Breaking It Down: Murt Khan's horse racing tip for Windsor on Monday

Owner and pro punter Murt Khan has a tip for this evening's meeting at Windsor.

Recommended bets: Breaking It Down

0.5pt e.w. Gravity Wave in 8.45 Windsor at 20/1

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Prosecution caught the eye when staying on well last time out having run keen enough on his handicap debut. He should improve for the run and should be thereabouts.

Sandy Shores makes her turf debut and is related to a few middle-distance types. She could improve for a step up in trip today.   

However, the horse that interests me that could be overpriced at 20/1 is GRAVITY WAVE.  

He made a promising start to his career with a third on debut, followed up by a narrow-margin victory.  His first start of the year wasn't at all bad, either, finishing seventh at Nottingham in a 0-75, beaten eight lengths. He was then stepped up in class at Sandown going off at 40/1 in a 0-95 and he could never get competitive.

Last time out he was back on the all-weather and didn't show much, similar to his only other start on Polytrack. There is every chance he may be more of a turf horse, though, having disappointed twice at Kempton and on the plus side over his last four runs he has dropped down 9lb in the handicap. 

The useful Finley Marsh is on board today and takes off another 7lb.

He drops in class (0-70) as well and there's every chance he could be more competitive this evening than on his runs of late. He's certainly worth chancing at big odds. 

Follow Murt on Twitter: @purple_n_gold1

Posted at 0810 BST on 19/06/17.

Breaking It Down P&L:

June +2.6pts
May +30pts  

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