Free betting tips: Qipco 1000 Guineas horse-by-horse guide

Last Updated May 06 2018, 14:35Racing
Laurens wins the Fillies' Mile at Newmarket
Laurens wins the Fillies' Mile at Newmarket

David Ord's horse-by-horse guide to Sunday's QIPCO 1000 Guineas and he's siding with a northern raider to light up Newmarket.

ALTYN ORDA

Oh So Sharp winner at two and good reappearance when second to Soliloquy in Nell Gwyn. Physically she can still progress and should stay a mile but hard to find a compelling reason as to why she’ll cope with her trial conqueror’s turn of foot any better here.

1
12
39-0OR: 103C
14/1
T: R VarianJ: L Dettori
Watch last raceLast run

ANNA NERIUM

Showed improved form on reappearance when drawing clear to beat the colts in the Free Handicap. Worth a shot in this on that evidence but could find a few too hot to handle.

2
7
39-0OR: 107C
16/1
T: R HannonJ: Tom Marquand
Watch last raceLast run

BILLESDON BROOK

Fourth in the Nell Gwyn on her return to action and while she’s entitled to improve from it – it would need a huge leap forward for her to be a serious contender here.

3
8
39-0OR: 100
66/1
T: R HannonJ: S M Levey
Watch last raceLast run

DAN’S DREAM

Supplemented after winning the Fred Darling at Newbury and definitely on the upgrade. Entitled to come forward again on only her fourth career start but is another with something to find on the book.

Dan's Dream (near side) wins at Newbury
Dan's Dream (near side) wins at Newbury

4
2
39-0OR: 105
20/1
T: M R ChannonJ: S De Sousa
Watch last raceLast run

HAPPILY

Easily forgiven her final race flop at two in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies’ Turf and leading player here on her European juvenile form including victory in the Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere. Worthy favourite but doesn’t have anywhere near the amount in hand on the formbook that the betting suggests.

5
4
39-0OR: 113BFD
11/4
T: A P O'BrienJ: R L Moore
Watch last raceLast run

I CAN FLY

Another O’Brien runner. Third to Altyn Orda in the Oh So Sharp and will come on for reappearance run at Leopardstown. Needs to but interesting she has been very strong in the market in recent days.

6
14
39-0OR: 102BF
7/1
T: A P O'BrienJ: J A Heffernan
Watch last raceLast run

LAURENS

Progressed with every race at two winning the May Hill and signing off with victory in the Fillies’ Mile over course-and-distance. Connections are delighted with her preparations, she brings top flight form to the table and we know she handles the Dip and other course complications. What’s not to like?

Laurens wins narrowly at Doncaster
Laurens shows good attitude to win the May Hill at Doncaster

7
5
39-0OR: 113CD
7/1
T: K R BurkeJ: P J McDonald
Watch last raceLast run

LIQUID AMBER

A lively outsider. Only had two career starts within the space of eight August days but improved form debut second to win Flame Of Tara Stakes at the Curragh. She showed a smart turn of foot to slam Ballet Shoes by five lengths (Bye Bye Baby a further four back in fourth) and is a filly with a bright future. This is a tough starting point but she’s a name to remember.

8
15
39-0OR: 103D
12/1
T: W McCreeryJ: W J Lee
Watch last raceLast run

MADELINE

Placed in Lowther and Cheveley Park at two but limitations seemingly exposed in both and hard to think she’ll have made sufficient progress over the winter to shake up the best of these for all she’s in excellent hands.

9
11
39-0OR: 106
66/1
T: R VarianJ: Andrea Atzeni
Watch last raceLast run

SARROCHHI

Unxposed Ballydoyle filly who will improve with racing this term – but she is a long way short of this standard for now.

10
3
39-0OR: 96BF
33/1
T: A P O'BrienJ: W M Lordan
Watch last raceLast run

SIZZLING

Fourth to Laurens in May Hill and another who looks a stone shy of what’s needed to win a 1000 Guineas.

11
13
39-0OR: 102
33/1
T: A P O'BrienJ: D O'Brien
Watch last raceLast run

SOLILOQUY

Supplemented after winning the Nell Gwyn and will progress again. Already a leading player on form she has to be shortlist material for a stable that continues in red-hot form this spring.

Soliloquy bounds clear in the Nell Gwyn on a beautiful day at Newmarket
Soliloquy bounds clear in the Nell Gwyn

12
9
39-0OR: 109CD
9/2
T: C ApplebyJ: W Buick
Watch last raceLast run

VITAMIN

Form of her win at Newmarket in August franked in no uncertain style by runner-up Soliloquy in the Nell Gwyn. This filly is having her first start since and needs to have also made giant strides since that day.

13
6
39-0OR: -
33/1
T: R HannonJ: Jim Crowley
Watch last raceLast run

WILD ILLUSION

Stablemate of Soliloquy and only expected to run if there some ease in the ground. Massive player if she does having landed the Prix Marcel Boussac at Chantilly and looks the sort to do even better at three but possibly over further too.

14
1
39-0OR: -D
11/2
T: C ApplebyJ: James Doyle
Watch last raceLast run

WORSHIP

Well backed when making winning debut at Kempton in December. Complete unknown quantity but needs to be special to win this on her second career start.

15
10
39-0OR: -
50/1
T: D M SimcockJ: Oisin Murphy
Watch last raceLast run


VERDICT:

Happily deserves her place at the head of the market but looks potentially vulnerable and is worth taking on. The Godolphin representative – at the time of writing likely to be Soliloquy – clearly warrants plenty of respect but LAURENS has an awful lot going for her and shouldn’t be a 9/1 chance. Of those at bigger prices Liquid Amber looks an exciting prospect and can go well.

1st Laurens
2nd Liquid Amber
3rd Soliloquy


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