Nations League best bets

Nations League tips: Best bets and previews


The Nations League returns for the final round of group games and our tipsters pick out their best bets for England v Germany and Hungary v Italy.


Football betting tips: Nations League

1.5pts Both teams to score in England v Germany at 10/11 (William Hill, SBK)

1.5pts Italy to beat Hungary at evens (Unibet, Betway)

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England v Germany

Germany are in exactly the same position from a dead-rubber perspective as England so have no reason not to play aggressively.

The Germans have struggled at the back of late too, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last six games, doing so in just one of their previous eight matches.

Hansi Flick's men are far from the goalscoring crisis that has afflicted the Three Lions however, with their 1-0 home defeat by unlikely group leaders Hungary on Friday the first time they have failed to find the net in the former Bayern Munich head coach's 14 matches at the helm.

That loss also ended a five-match sequence of BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE landing and at 10/11 that is our top selection for this match.

Score prediction: England 2-2 Germany (Sky Bet odds: 12/1)

Odds correct 1600 BST (25/09/22)

England boss Gareth Southgate has some tough choices ahead
CLICK HERE for our England v Germany preview with three best bets


Hungary v Italy

Full credit to Hungary for a remarkable campaign. Ten points from five matches means they need only avoid defeat to reach the Nations League finals. Standing in their way, however, are ITALY.

Hungary were 8/1 to win their June opener against England in Budapest, which they duly did, and while they have undoubtedly been superb, getting them onside at significantly less than half that price is not advised.

Looking at it the other way, however, and the drift from 2/5 to evens means ITALY TO WIN is a strong selection.

Roberto Mancini's side were 2-1 winners in the reverse fixture and are a plum price for victory in a match where only three points will be enough to send them to the last four.

Score prediction: Hungary 0-1 Italy (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)

Odds correct 2200 BST (25/09/22)

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Safer gambling

We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.

If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020 133.

Further support and information can be found at begambleaware.org and gamblingtherapy.org.


TUESDAY BEST BETS


Football betting tips: Nations League

1.5pts Over 9 Corners in Portugal v Spain at 11/8 (bet365)

*Read full match previews for all selections

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Portugal v Spain

Read Liam Kelly's (@LiamKellyTTA) full match preview

There is value in a market that could benefit from the nature of this match-up. At 11/8 with bet365, OVER 9 CORNERS makes appeal.

Spain's weakness at defending set pieces was on display against Switzerland, conceding twice from such situations, and it's a likely avenue to pursue for Portugal.

The visitors conceded six corner kicks to the Swiss, despite holding the majority of possession.

With undoubted quality out wide, Fernando Santos has to target a rather underwhelming set of Spain full-backs, which could easily lead to corners and chances for the hosts.

At the other end, it's easy to see Portugal funneling a Spain side that should dominate possession to the wide areas. Without a credible aerial threat, corners can be conceded without much worry.

Spain took nine corners last time out, so a 9.5 line for both teams combined can be breached here. All matches involving Portugal in this Nations League campaign have had 10+ corners, making the odds-against very tempting.

Score prediction: Portugal 2-1 Spain (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)

Odds correct 1200 BST (26/09/22)

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More from Sporting Life

Safer gambling

We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.

If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020 133.

Further support and information can be found at begambleaware.org and gamblingtherapy.org.

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