Sky Bet are offering 70/1 on Anthony Joshua to beat Jake Paul by points or decision. We preview the fight and explain why a decision is possible.

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua Betting Offer: Sky Bet 70/1 AJ on points

Updated on: 19th December 2025, 19:54

Sky Bet Sign Up Offer: 70/1 on Joshua to win on points/decision

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua: Why Sky Bet’s 70/1 Joshua by Decision Offer Deserves Attention

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua has largely been framed around one outcome: a Joshua knockout. While that remains the most talked-about scenario, boxing — particularly at heavyweight — does not always follow the most obvious script.

Sky Bet’s 70/1 offer on Anthony Joshua to win by points or decision invites a different conversation. By looking at Joshua’s recent approach, the likely fight structure and Paul’s durability, a points victory becomes far more realistic than the odds suggest.

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Joshua’s Recent Fights Point to a More Measured Approach

Anthony Joshua’s career has evolved. While his early rise was defined by explosive knockouts, his more recent performances have shown a fighter prioritising control, discipline and risk management.

Joshua’s recent stylistic trends:

Greater reliance on the jab
Longer spells fighting behind a high guard
Reduced willingness to overcommit early
Increased focus on winning rounds cleanly

This shift reflects a fighter who understands the value of ring control and composure — particularly against opponents who pose more reputational risk than sporting reward.

Against Jake Paul, Joshua has little incentive to rush.

A Long, Controlled Fight Suits Joshua’s Objectives

From Joshua’s perspective, the safest route to victory may be the least dramatic.

Why a points win makes sense tactically:

Paul is likely to start cautiously and defensively
Joshua can dominate rounds without forcing exchanges
A decision win limits exposure to counter shots
Control and distance management reduce unnecessary risk

Rather than hunting a highlight-reel finish, Joshua can win rounds simply by being the cleaner, heavier and more technically sound boxer.

Over 8–10 rounds, that approach can quickly build an unassailable lead on the scorecards.

Jake Paul’s Durability Shouldn’t Be Ignored

While Paul has clear defensive limitations, he has also shown resilience in previous fights. He has absorbed punishment without collapsing and has demonstrated a willingness to clinch, slow the pace and survive difficult moments.

Factors that could extend the fight:

Paul’s size and physical strength
A defensive-first game plan
Frequent clinching to disrupt rhythm
Limited offensive risk-taking

If Paul’s priority is survival rather than aggression, the fight could settle into a slower tempo — one that naturally favours a decision rather than a stoppage.

Joshua Doesn’t Need a Knockout to Win Comfortably

One reason the decision market is overlooked is the assumption that Joshua must win inside the distance to justify his favourite status. In reality, he can dominate without finishing.

How Joshua can bank rounds:

Superior jab accuracy
Cleaner power punches
Ring generalship and positioning
Effective defence and shot selection

Judges reward consistency. Even without knockdowns, Joshua can comfortably outscore Paul across multiple rounds by landing the more meaningful shots and controlling the geography of the ring.

Why the 70/1 Price Feels Inflated

In most heavyweight matchups featuring a heavy favourite, the decision price shortens once the fight dynamics are considered. That hasn’t happened here.

Sky Bet’s 70/1 on Joshua by points or decision reflects public expectation rather than tactical probability.

Why the price stands out:

Joshua is expected to win almost every round
A cautious game plan increases decision likelihood
Paul’s survival-first tactics reduce stoppage chances
Shorter fight formats make decisions more viable

This isn’t backing an unlikely winner — it’s backing an alternative method for the most likely winner.

Data Snapshot: Why a Decision Is Plausible

Looking at the broader context strengthens the case.

Key indicators:

Joshua has gone the distance multiple times at elite level
He has shown patience in lower-risk matchups
Paul has never been stopped early in his career
Heavy favourites often coast when control is established

When a fighter can win without escalating risk, they often do.

