Mark Stinchcombe's Predictions

Mark Stinchcombe's Premier League tips and Super 6 predictions: 25/26 Matchday 33

Football
Mon April 20, 2026 · 2M ago

Mark Stinchcombe steps in for Jake Osgathorpe to provide this weekend's Premier League tips and Super 6 predictions.

super 6 round 49

Remaining football betting tips: Premier League

Monday 20:00 - Crystal Palace vs West Ham

1pt Crysencio Summerville to score anytime at 4/1 (General)

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Crystal Palace vs West Ham

After Crystal Palace’s success on Thursday night in qualifying for the Europa Conference League semi-final, Oliver Glasner allowed his players to go out in Florence after the game and enjoy themselves. Coupled with the fact a few of their players had to be substituted due to injury, does that make West Ham at 21/10 an automatic bet?

They have actually won three of their last six away games but I think there’s a few layers to this given West Ham are last to play this weekend and results elsewhere may dictate Nuno’s approach. Draw no bet is the more sensible approach but we’ll only get paid at 23/20 and I think the better bet is to back a West Ham attacker to score.

CRYSENCIO SUMMERVILLE has seven goals in his last 12 games yet we can get 4/1 for him TO SCORE ANYTIME.

The man who scored 20 goals in Leeds’ promotion season has scored in five of his last six away games and is clearly thriving on the road. Since the January arrival of striker Valentin Castellanos, West Ham’s fortunes have improved and there’s been a clear increase in Summerville’s output.

Before the Argentine joined Summervile was averaging 1.62 shots per game. In 10 games since he’s having 2.50 and the goals are flowing.

Score prediction: Crystal Palace 1-2 West Ham

Already advised football betting tips

Saturday 12:30 - Brentford vs Fulham

1pt Igor Thiago to score or assist at 5/6 (Sky Bet)

Saturday 15:00 - Leeds vs Wolves

1pt Adam Armstrong to be shown a card at 13/2 (William Hill)

Saturday 15:00 - Newcastle vs Bournemouth

1pt Dan Burn to be shown a card at 10/3 (bet365)

Saturday 17:30 - Tottenham vs Brighton

0.75pt Micky van de Ven to be shown a card at 10/3 (bet365)

0.75pt Richarlison to be shown a card at 7/2 (bet365)

Saturday 20:00 - Chelsea vs Manchester United

0.5pt Both teams to score over 1.5 goals at 14/5 (Sky Bet)

0.5pt Van de Ven & Richarlison to be shown a card at 18/1 (bet365)

Sunday 14:00 - Aston Villa vs Sunderland

1pt Under 2.5 goals at 19/20 (William Hill)

Sunday 14:00 - Everton vs Liverpool

1.5pts Dominik Szoboszlai to be shown a card at 9/2 (bet365)

Sunday 14:00 - Nottingham Forest vs Burnley

1pt Forest to win & Under 4.5 goals at 4/5 (Sky Bet)

Sunday 16:30 - Manchester City vs Arsenal

1pt Nico O'Reilly to score anytime at 11/2 (General)

0.25pt O'Reilly to score 2+ goals at 66/1 (bet365)

Aston Villa vs Sunderland

Aston Villa cruised into the Europa League semi-finals on Thursday night meaning a top-five Premier League finish and a European trophy look increasingly likely under Unai Emery.

They've been very pragmatic in the league recently, with 10 of their last 12 games seeing UNDER 2.5 GOALS and that looks the route to go down given this weekend's opponents and the odds.

Only Everton have seen unders in their matches more than Sunderland this season and five of the Mackems' eight games against the top five have seen fewer than three goals. They have only managed four goals in those matches but we know they are tough to break down and with the market unable to split Over/Under 2.5 goals, unders is the clear value.

Score prediction: Aston Villa 1-1 Sunderland

Everton vs Liverpool

On a blockbuster Sunday the Merseyside derby takes centre-stage in the early kick-offs.

Liverpool come into this at 5/4 to pick up three points which is a huge increase in their 4/9 price from last season. Over 2.5 goals is best priced 5/6 but with 12 of the last 17 derbies going unders, that might be the more shrewder play at evens.

From an Everton perspective, they don’t fare well in this match-up having only won one of the last 14 home meetings. They possess the seventh worst home record this season having already lost six games – they only lost five at Goodison last season - and they’ve played three of the top five at their new ground so far, failing to score in all three.

However, Liverpool’s away record directly after a Champions League match makes for poor reading having lost five of six. But is this your typical away game? It all adds up to being too difficult to call the main markets.

