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Free horse racing tips: Best Bets for Aintree and Sandown

L'Homme Presse was a 3/1 winner for Chris Day last week and has three early bets for Saturday's action.

Racing betting tips: Saturday December 3

1pt win Sounds Russian in 1.30 Aintree at 7/1 (William Hill)

1pt win Five Star Getaway in 2.05 Aintree at 14/1 (General)

1pt win Homme Public in 2.20 Sandown at 8/1 (General)

1pt win Secret Investor in 1.37 Chepstow at 12/1 (General)

Get Stuck In: EP5 | Patrick Mullins, Oli Greenall, Pat Fahey & Charlie Lonsden

There’s an early chance for Randox Grand National contenders to get a look at the big Aintree fences on Saturday with a field of 25 entered in the Boylesports Becher Handicap Chase.

In view of results over the last couple of weekends, the bookies are taking no chances with the Dan Skelton-trained Ashtown Lad, who finished third behind subsequent Coral Trophy runner-up Remastered over hurdles here a month ago.

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That form has a solid look to it with Gericault Roque, 20 lengths behind, filling third place at Newbury at the weekend. His fifth of 23 in the Scottish National indicates he’s reasonably treated but I think the fences would need to bring about a fair bit of improvement to consider him well in and he surely can’t go off much shorter than the 4/1 currently on offer.

The Grand Sefton, which also used to be run on this card, could well have a bearing on this race with runner up Geskille, who looked to run out of real estate there, hoping to register a big race success for the new partnership of Oliver Greenall and Josh Guerrier who have enjoyed a fine start to the season.

He’s already proved he stays further and could be the type to enjoy a long standing love affair with these fences. It's only the price that puts me off.

Anything Willie Mullins runs in the UK will always attract attention and his Captain Kangaroo has had a big reputation since beating Kilcruit in a Clonmel bumper a couple of years ago. He has recently begun to fulfill that promise, winning the Cork National last time and he's not handicapped out of it despite being up ten pounds. However the form was let down at Navan on Sunday so that has to be a concern.

Last year’s runner up Hill Sixteen now finds himself nine pounds higher in the handicap after proving consistent afterwards with a fourth placing in the Sky Bet Chase and close second to Nuts Well at Kelso in March. He warmed up for this with another solid effort behind Sounds Russian at Kelso in October.

The question is whether he can win this off this higher mark when he couldn’t quite make it last year.

Five Star Getaway - solid Saturday bet
Five Star Getaway - solid Saturday bet

In the last couple of years, Christian Williams has established himself as one of the top target trainers around and in FIVE STAR GETAWAY I think he has a well treated eight-year-old with the right profile for this.

He looked ready to step up next time when tenderly handled over shorter at Bangor, looking every bit like he’d appreciate a step back up to three miles over which he was so impressive at Kempton last Christmas from just a 2lbs lower mark.

His next effort, when third to Le Milos at Sandown, now looks very strong but I think a flat track suits him better in any case and, although he was pulled up in his only effort over these fences in the Topham, he may have found that an insufficient test of stamina.

I can’t see Williams aiming him here if he believed he didn’t like the fences and I’d say the 14/1 on offer is the most attractive bet of the weekend at this stage.

Irish Gold Cup winner Conflated and Grade One-winning novice Ahoy Senor head the betting for the BoyleSports Many Clouds Chase and, of the two, I much prefer the chances of the former, with Ahoy Senor having questions to answer after fluffing his lines in the bet365 Charlie Hall at Wetherby.

Gordon Elliott’s charge looked sure to benefit from the outing at Down Royal on his own return and a repetition of his effort at the Dublin Racing Festival makes him the one to beat. However I’m not sure what that form is really worth as he was always advantageously positioned in a slowly run affair which would not have suited the runner-op Minella Indo.

So the question is which of a number of improving youngsters could take this race like Protektorat last year? I came down on the side of SOUNDS RUSSIAN, who has a similar chance to Dusart on Ayr running from April and who won a good-looking handicap at Kelso on his reappearance.

That and the fact Henderson said Dusart wasn’t ready to run in last week’s Coral Gold Cup leads me to believe Ruth Jefferson’s stable star could be the one to take advantage of any slip ups from the two chalked up at the head of the betting and 7/1 looks to underestimate him.

Down at Sandown, we have become accustomed to the Betfair Tingle Creek Chase producing one of the highlights of the pre-Christmas racing programme and this will be some spectacle if Shishkin, Greaneteen and Edwardstone all turn up.

However, I couldn’t really spot any value and prefer to look to the Betfair Daily Rewards Handicap Hurdle for the final selection.

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With Harry Fry’s Mares’ Novices' Hurdle winner Love Envoi entered there is value to be had if you believe she may just need her reappearance and, with the aforementioned Greenall and Guerriero having two fast improving young hurdlers entered, I like the chances of Homme Public, who sauntered to victory at Wetherby last time and looks to complete the hat trick, having signed off last season in similar fashion at Newcastle in March.

He’s taken time to acclimatise since arriving from France but has always been highly rated and could now be about to reveal his true ability, 10/1 gives us plenty of margin at this stage.

A word of caution, the stable do have a similar type entered in Herbiers but he’s also engaged over further at Aintree, whereas HOMME PUBLIC has just the one weekend engagement.

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At Chepstow, potential contenders for the Welsh National get a chance to stake their claim in the Coral Welsh National Trial Handicap Chase where previous winner, Secret Reprieve, sees a racecourse for only the fourth time since that victory.

He’s been out of form since and it would take a monumental effort to win this after finishing last at Cheltenham in October but the one I fancy, SECRET INVESTOR, has a 650 day absence to overcome.

When last seen, he beat dual King George winner Clan Des Obeaux in the 2021 Denman Chase, registering an RPR of 167 in the process.

I doubt the absence will be a concern coming from the Paul Nicholls yard as he was entered at the 48 hour stage for the Charlie Hall before being withdrawn and he’s been given 4lbs by the handicapper since he was last seen.

Interestingly that is the same mark from which Nicholls spotted the opportunity for Frodon to Win at Wincanton recently and, as a horse who goes well fresh, loves better ground and who is unbeaten in two runs at Chepstow, I think the 12/1 is a price we should all be taking now.

Published at 0930 GMT on 29/11/22

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