Mal Boyle's Stat Attack: Sunday October 22

Kempton (National Hunt)

35 races – 19 winning favourites – All 35 winners scored at 12/1 or lower.

Average Placepot dividend: £142.82
Highest dividend: £468.70 (2016)
Lowest dividend: £7.50 (2013)

Leading trainer at the corresponding meeting during the five-year study period:

6 winners - Nigel Twiston-Davies (5/1, 9/2, 7/2**, 1/2*, 2/11* (twice) – 1 runner today: Better Days (4.50)

Nigel has benefited from three victories by The New One in recent years, though it should be noted that the trainer secured a 30/1 treble in 2014, followed by an 11/2 double the following year.

Southwell (All-weather)

This is a new fixture on the calendar. If we go back to the last all-weather fixture at Southwell, I note that the meeting produced a Placepot dividend of £3,558.70.

Eric Alston secured a 35/1 double at the course that day and having held two entries for the meeting last week, he now relies on Lord Franklin (5.10) who makes his Fibresand debut

If we look back to last week’s entries, it’s worth noting that leading trainer Michael Appleby (17 winners at the track during the last 12 months) runs every one of the seven options he held before the weekend.

Richard Fahey sits fourth in the list on the eight-winner mark, with the trainer having offered the green light to his only option five days ago, namely Penwortham (3.05).

Course details for every runner on Southwell’s unique Fibresand surface on Sunday:

The figures to left of the name of the horses is the relevant Southwell record; the figures to the right offer the total record relating to aggregate ratios at all of the five all-weather tracks.

1.30

0/0—Majestic Moon—0/4

1/5—Jay Kay—1/6

1/4—Muqaared—1/14

1/2—House Of Commons—1/8

0/0—Dandyleekie—0/4

4/13—Shearian—5/24

2/15—Boots And Spurs—3/29

4/20—Monsieur Jimmy—4/24

0/0—African Showgirl—0/6

2.00

No previous all-weather assignments for Queen Moon

No previous all-weather assignments for Quiet Moment

0/0—Breathoffreshair—0/3

0/3—Medici Moon—0/6

0/0—Compass Rose—0/2

0/0—Orientelle—0/1

0/2—Harvest Ranger—0/3

0/3—Ejabah—0/5

0/0—Super Baby—0/1

0/1—Breaking Free—0/3

0/0—Take This Waltz—0/2

0/0—Highland Clearance—0/3

0/0—Bed Of Diamonds—0/3

0/0—Ten In The Hat—0/2

2.30

No previous all-weather assignments for Got My Mojo

0/3—Bo Selecta—0/5

No previous all-weather assignments for Sunjectivity

No previous assignments for Born For Champagne

0/1—Eponina—0/4

0/0—Know The Truth—0/4

0/0—Mama Africa—0/3

0/2—Nellies Dancer—0/4

0/5—Red Shanghai—0/9

3.05

1/1—Holiday Magic—7/21

1/1—Supersta—7/26

0/0—Mugnus Maximus—3/17

0/2—War Department—3/17

0/0—Penwortham—1/2

5/6—Custard The Dragon—6/17

0/0—Echo Of Lightning—0/1

1/2—Pearl Spectre—6/26

3/3—Hammer Gun—4/11

11/63—Alpha Tauri—11/74

0/0—Florencio—3/12

0/0—Lady Perignon—0/1

3.40

1/7—Saraby—1/12

3/19—Coiste Bodhar—4/41

0/1—Kaaber—1/15

1/5—Autumn Tonic—2/26

0/5—Rafaaf—1/27

0/3—All Or Nothin—1/16

2/8—Interchoice Star—7/53

5/23—Master Of Song—5/38

0/1—Clouded Gold—0/3

5/29—Very First Blade—6/63

0/0—Lukoutoldmakezebak—0/2

0/3—George Bailey—0/12

4.10

0/1—Be Bold—0/8

0/3—Prisom—1/13

0/6—Tasaaboq—3/40

0/1—Excellent World—0/1

0/2—Louis Vee—6/41

3/20—Quadriga—4/42

0/1—Nellie Dean—0/9

0/0—Quick Monet—0/2

0/0—Le Laitier—0/5

0/1—Bingo George—0/5

No previous all-weather assignments for Pound Note

4.40

0/0—Musharrif—0/4

0/0—Lucky Beggar—0/3

0/0—Royal Mezyan—2/10

4/6—Piazon—4/9

2/8—Captain Lars—5/27

7/25—Crosse Fire—7/35

3/9—Treaty Of Rome—3/12

0/2—Penny Dreadful—1/21

0/2—Appleberry—0/4

0/0—Noah Amor—0/5

6/22—Ace Master—8/34

0/0—Ayresome Angel—0/2

1/6—Archimedes—1/10

5.10

2/13—Serenity Now—2/14

2/3—My Renaissance—4/23

0/0—Topamichi—1/13

6/15—Stand Guard—28/80

0/0—Lord Franklin—0/4

0/0—London Glory—1/6

0/0—Gold Merlion—1/4

0/0—Aumerie—2/11

0/0—Mister Showman—0/1

0/0—Bob’s Boy—0/3

0/0—Treble Strike—0/8

0/0—Eugenic—1/9

0/8—Star Ascending—2/18

1/10—Rupert Boy—1/17