Big-Fight Management Favors a Conservative Outcome

Joshua understands the spotlight this fight carries. A loss or scare would be far more damaging than a routine points victory.

From a risk-management perspective:

A decision win answers questions without chaos
It avoids unnecessary exchanges
It reinforces Joshua’s professionalism
It closes the event cleanly

For a fighter with far bigger career considerations, efficiency may matter more than spectacle.

Why This Offer Works for New Customers

Decision bets are often overlooked by casual bettors, which is exactly why prices like this exist.

Backing Joshua by points:

Aligns with a controlled, professional performance
Avoids reliance on a single finishing moment
Pays significantly more than the outright win
Is easy to understand and settle

At 70/1, even a small stake delivers outsized potential value for a logical outcome.

Final Verdict: A Narrative the Odds Don’t Reflect

While the knockout narrative dominates headlines, a closer look at the fight suggests a different possibility. A composed Anthony Joshua, fighting within himself, can dominate Jake Paul round after round without forcing a stoppage.

Sky Bet’s 70/1 offer on Joshua to win by points or decision captures that overlooked narrative. It rewards patience, control and tactical maturity — all qualities Joshua has increasingly shown.

For bettors willing to look beyond the obvious, it’s an offer that feels misaligned with how this fight could realistically unfold.

Sky Bet Welcome Offer: Terms and Conditions

This promotion is only available to individuals aged 18 years and over who have registered as new customers of Sky Betting and Gaming. For the avoidance of doubt, any customers who currently or have previously held an account with Sky Bet, Sky Vegas, Sky Casino, Sky Bingo or Sky Poker will be considered existing customers.
Customers who are, or become, self-excluded from Sky Betting and Gaming products or have had restrictions placed on their account during the Promotional Period may not be eligible to participate in this promotion.
This promotion will run from 09:00 on Wednesday, 17th December 2025 until 04:00 on Saturday, 20th December 2025, (the “Promotional Period”).
To qualify for this promotion, new customers must sign up through the Enhanced Price Boost welcome offer, make a minimum deposit of £5, and place a bet of £1 (the "Staking Requirements") as their first bet on “Anthony Joshua Points or Decision” as the method of victory in the match Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua, on Saturday 20th December (the “Bet”) at normal odds.
Where the bet wins, the winnings from enhanced odds will be credited as seven £10 bet tokens, (the "Free Bets"). If the bet loses (Joshua does not win by Points or Decision) customers will receive £10 in free bet credits as one £10 bet token.
Customers will also receive the winnings in cash that would have been credited had the Bet been placed at market odds. The odds will be those that were live on Sky Bet at the time the Staking Requirements were met.
Only your first bet with Sky Bet will count towards this offer. Any subsequent bets will not be eligible.
To meet the Staking Requirement, you must bet £1.00 in a single bet. Greater stakes or an accumulation of smaller stakes will not count.
Free Bets are non-withdrawable and free bet stakes are not included in any returns.
Free Bets can be redeemed against any single or each-way market, excluding virtual markets, and cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer.
Free Bets expire 7 days after crediting.
To qualify for this promotion and receive any associated Free Bets, bonuses or rewards, all Staking Requirements must be met within 30 days of the account registration date.
This offer can only be claimed once per customer.
Customers using Neteller or Skrill will not qualify.
Sky Betting and Gaming reserves the right acting reasonably to withhold, restrict or cancel this offer from individual account holders in accordance with its eligibility, promotion abuse and internal risk policies at its reasonable discretion.
Sky Betting and Gaming reserves the right, acting reasonably to change, withdraw or increase the availability of and/or value of rewards throughout the Promotional Period at any time. This will not impact players who have already started wagering under a promotion.
All Sky Betting and Gaming general rules and terms apply.
For customers using Euros, the Staking Requirements and Free Bets will be at an exchange rate of £1/€1.
Sky Betting and Gaming General Promotion Terms apply to this promotion and can be viewed here.

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