Free NFL tips: Value touchdown scorers betting tips for Week Six
Matt Temple-Marsh has scoured the touchdown scorer markets for some extra value in Week Six of the NFL.
Recommended bets
1pt Laviska Shenault Jr. anytime at 9/4
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Sure, Ezekiel Elliott looks like he’ll score every single week – but at 1/2 for an anytime touchdown, the value simply isn’t there.
In this article I’ll be looking for offensive/defensive mismatches, sneaky backups and more, with some high value touchdown scorers definitely worth taking a look at...
New York Giants vs Washington Football Team
- Evan Engram anytime at 9/4
A questionable flag chalked off Engram’s second touchdown, but the tight end put up a promising display as he rushed in his first touchdown of the season.
This week the Giants face the third worst defence in the league to tight ends – the Washington Football Team. Through five weeks, their defence has allowed an average of 5.4 receptions & 68.2 yards, whilst allowing five touchdowns to the position.
Engram is arguably Daniel Jones’ best weapon, so keep an eye on him.
Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears
- David Montgomery anytime at 11/10
The Panthers’ defence cannot stop the run. They have given up a league high nine touchdowns to running backs, alongside 851 total yards - which puts Montgomery in a favourable matchup this week.
The second-year back is getting the volume since Tarik Cohen’s injury, as he’s averaging 50 snaps & 15 touches per game. His poor 3.9 average yards per rushing attempt will definitely see a boost, as Montgomery represents value to find the end zone.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions
- Laviska Shenault Jr. anytime at 9/4
Shenault is earning his place in this Jaguars offence, with a rapidly increasing target share - last week saw him targeted on 18.2% of Minshew’s pass attempts, a season high for the rookie.
WR1 DJ Chark is dealing with an ankle injury and could be out this week, only adding to Shenault’s value.
This game has the total match points over/under set at 54.5 in what looks to be a high scoring affair – don’t be surprised to see a huge game from the rookie.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers
- Robert Tonyan anytime at 6/4
A Tonyan hat-trick was 200/1 against the Falcons, as he announced himself as a true weapon in the Packers’ offence. Now I don’t see him going off for three touchdowns, but he looks good value to score again.
Every stat is trending up, with his targets, receptions, yards and touchdowns all increasing week by week. On paper this is the game of the week, with Brady vs Rodgers duelling in a potential high scoring matchup.
Tonyan’s four red zone touches over the past three weeks shows he’s formed a rapport with Rodgers, so we can expect more targets this week.
New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos
- Cam Newton anytime at 5/4
Cam is back, and he’s ready to be Superman again.
Through three games he has rushed the ball 35 times, going for 149 yards and four touchdowns - and Denver will have a hard time stopping him.
Last time out, the Broncos allowed Sam Darnold to rip off a monster 46 yard rushing touchdown, as he finished the game with six total rushes for 84 yards – 84 yards!
A variety of designed rushing plays will help Cam move the chains, as he shows real value to get on the scoresheet.
Odds correct as of 1730 BST on 16/10/20
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