Malcolm Boyle looks at the historical evidence and highlights the trainers he think might be worth following today.
Friday Stat Attack (Five year study period unless stated)
NEWMARKET (this is a three year study as various races were run on different cards before 2014):
21 races – 4 winning favourites – 16/21 winners scored at a top price of 11/1
Average Placepot dividend: £749.60
Highest dividend: £1,546.00 (2014) - Lowest dividend: £208.90 (2015)
Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the study period:
3 winners—Aidan O'Brien (7/1, 5/2* % 5/4*) – 7 runners today:
Battle Of Jericho (1.50), I Can Fly & Butterscotch (2.25), Cougar Mountain (3.00) & Magical, Happily & September (3.35)
YORK:
35 races – 7 winning favourites – 24/35 winners scored at a top price of 11/1
Average Placepot dividend: £395.30
Highest dividend: £829.30 (2016) - Lowest dividend: £79.30 (2015)
Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:
5 winners—Richard Fahey (16/1, 14/1, 11/2, 11/2 & 5/1) – 10 runners today:
Zap, International Man & Guzman (2.10), Home Cummins (2.45), Equitant & Militia (3.20), Cosa Nostra & Barefoot Baby (5.05) & Luis Vaz De Torrez & Khelman (5.35)
4 winners—David Barron (14/1, 9/1, 9/1 & 8/1) – 5 runners today:
Bolder Bob (3.55), Venturous (4.30) & Glorious Politics, The Commendatore & Twin Appeal (5.35)
NEWTON ABBOT (Four year study as the meeting was abandoned in 2012 – this is their last meeting in 2017):
28 races – 13 winning favourites – 27/28 winners scored at a top price of 9/1
Average Placepot dividend: £337.77
Highest dividend: £815.80 (2014) - Lowest dividend: £51.90 (2015)
Leading trainers at the corresponding meeting during the study period:
4 winners—Philip Hobbs (11/4*, 2/1, 10/11* & 1/2*) – 2 runners today:
Pointed And Sharp (2.00) & Crooks Peak (5.25)
3 winners—Paul Nicholls (10/3, 5/2 & 1/4*) – 6 runners today:
Darling Maltaix (2.00), Diego Du Charmil (2.35), Connetable & Winningtry (3.10) & Balck Corton & Frodon (3.45)
KEMPTON (this is a new fixture whereby by these stats have been created from the last seven meeting at the venue this season):
55 races – 22 winning favourites – 48/55 winners scored at a top price of 12/1
Average Placepot dividend: £145.41
Leading trainers at Kempton during the study period:
4 winners—Roger Charlton (33/1, 7/4*, 8/11* & 4/7* – 3 runners today:
Clairette (6.45) & Sister Celine & Arabian Sea (7.45)
3 winners—Richard Hughes (9/1, 11/4 & 8/11*) – 2 runners today:
Secratario (7.15) & Bluff Crag (8.45)
These two trainers have runners at Kempton’s meeting on Saturday which are as follows:
Roger Charlton – 3 runners: Universal Command (6.45), Blue Mist (7.15) & Chester Street (8.15)
Richard Hughes – 4 runners: Inuk & Zapateado (5.45), Patchwork (8.45) & Lets Be Happy (8.15)
