A feast of NFL action is on offer in Week 10 and we have Ross Williams on hand to preview a busy Sunday and deliver his best bets for the weekend.
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Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams
The idea of Seattle being underdogs, prior to the play-offs, seemed an impossibility just a couple of short weeks ago but that is the situation Russell Wilson and co. find themselves in this weekend.
I was burned by Seattle last week, as Josh Allen’s Buffalo outfit ripped through the Seahawks defence with ease. However, I’m willing to come back to the well once more, as it’s extremely difficult to resist backing an angry Russell Wilson, and especially with a couple of points in his back pocket for a touch of insurance.
Los Angeles are no slouches, of course. The Rams are coming off a bye week and will therefore bring a fresh mind-set and a healthy roster into this game, but I do question whether Jared Goff’s offence has the firepower to contend with the sheer might of the Seahawks.
The Rams have averaged just over 24 points-per-game this season so, even if you give them an extra bonus seven points to account for Seattle’s leaky defence, the numbers don’t add up for LA.
Seattle average a league-high 34.3 points and there’s been simply no stopping the duo of Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf in the receiving game.
This has all the makings of a shootout in California, with points aplenty, and I’m going to opt for Wilson to ultimately out-duel Jared Goff down the stretch.
Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders
For the third week in a row, I’m throwing my weight behind Jon Gruden and his 5-3 Las Vegas Raiders.
The Raiders covered the spread by the skin of their teeth on Sunday, with a last-second Chargers drop proving pivotal. However, they still got the job done at the end of the day, and that seems to be the mantra of this team.
This week, they face a different prospect, albeit another AFC West team. The Denver Broncos have a knack of coming on strong in the fourth quarter, but by then the game is often wrapped up, and I feel that it could be a similar story when they face the Raiders this weekend.
Las Vegas got the run game singing against the Chargers, with Josh Jacobs and Devontae Booker sharing the load for over 130 yards. Plus, Derek Carr has been at his efficient best in recent weeks – keeping mistakes to a minimum and utilising the attacking talents of Nelson Agholor, Darren Waller and company.
Justin Herbert gave the Las Vegas defence problems last week, but he plays a very different game to that of Denver quarterback Drew Lock. The Broncos are far less explosive at present, and I think that will bring about their demise in this one as the Raiders pick up an early lead and grind their divisional rivals down.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Green Bay Packers
Jaguars fans will be waking up in hot sweats, thinking about the prospect of facing Aaron Rodgers in this one.
The Green Bay Packers – following a Thursday night win over San Francisco – have had a long week to game-plan for Jacksonville and it’s unthinkable to consider anything but a comfortable victory for the men in green and gold here. There’s little value in backing a Green Bay win though, and any handicap above eleven points tends to scare me off, so let’s look elsewhere.
There’s a growing feeling around the league that the tandem of Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams may be the best in the NFL. It’s perhaps been forged from necessity more than anything else, due to the lack of top-level talent outside of Adams in Green Bay’s receiver unit, but that doesn’t take away from the wideout’s undeniable numbers.
Adams has already enjoyed three 100+ yard games this campaign and his touchdown tally is up to eight – despite the fact that the wide receiver has only played in six of Green Bay’s games in 2020.
Add in to the mix Jacksonville’s 28th-ranked pass defence, and this looks to be an ideal opportunity for Aaron Rodgers’ favourite target to continue his fantastic season.
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants
The NFC East has become the laughing stock of the NFL this season, with none of the four teams making a real claim for the division title. Although Philadelphia are favoured, coming off their bye week, it would be impossible to make a confident pick in this clash of inconsistent rivals.
I’m staying well away from result betting here, but I am willing to take a chance on a pair of touchdown scorers at a very healthy price.
New York tight end Evan Engram was the villain when these two teams faced each other three weeks ago, dropping a pass late in the game to open up an opportunity for the Eagles to snatch the win. However, since then, Engram has responded with 10 catches, over 100 yards and his maiden touchdown of the season.
Quarterback Daniel Jones is beginning to use Engram more and more in the passing game, and I fancy the tight end to make amends for his week seven drop with a score in the rematch.
As for Philadelphia, they have a player within their ranks who has erupted since his debut in week four.
Travis Fulgham was a relative unknown at the start of the season, but he has quickly emerged as a genuine receiving threat and a favourite target for his QB, Carson Wentz.
Despite Alshon Jeffrey possibly returning to the line-up for the Eagles, Fulgham is still certain to be a big part of Philadelphia’s offence as his 400+ yards and four touchdowns so far this season are impossible to ignore. The matchup with the Giants’ secondary is favourable to the Eagles, and I reckon Fulgham can make his way into the end zone for the fifth time this year.
Odds correct as of 18:00 on 13/11/20
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