Chester Stat Attack – Day 2 of the May meeting

Ten year Placepot details on day two of the Chester May meeting:

2016: £30.40 (8 favourites – 1 winner - 3 placed - 4 unplaced)

2015: £10.30 (6 favourites: 3 winners - 2 placed - 1 unplaced)

2014: £21.60 (6 favourites: 3 winners - 2 placed - 1 unplaced)

2013: £16.40 (6 favourites: 4 winners & 2 placed)

2012: £536.60 (7 favourites: No winners - 3 placed - 4 unplaced)

2011: £9.40 (7 favourites: 2 winners - 4 placed - 1 unplaced)

2010: £583.60 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

2009: £17.30 (7 favourites - 3 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced)

2008: £116.20 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

2007: £47.00 (6 favourites - 4 winners & 2 unplaced)

Average Placepot divided: £138.88 - 65 favourites - 22 won - 23 placed - 20 unplaced (exact science)

Trainer records – General thoughts:

Four popular trainers at Chester saddle plenty of runners, boasting winners on a fairly regular basis.  That said, winners come at a cost because Tom Dascombe, Richard Fahey, Mark Johnston and David Evans have recorded a level stake aggregate loss of 245 points during the last five years at Chester (all meetings – includes yesterday’s sport) via a strike rate of just 12.3%.   Best case scenario is a loss of 41 points (David Evans) alongside the most negative figure of 70 which was posted by Mark Johnston.  These findings are poor given the quality of trainers on offer.

The four trainers have saddled 119 winners at all meetings at Chester during the study period, though an average of less than six gold medallists each per season is scant reward for 48 runners each year, especially by their high standards.

Aggregate 2017 update on the figures for the four relevant trainers:

Wednesday: 1/15 – loss of 10 points

May meeting - leading trainers during the last six years + yesterday:

15 winners—Aidan O’Brien – 5 runners today

14—Richard Fahey – 5 runners

13—Tom Dascombe – 9 runners

8—Andrew Balding – 3 runners

6—Mark Johnston – 4 runners

6—John Gosden – 3 runners

4—Ed Dunlop – 1 runner

4—David Evans – 6 runners

4—Charlie Hills – 2 runners

4—Sir Michael Stoute – 2 runners

3—David Barron – No more runners at Chester this week

3—Mick Channon – 2 runner

Stats relating to Day 2 during the last six years:

Leading trainer with runners today:

6 winners—Aidan O’Brien (7/2, 3/1, 7/4*, 10/11*, 8/11* & 4/11*) – 5 runners today: Deauville (2.25 and four in the 3.35 event: Venice Beach, The Anvil, Wings Of Eagles & Finn McCool.  Aidan’s record with favourites on day two during the study period stands at 4/5

No other trainer has saddled more than three winners

Most beaten favourites on the second day of the meeting (last six years):

6—John Gosden

4—Tom Dascombe

3—Sir Michael Stoute

Yesterday’s scoreboard and today’s runners for the relevant trainers:

1/1—Charlie Hills (2 points of level stake profit) – 1 runner at Chester today: Rebel De Lope (3.00)

1/1—Jamie Osborne (+14 LSP) – No more runners this week

1/1—John Quinn (+2 LSP) – 1 runner: Mistiroc (1.50)

1/2—John Gosden (+1 LSP) – 3 runners: Royal Artillery (2.25), Via Egnetia (3.00) & Cunco (3.35)

1/3—Andrew Balding (+14 LSP) – 3 runners: Brorocco (1.50), Count Octave (3.35) & Leontes (4.35)

1/3—Ralph Beckett (+5 LSP) – 1 runner: Munro (4.35)

1/4—David Evans (+1 LSP) – 6 runners today: Letmestopyouthere 3.00), Last Page, Felisa & Floss The Hoss (4.05), Awesome Allan (4.35) & Outback Blue (5.05)