Get this Paddy Power Welcome Offer - Arsenal 50/1 to win
Kick off: 16:30 GMT
Venue: Emirates Stadium
Big Picture: Stakes & Context
This North London derby is more than just another fixture — for Arsenal, it's a chance to strengthen their position at the top of the Premier League. After 11 games, Arsenal lead the table with eight wins, two draws, and just one defeat, scoring 20 goals and conceding only 5.
Tottenham arrive needing to prove themselves. Despite scoring nine goals in their last six matches, their away record in this rivalry is weak, with Opta-style simulations giving Spurs just a ~13.7% chance of victory.
The derby is high-stakes emotionally, and injuries on both sides add tactical complexity.
Recent Form & Head-to-Head Trends
- Arsenal: Consistent and strong. Sky Sports reports show they drew 2–2 with Sunderland (8 Nov) and have won other recent matches comfortably.
- Spurs: Inconsistent. They also drew 2–2 with Manchester United recently.
Historically, Arsenal dominate this fixture. Spurs have won just one of their last 32 Premier League away games at Arsenal, drawing 12 and losing 19. Arsenal have scored in each of their last 26 home matches vs Spurs, often netting multiple goals.
Team News & Injuries
Arsenal
- Martin Ødegaard remains uncertain after an MCL injury, with a potential comeback not guaranteed.
- Gabriel Magalhães out with a thigh muscle tear.
- Kai Havertz struggling with recovery and fatigue.
- Noni Madueke doubtful due to muscle tightness.
- Positive note: Gabriel Jesus is progressing in training and may feature on the bench.
Tottenham Hotspur
- James Maddison (ACL) out long-term.
- Dejan Kulusevski sidelined with a knee issue.
- Dominic Solanke doubtful recovering from ankle surgery.
- Yves Bissouma recovering from ankle ligament surgery.
- Randal Kolo Muani out due to a jaw fracture.
Both teams face selection challenges: Arsenal without key creative and defensive players, Spurs missing major midfield and attacking options.
Tactical Preview & Key Battles
Arsenal’s Approach:
- Mikel Arteta may adopt a controlled, possession-based approach to navigate injuries, relying on full-backs and transitions.
- Without Ødegaard, Eberechi Eze could carry creative responsibility. His pace and vision are key in breaking Spurs' lines.
- Defensively solid, conceding just 5 goals in 11 games, Arsenal can rely on a strong backline even with absentees.
Tottenham’s Approach:
- Likely pragmatic, absorbing pressure and looking for counter-attacks.
- May exploit set-pieces or quick breaks to compensate for their injuries.
- Compact defending is essential; errors could be punished by Arsenal’s technical quality.
Key Battle:
- Midfield control is critical: Arsenal dominating means controlling tempo; Spurs countering could exploit any over-commitment.
- Wings: Eze for Arsenal is pivotal; Spurs’ pacey players may threaten on counters.
Players to Watch
- Eberechi Eze (Arsenal): Key creative force in absence of Ødegaard, able to drive forward and create chances.
- Gabriel Jesus: If he features, even off the bench, adds link-up play, movement, and finishing.
- Spurs Counter-Attackers: Likely to be wingers or second strikers exploiting spaces behind Arsenal’s lines.
Prediction & Betting Angle
Analytical Prediction:
- Opta-style simulations give Arsenal a 69% chance of winning versus Spurs’ ~13.7%, making Arsenal clear favorites.
Paddy Power New Customer Offer (50/1):
- Paddy Power are offering 50/1 on Arsenal to win for new customers, representing exceptional value given Arsenal’s dominance and form.
- Sign up and place a qualifying bet to receive the payout credited as free bet builders.
- The 50/1 offer on Spurs remains high-risk; Arsenal’s 50/1 price is particularly appealing given their strong statistical edge.
My Verdict:
- Lean towards Arsenal to win, likely 2–0 or 2–1.
- Given home advantage and injury-affected Spurs, a clean sheet is plausible.
- Alternative scenario: Arsenal win & both teams to score is also realistic.
What to Watch On the Night:
- Opening 20 minutes: Can Arsenal assert dominance early?
- Set-pieces: Could decide the game given injury gaps on both sides.
- Substitutions: Watch for Jesus or Eze impacting the game.
- Final 10 minutes: Space exploitation could be key if Spurs chase the game.
Responsible Gambling Reminder
Bet responsibly: use money you can afford to lose, read full T&Cs, and be aware of the risks of long-odds betting. Support services include GAMBLEAWARE.
Summary
- Stakes: Arsenal aim to consolidate top position; Spurs need to prove resilience despite injuries.
- Team news: Arsenal missing key pieces, but still strongest in depth; Spurs stretched in attack and midfield.
- Tactics: Arsenal control possession, press, and exploit counters; Spurs rely on defensive compactness and set pieces.
- Prediction: Arsenal to win, most likely 2–1.
- Betting highlight: 50/1 new-customer offer on Arsenal to win represents a high-value, low-risk opportunity relative to their statistical edge.
Get this Paddy Power Welcome Offer - Arsenal 50/1 to win
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Terms and Conditions
50/1 ARSENAL TO BEAT SPURS
Who can take part?
- New customers only. Available to residents of the UK & Republic of Ireland.
How & when can I qualify?
- Open a new account using promo code YFBDEN.
- Deposit a minimum of £5 by Pay by Bank, Debit Cards or Apple Pay.
- Place a max £1 bet on the Match odds market on Arsenal to beat Spurs in the English Premier League match on Sunday, November 23rd.
- Cashed Out, Partially Cashed Out and Power Price bets will not count towards the promotion.
What can I win?
- If your bet is successful, you will be paid in cash based on the normal price on site and will have the extra amount, bringing the bet up to the cumulative 50/1 payout, credited in free bet builders.
When will I get my prize?
- You will receive your Free bet builders after your qualifying bet settles. Free bet builders are valid for 7 days.
What else do I need to know?
- Best odds guaranteed does not apply to bets placed with a free bet, or partial free bet.
- You can use part of your free bets and save the rest for later as long as you use it before they expire. Stakes are not returned with winnings if your free bet wins. Your winnings will be credited to your main wallet.
- If we find that you have taken part in this promotion using a duplicate account or that you have used more than one account to participate, we reserve the right to withhold your free bets and any winnings earned on the duplicate account.
- Deposits made with e-wallets including: PayPal, Skrill, Paysafe and Neteller will not count towards this promotion.
- The offer excludes the following bet types: Canadian, Goliath, Heinz, Lucky 15, Lucky 31, Lucky 63, Patent, Super Heinz, Trixie & Yankee.
Other essential stuff:
- Paddy Power reserves the right in its discretion to exclude and/or limit the availability of the offer to certain customers.
- The full terms and conditions of Paddypower.com also apply to this offer.
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