty well to a point. Her Wincanton record – all in double-digit fields – reads 332250, with the last run forgivable as it saw her dropped down to an inadequate 2m, and the 5 being a very creditable effort off a 23lb higher mark in a much better race than this. It’s a huge ‘if’, but if she finds that form again, the favourite won’t see which way she’s gone.

Her mark reflects what she’s capable of these days and although there’s plenty that can go wrong, and she meets some in-form rivals, the nature of the track means she should be kept amused, and she could very easily hit the frame.

If she does plant herself, there will be a queue of bookmakers offering to refund stakes so the damage ought to be minimal. That said, her quirks means stakes must be kept fairly small and if the price goes, I’d not want to chase it.

Preview posted 1800 BST on 24/10/2020