Mal Boyle's Saturday Stats: John Gosden on fire

Saturday’s Stat Attack (based on a five year study unless stated):

BATH (Stats relate to the last five meetings this year as there is no history to this fixture, save for the odd transferred race down the years):

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33 races – 10 winning favourites – 32/33 winners scored at a top price of 11/1

Average Placepot dividend: £133.94

Highest dividend: £260.80 (July 18) - Lowest dividend: £65.10 (August 4)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Malcolm Saunders (7/1, 9/2 & 5/2 – Malcolm boasts a recent strike rate of 34% via 13 winners at Bath) – 2 runners today:

Aberline & Charlie Victor (5.10)

DONCASTER:

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37 races – 7 winning favourites – 35/37 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,595.24

Highest dividend: £6,810.90 (2014) - Lowest dividend: £24.70 (2016)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

4 winners—Roger Varian (7/1, 5/1, 9/2 & 5/2 – Roger secured at 18/1 double on the card in 2012) – 1 runner today: Equitation (3.05)

NEWBURY:

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36 races – 9 winning favourites – 34/36 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £2,140.06

Highest dividend: £10,565.40 (2015) - Lowest dividend: £12.80 (2016)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—John Gosden (11/1, 3/1 & 9/4*) – 3 runners today:

To Eternity (2.25), Hyde Par, Nathra (3.35) & Erdogan (4.05)

3 winners—Roger Vrian (12/1, 9/1 & 5/4*) – 4 runners today:

Defoe (2.25), Sun Lover (3.00), Spangled (3.35) & Zeelander (4.05)

For the record, Mick Channon claimed a 220/1 double in 2015 – Mick saddles three big outsiders on Saturday: Ann Without An E (1.50), Harlequeen (2.25) & Dock Of The Bay (4.05)

NEWMARKET:

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35 races – 8 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,112.86

Highest dividend: £3,456.50 (2012) - Lowest dividend: £28.30 (2016)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

5 winners—Richard Fahey (8/1, 5/1, 5/2*, 5/2* & 2/1* - all in the last three years including doubles at 30/1 & 17/1) – 1 runner today: Collateral Beauty (3.55)

4 winners—Mark Johnston (11/2, 5/1, 1/2* & 2/5* - including a 17/2 double last year) – 4 runners today:

Poet’s Society (2.45), Travelcard (3.20), Sofia’s Rock (4.30) & Star Of The East 5.05)

RIPON:

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35 races – 10 winning favourites – 27/35 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £1,530.10

Highest dividend: £6,876.30 (2014) - Lowest dividend: £108.30 (2013)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

7 winners—Richard Fahey (25/1, 12/1, 9/2*, 9/2, 4/1, 3/1 & 1/20* - including a 337/1 double in 2012) – 7 runners today: Cosa Nostra (2.05), Paddy Power (2.40), Eastern Impact, George Bowen, Right Touch & Growl (3.15) & Simmy’s Copshop (3.50)

6 winners—David O’Meara (20/1, 14/1, 7/1*, 5/1***, 4/1 & 6/4* including 119/1 treble in 2014 + 104/1 double in 2012) – 5 runners: Harwoods Volante (2.40), Al Qahwa & Out Do (3.15), Rousayan (5.00) & Fire Leopard (5.35)

PERTH:

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35 races – 11 winning favourites – 34/35 winners scored at a top price of 14/1

Average Placepot dividend: £206.28

Highest dividend: £560.20 (2016) - Lowest dividend: £11.60 (2015)

Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

6 winners—Lucinda Russell (7/1, 7/1, 4/1, 7/2, 5/2 & 11/8 – Lucinda secured a 179/1 treble in 2014) – 4 runners today:

Devito’sgoldengirl (2.00), Spoils Of War (2.35), Thorpe (4.15) & Onahandshake (5.25)

4 winners—Gordon Elliott (11/4*, 2/1*, 2/1* & 4/9*) – 4 runners today:

Knockmaole Boy (2.00), Galveston (2.35), Urtheoneiwant (4.50) & Shillelagh Tiara (5.25)

4 winners—Nicky Richards (14/1, 5/1, 5/2* & 15/8*) – 2 runners today:

Caius Marcius (3.45) & Rubytwo (5.25)

MARKET RASEN:

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30 races – 11 winning favourites – 29/30 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

Average Placepot dividend: £157.12

Highest dividend: £475.50 (2015) - Lowest dividend: £18.50 (2016)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:

3 winners—Brian Ellison (8/1, 9/4* & 13/8* - all in the last three years – including a 28/1 double in 2015) – 1 runner today: G’Day Aussie (8.00)

Leading trainers this week (Monday through Friday):

4/8—Sir Mark Prescott (7/2, 9/4*, 13/8* & 10/11*) – 1 runner today:

Scarla Regia (4.30 Wolverhampton)

4/10—Sir Michael Stoute (5/1, 5/2, 5/2, 4/11*) – 4 runners today:

Eqtidaar (1.30 Nottingham), Qaroun (2.10 Newbury), Precision (4.10 Nottingham) & Aim If Artemis (4.50 Newbury) – it is worth noting that Sir Michael is only conspicuous on Saturday via his total absence of entries

4/28—Richard Fahey (8/1, 5/2*, 2/1* & 6/4) – 7 runners today:

Boogie Babe (2.20 Nottingham), Character Onesie (3.25 Wolverhampton), Wirral Girl (3.45 Newbury), Normandy Blue (4.00 Wolverhampton), Gabrial’s Star (4.10 Nottingham), Faradays Spark (6.00 Catterick) & Quayside (6.30 Catterick)

John Gosden deserves additional ‘copy’ today, given that five of his last seven runners have won, statistics which have produced 11 points of level stake profit.

John originally held eight declarations for today, though the stable is down to five representatives at the time of writing following three withdrawals:

To Eternity (2.25 Newbury), Stream Song (2.30 Doncaster), Nathra (3.35 Newbury), Erdogan (4.05 Newbury) & Johnny Barnes (4.10 Doncaster)