Simon Holt: Wade in with Waldgeist | Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe tips

Waldgeist wins in good style
Waldgeist wins in good style

Top commentator Simon Holt is taking on Enable with a home-trained fancy in Sunday's Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at the newly-redeveloped ParisLongchamp.

Recommended bets

1pt e.w. Waldgeist 3.05 Longchamp at 7/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record


The planets could be aligning at the right time for Enable's attempt to win her second Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp on Sunday as John Gosden's superb filly proved she had recovered from some early-season injury woes when winning the September Stakes at Kempton and has drawn well in stall six.

Despite being likely to start at close to even money, and looking the most likely winner, her task should not be under-estimated as only two fillies, Corrida and Treve, have backed up before and, whereas Frankie Dettori's mount was receiving all the allowances 12 months ago, she now has to concede weight to the younger generation in what might be a slightly stronger renewal.

However, what is indisputably in Enable's favour is that her main rivals Sea Of Class and WALDGEIST have both drawn high which, statistically, makes their task very difficult.

Sea Of Class, supplemented earlier in the week, should have ground conditions to suit (she would prefer it to remain dry) and, like Enable last year, gets weight all round.

William Haggas's filly has been most impressive in both the Irish Oaks and the Yorkshire Oaks but jockey James Doyle, who has been sweating all week to get down to 8st9lb, may have to risk a late charge from the back of the field in the home straight. It's not impossible especially as there should be plenty of pace on.

Waldgeist could prove each-way value. Andre Fabre's four-year-old has progressed really well this season having proved disappointing last term after chasing home Brametot in the Prix du Jockey Club (French Derby).

5
13
49-5OR: 122CD
4/1

Successful in his last four starts, the stoutly-bred son of Galileo put up the best performance of his career when cruising clear of the re-opposing Talismanic and Cloth Of Stars on Trials Day in the Prix Foy and his superb trainer, who has sent out seven Arc winners, is bound to have him spot on.

Also moderately drawn is the St Leger winner Kew Gardens who returns to the scene of his Grand Prix de Paris victory here in July.

However, this hugely likeable colt is developing into a smart performer and the fact his trainer Aidan O'Brien fields the pacemaker Nelson (amongst five representatives) to ensure the race is run at a true gallop could bring his stamina into play.

However, a good pace will also suit Dettori and, with Nelson drawn just three doors down towards the inside, he may get an ideal lead.

In conclusion, Enable looks the one to beat but, at better odds, I would suggest a small each-way bet on the improving Waldgeist who is trained by a genius - and an Arc specialist.

Posted at 1800 BST on 06/10/18

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