Murt Khan heads to Sedgefield for today's best bets, including a 16/1 chance who can improve significantly on a recent chase debut.
3.20 Sedgefield preview
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Last year ROLL OF THUNDER put in a couple of decent performances over hurdles, which included a second off what was effectively a mark of 101 as he was out of the handicap and another fair effort was at Sedgefield, also over timber, when he finished fourth, beaten 10 lengths off a mark of 98.
There were also a couple of modest displays thrown in but there is evidence of him running up to near a rating of 100.
He made his chase debut at this track over a trip just shy of 2m4f after nearly a year off in an event at the end of October where he had no chance at the ratings. What I took out of the race is that he jumped very well and looked to have a fair amount of enthusiasm despite pulling up.
With that run under his belt, he should be spot on today back over two miles on decent ground which seem to be his optimum conditions.
It's a lot of guesswork, but bar the top two in the betting it's a very open affair and he runs off a lowly mark of 84 with a tongue-tie on for the first time.
Rhythm Of Sound was impressive last time but the race fell apart - he runs unpenalised and should go very close.
I think BOLLIN LINE is worth a saver as he is in the form of his life and runs off a mark of 94 whilst his hurdle mark has risen to 107. He will be hard to beat.
Recommended bets:
1pt win Roll Of Thunder in 3.20 Sedgefield at 16/1
2pts win Bollin Line in 3.20 Sedgefield at 7/4
Posted at 0730 GMT on 28/11/17.
Follow Murt on Twitter: @murt_khan
Breaking It Down P&L: +17.25pts
- November: -22.95pts
- October: +3.10pts
- September: +1.75pts
- August: +0.36pts
- July: +15.09pts
- June: -10.10pts
- May: +30.00pts
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