McIlroy: Eyes Masters glory
McIlroy: Eyes Masters glory

The Masters 2018: Top European challenges and odds for green jacket victory at Augusta


After back-to-back European winners at Augusta, we assess the latest challengers trying to make it a hat-trick of Masters victories.

Danny Willett and Sergio Garcia have been measured up for green jackets in the last two years after two decades of Europeans missing out at the Masters, but can the invading army complete the hat-trick this time around?

Danny Willett ended 17 years without a European victor in 2016 – with his win coming 20 years after England’s last green jacket winner in Nick Faldo.

Sergio Garcia then pipped Justin Rose to the title in an epic clash 12 months ago, 18 years after Jose Maria Olazabal won the second of his Masters titles at Augusta.

This year there’s another strong European challenge and, with Sky Bet paying 10 places in the outright Masters betting, there are plenty of value options.

Rory McIlroy 8/1
Despite Tiger Woods being back, Dustin Johnson being world number one and Justin Thomas winning again this year, Rory heads to Augusta as the Masters favourite as he chases the one missing major to complete the grand slam. That fact alone tells you just how good McIlroy is, as he showed with his Bay Hill victory.

Rory McIlroy at the Masters in 2011
Rory McIlroy unravelled at the 2011 Masters - but won the US Open next time out

He does have to banish those Augusta demons from 2011 – he had no mental scars when he went on to win the US Open in his very next major and that massive disappointment may well have been the making of him. The real test will come though if/when he gets back into contention on Masters Sunday.

Justin Rose 12/1
A top 10 finish seems almost a certainty for this two-time runner-up such is his record around Augusta. Lost out to Sergio Garcia last year but didn’t do much wrong and has been in decent form again this year. He's 19-under in the last five Masters combined and only Jordan Spieth can top that effort. A win here would be fully deserved and this may well be his time.

Justin Rose has a great recent record at Augusta

Jon Rahm 18/1
The Spaniard was bang in contention heading into the weekend last year before fading away, but that was his Augusta debut and he’ll learn plenty after that experience. He’s not got close in the majors but this is only his second full season as a pro and that’s a frightening thought for someone who’s already won four times.

Paul Casey 20/1
Casey could be the value of the European contingent given his win at the Valspar Championship a few weeks ago and his undeniable form at Augusta where he’s finished no worse than sixth on his last three visits. On current form a top 10 again seems assured and it’s just a case of whether the 40-year-old can really challenge for a major title.

Sergio Garcia 25/1

Sergio Garcia with the Masters trophy
Sergio Garcia with the Masters trophy

The defending champion has had a lot on his plate since finally breaking his major duck last year – after getting married and recently welcoming a baby girl into the world. He’s named his daughter Azalea – after the 13th hole at Augusta where he made a round-saving par on Sunday to help power him to victory. With the pressure of winning a major off his shoulders, and with more to worry about in life than golf, Garcia could well enjoy a stress-free spin and challenge for honours.

Tommy Fleetwood 30/1
Finished as European Tour number one last year after a sharp upturn in form, and he maintained that this year as he defended his title in Abu Dhabi in January. Fleetwood missed the cut at Augusta last year but his golf improved markedly from the US Open onwards so should have a much better crack at it this time around.

Henrik Stenson 35/1
This is the one major Stenson can’t get to grips with. Having won The Open and come close in the other two, but you’ve always got to give the 41-year-old a chance of pulling out his best golf such is the calibre of the man when he gets hot. His putting, though, always seems to be running cold at Augusta.

Alex Noren 35/1

Alex Noren
Alex Noren may have the wrong shot shape for Augusta

He’s only played once and missed the cut but Noren has developed into a fearsome competitor – you don’t win nine times including the BMW PGA Championship, British Masters and Scottish Open without being a serious player. He’s mostly being written off because of his shot shaping of left-to-right is all wrong for Augusta.

Thomas Pieters 50/1
The power-hitting Belgian almost pulled of the improbable and winning on his Masters debut last year, as he finished up coming fourth on his first visit to Augusta. That followed a remarkable Ryder Cup debut in 2016 showing that he’s not afraid of starring on the big stage. He’s been a bit quiet since but could be a horses-for-course type back among the Azaleas.

Matthew Fitzpatrick 80/1
Another one struggling a bit for form but with decent memories of Augusta, in particularly of two years ago when he finished seventh. Recent displays don’t suggest that he can go close but course form is everything around this track.

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