Mal Boyle crunches the numbers and says Nicky Henderson is the man to follow at Kempton this afternoon.
Saturday Stat Atack
CHEPSTOW:
Represented leading trainers at Chepstow this season:
6/29—Philip Hobbs (+3) – 4 runners: Bite The Biscuit, (1.55), Rock The Kasbah (2.30), Bold Henry (4.15) & Motueka (5.20)
6/30—Paul Nicholls – 2 runners: Two Hoots (1.55) & Red Hanrahan (3.40)
6/37—Colin Tizzard (+8 LSP) – 1 runner: Sew On Target (4.15)
5/11—Tom George (+3) – 3 runners: Hardrock Davis & Broom Tip (1.55) & Module (4.15)
Average Placepot dividend this season (9 meetings): £165.30
Favourite totals (all races): 72 - 23 winners - 16 placed (exact science) - 33 unplaced
Best Placepot return this season: £369.60 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced
Lowest Placepot dividend: £11.30 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced
Six of the nine meetings at Chepstow this season have produced at least three winning favourites. At least one favourite won on the card at all nine meetings.
Five year records at the corresponding Chepstow fixture:
Leading trainers:
4 winners—Rebecca Curtis (5/2, 4/5*, 8/11* & 8/15*) – 3 runners: Mystical Knight (2.30), Racing Pulse (3.40) & Hidden Impact (5.20)
3 winners—Philip Hobbs (11/2, 7/2 & 13/5*) – 4 runners: Bite The Biscuit (1.55), Rock The Kasbah (2.30), Bold Henry (4.15) & Motueka (5.20)
Average Placepot dividend: £95.04
Highest dividend: £136.20 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £27.30 (2015)
Favourite & SP details:
36 races – 11 winning favourites – 33/36 winners scored at a top price of 12/1
KEMPTON (N/H):
Represented leading trainers at Kempton this season:
8/35—Nicky Henderson – 10 runners: – 10 runners: Argante & Alibi De Sivola (1.15), Charli Parcs & Percy Street (1.50), Gold Present (2.25), River Wylde (3.00), Triolo D’Alene & Cocktails At Dawn (3.35), Full Shift (4.10) & Champ (4.45)
6/23—Paul Nicholls – 5 runners: Coastal Tiep & Rainy City (1.15), Frodon (2.25), Capitaine (3.00) & Irish Saint (3.35)
5/18—Alan King – 6 runners: River Frost & Wishing And Hoping (1.15), Fidux & Master Blueyes (1.50), Elgin (3.00) & Annacotty (3.35)
Average Placepot dividend this season (9 meetings): £254.41
Favourite totals (all races): 70 - 23 winners - 14 placed (exact science) - 33 unplaced
Best Placepot return this season: £742.50 - 7 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 4 unplaced
Lowest Placepot dividend: £16.40 - 8 favourites - 2 winners - 4 placed - 2 unplaced
Five of the nine meetings at Kempton this season have produced at least three winning favourites. At least one favourite won on the card at all nine meetings.
Five year records at the corresponding Kempton fixture:
Leading trainers:
7 winners—Paul Nicholls (9/1, 8/1, 9/4, 15/8**, 5/4*, Evens* & 4/6*) – 5 runners: Coastal Tiep & Rainy City (1.15), Frodon (2.25), Capitaine (3.00) & Irish Saint (3.35)
4 winners—Nicky Henderson (5/1, 9/2, 5/2 & 11/10*) – 10 runners: Argante & Alibi De Sivola (1.15), Charli Parcs & Percy Street (1.50), Gold Present (2.25), River Wylde (3.00), Triolo D’Alene & Cocktails At Dawn (3.35), Full Shift (4.10) & Champ (4.45)
4 winners—Alan King (5/1, 9/4, 4/6* & 4/9*) – 6 runners: River Frost & Wishing And Hoping (1.15), Fidux & Master Blueyes (1.50), Elgin (3.00) & Annacotty (3.35)
Average Placepot dividend: £656.30
Highest dividend: £3,166.30 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £7.40 (2012)
Favourite & SP details:
35 races – 13 winning favourites – 32/35 winners scored at a top price of 12/1
NEWCASTLE (N/H):
Represented leading trainers at Newcastle this season:
4/12—Brian Ellison – 1 runner: – 1 runner: Mr Springsprong (4.30)
4/24—Sue Smith (+4 LSP) – 4 runners: De Vous A Moi (1.35), Smooth Stepper & Straidahanna (2.45), Special Wells (4.30)
Average Placepot dividend this season (7 meetings): £1,392.37
Favourite totals (all races): 48 - 19 winners - 15 placed (exact science) - 14 unplaced
Best Placepot return this season: £9,267.40 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced
Lowest Placepot dividend: £21.40 - 7 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 2 unplaced
Three of the seven meetings at Newcastle this season have produced at least three winning favourites. At least one favourite won on the card at all seven meetings.
