Free NFL betting tips: Value touchdown scorers for Week Nine games including Dallas Cowboys v Pittsburgh Steelers

Matt Temple-Marsh takes a look at the best value in the NFL touchdown markets

Matt Temple-Marsh has searched through the touchdown scorer markets for some extra value in Week Nine of the NFL.


Recommended bets

1pt Diontae Johnson anytime in Dallas Cowboys v Pittsburgh Steelers at 7/4

1pt Antonio Brown anytime in Tampa Bay Buccaneers v New Orleans Saints at 9/4

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record


Sure, Ezekiel Elliott looks like he’ll score every single week – but at 1/2 for an anytime touchdown, the value simply isn’t there.

In this article I’ll be looking for offensive/defensive mismatches, sneaky backups and more, with some high value touchdown scorers definitely worth taking a look at.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v New Orleans Saints

Whether AB should be back in the league is certainly up for debate, but you cannot deny his talent. He’s played just one game since late 2018, but reports tell us he’s in great shape & ready to return.

Brady & AB have a great relationship both on & off the field, and the Bucs are downright scary at the moment. Brady will be keen for revenge, and this is an offensive/defensive mismatch. The Saints possess the worst red zone defence in the league, and the Bucs are amazingly 22/22 for touchdowns from inside the opposition’s 10 yard line.

Even better for Brown - the Saints stack up as the joint fourth worst defence in the league to WRs. This will be a statement game, and AB is ready to let the world know he is still a top five WR in the NFL.

Dallas Cowboys v Pittsburgh Steelers

An injury against the Ravens limited his production, but he still led the Steelers in routes run, air yards per target, and offensive snaps amongst WRs.

The talent is clear to see with Johnson, and it’s surprising to see him with a bigger price than Claypool & Juju. Just two weeks ago the WR dismantled the Titans secondary for nine catches, 80 yards & two touchdowns – and he’s faces a similarly poor defence this week, the Cowboys.

They have surrendered 14 touchdowns in eight games to WRs this season – ranking as the second-worst in the league. This is a great matchup for Johnson to bounce-back, and find the end zone.

This is going to be a blow-out. The Cowboys are set to start their fourth quarterback of the season, with Garrett Gilbert ready to take the reins.

The Steelers are playing like the best team in football, and are favoured by a huge 13.5 points. This Cowboys defence has allowed more yards to RBs than any other team, alongside eight touchdowns in just as many games. The Steelers will amass a comfortable lead & then let the back-ups see out the game, but Benny Snell has shown he’s more than just a sub.

With two touchdowns in his last three games, alongside five redzone touches, Snell is becoming a sneaky part of this offence. At this price, Snell is definitely worth a look at.

Buffalo Bills v Seattle Seahawks

The Bills offence hasn’t been clicking over these past two weeks, so it’s time for a get-right-game against the putrid Seahawks’ defence.

Cole Beasley represents the best value here, as the primary slot receiver for the Bills – he averages nearly 23 routes per game from the slot. Why is that so important? No team has given up more catches, yards and TDs to slot receivers than the Seahawks.

Beasley averages nearly a 19% target share for the Bills, and will be crucial to moving the chains – he has a great chance to find the end zone in week 9.

Atlanta Falcons v Denver Broncos

The Falcons’ defence has allowed a league high eight touchdowns to tight ends, alongside 50 catches for 534 yards, ranking them as the worst defence in the league to the position.

Fant is nearing full fitness again & serving as Drew Lock’s security blanket – he’s seen at least five targets every single game this season, and is coming off a career best seven catch game against the Chargers. Fant will be able to pick through this porous Falcons’ defence – expect him to find the end zone.

It’s also worth keeping an eye on TE2 Albert Okwuegbunam – during Fant’s absence he’s shown big play ability, including a touchdown last week. At 3/1 his price is worth monitoring in-play depending on his usage.


Odds correct as of 16:20 GMT on 06/11/2020

Responsible gambling

We are committed in our support of responsible gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.

If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133, or visit begambleaware.org.

Further support and information can be found at GamCare and gamblingtherapy.org.

Like what you've read?
Help your friends Know It All by sharing this article to your social media.

Most Read