Four year records at the corresponding Newcastle fixture (meeting abandoned in 2013):
Leading trainers:
4 winners—Brian Ellison (6/1, 6/1. 11/2 & 11/2) – 1 runner: Mr Springsprong (4.30)
Average Placepot dividend: £154.65
Highest dividend: £235.80 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £72.20 (2012)
Favourite & SP details:
28 races – 8 winning favourites – 27/28 winners scored at a top price of 14/1
LINGFIELD (A/W):
Represented leading trainers at Lingfield since February 1:
3 winners—Andrew Balding (9/4*, 2/1 & 15/8*) – 2 runners: Many Waters (1.30) & Verne Castle (2.05)
3 winners—Ralph Beckett (15/8, Evens* & 4/5*) – 1 runner: Half A Sixpence (2.40)
Average Placepot dividend since the end of January (8 meetings): £449.51
Favourite totals (all races): 54 - 23 winners - 16 placed (exact science) - 15 unplaced
Best Placepot return during the period: £2,764.80 – 6 favourites - No winners - 2 placed - 4 unplaced
Lowest Placepot dividend: £3.90 - 6 favourites - 4 winners & 2 placed
Six of the eight meetings at Lingfield since the end of January have produced at least three winning favourites. At least one favourite won at seven of the eight meetings.
Five year records at the corresponding Lingfield fixture:
Leading trainers:
4 winners—Marco Botti (5/1, 11/4, 2/1 & 2/5*) – 1 runner: Grandisar (3.15)
Average Placepot dividend: £86.96
Highest dividend: £181.90 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £11.70 (2014)
Favourite & SP details:
35 races – 14 winning favourites – 33/35 winners scored at a top price of 10/1
WOLVERHAMPTON:
Represented leading trainers at Wolverhampton since February 1:
6 winners—Michael Appleby (9/1, 13/2, 6/1, 2/1*, 15/8 & 4/5*) - 4 at Wolverhampton tonight: Spice Mill (5.45), Hannington (6.15), Touch Of Faith (6.45) & What Usain (8.15)
3 winners—Richard Fahey (3/1, 5/2 & 15/8) – 1 runner: Dark Confidant (8.45)
Average Placepot dividend since the end of January (8 meetings): £175.70
Favourite totals (all races): 58 - 18 winners - 19 placed (exact science) - 21 unplaced
Best Placepot return this season: £762.00 – 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced
Lowest Placepot dividend: £9.60 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 4 placed - 1 unplaced
Only three of the eight meetings at Wolverhampton since the end of January have produced at least three winning favourites. That said, at least one favourite won on the card at all eight meetings.
GENERAL:
Leading trainers this week (Monday through Friday inclusive):
4/11—Michael Appleby (+5 LSP) – 4 at Wolverhampton tonight: Spice Mill (5.45), Hannington (6.15), Touch Of Faith (6.45) & What Usain (8.15)
4/14—Kim Bailey (+12 LSP) – 3 runners: Glenforde (1.55 Newcastle), Knockanrawley (2.45 Newcastle) & Abbreviate (3.40 Chepstow)
4/14—Tim Vaughan (+9 LSP) – 2 runners: Nathans Pride (1.15 Kempton) & Makethedifference (3.05 Chepstow)