Dominik Szoboszlai

So with a derby it has to be the CARD markets and Liverpool’s most carded player in the Premier League is DOMINIK SZOBOSZLAI who looks a good bet at 9/2. Eight cards in the league, 10 across all competitions and he was booked in the reverse fixture.

He seems to like them in big games too having been cautioned home and away against Manchester City - the latter with Sunday's referee Chris Kavanagh in charge.

Positionally, it’s difficult to know where he will play the entire game, but if deployed at right-back at any point he’ll likely have to deal with the tricky Iliman Ndiaye who has made the third most dribbles per game in the Premier League this season.

Score prediction: Everton 1-1 Liverpool

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley

Nottingham Forest qualified for a historic European semi-final but at what cost? Chris Wood, Murillo and Callum Hudson‑Odoi all suffered injuries and you wonder what shape the side is in for what is a must win game.

Forest head into the weekend three points clear of the drop and their remaining fixtures look tough with Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A), Newcastle (H), Manchester United (A) and Bournemouth (H) on top of two mouthwatering clashes with Aston Villa in the Europa League.

So victory here is of huge importance. Burnley are pretty much the perfect opponents to play right now having failed to win their last six matches, conceding at least twice in eight of their last 10 games.

We won’t get rich backing Forest at 1/2 but this surely doesn’t descend into a goal fest given the home side's schedule and the upmost importance of securing three points. Therefore backing FOREST TO WIN & UNDER 4.5 GOALS looks the sensible bet.

Score prediction: N Forest 1-0 Burnley

Manchester City vs Arsenal

Are Arsenal trying to limp their way to the title? It’s just one win in five across all competitions, scoring just three goals, and if they lose here, their nine-point gap following the international break will be reduced to just three points, with Manchester City still having a game in hand.

City meanwhile are unbeaten in nine league matches and have won 11 of their last 14 domestic games, including beating all of Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea in their last three by an aggregate score of 9-0. Pow.

Having said all that, this very much seems built into the price, with the Cityzens just 5/6 to win. Given the Gunners labouring form, I think there’s a good chance they may try and set up to come for a draw, as they successfully did two seasons ago, when it finished 0-0. They gave up 72% possession that day and that could spell trouble against City right now.

Nico O'Reilly

Rather than back City at odds-on, there’s a form player I’d much rather take at a vastly bigger price. NICO O'REILLY has come of age this season and has found his shooting boots this year having scored six goals in his last nine starts, including a brace against this weekend's opponents in the League Cup final.

He is a huge looking 11/2 TO SCORE ANYTIME and it would be rude not to have a pop at another BRACE at 66/1 - O'Reilly also scored twice at home to Newcastle at the end of February.

Score prediction: Man City 2-0 Arsenal

Brentford vs Fulham

A west London derby in Saturday’s lunchtime kick-off which poses more questions than answers.

Brentford, just a point behind Chelsea in sixth, are unbeaten in five but have drawn their last four games. Fulham, three points behind the Bees, have only won one of their last four, failed to score in three of those and have also been dumped out of the FA Cup with a 1-0 defeat by Championship side Southampton.

It makes sense to side with the hosts going forward, particularly given they have generated the sixth most expected goals (xG) this season with 56.67, yet are underperforming by -8.67 goals suggesting they should score more.

Igor Thiago and Keith Andrews

Step forward main marksman IGOR THIAGO who has 22 goals and assists this season. His combined xG and xA is 25.34, which suggests he can at the very least maintain his form - backing him TO SCORE OR ASSIST is a bet that’s won in eight of his last 14 home games.

Score prediction: Brentford 2-0 Fulham

Leeds vs Wolves

Wolves have now failed to win 33 of their last 36 Premier League matches and this could be another where they’re chasing their tail.

They average the third lowest possession in the division with just 43.3%. With so much time without the ball, it’s no wonder they commit the most fouls in the league at 13.0 per game. The most likely players to pick up bookings in Yerson Mosquera (10 cards), Andre and Joao Gomes (both nine) are all too short but one man who’s going under the radar is January signing ADAM ARMSTRONG.

He’s picked up three CARDS in just eight games, committing multiple fouls in half those matches. Leeds draw the fifth-most fouls per game in the league (11.1) and Armstrong can easily fall foul of a few late challenges.

Score prediction: Leeds 2-0 Wolves

Newcastle vs Bournemouth

With sixth-placed Chelsea just six points ahead of Newcastle in 14th it remains a hotly contested battle for European football as Bournemouth (11th) head to St James' Park.

That leads me down the card route, helped by the appointment of referee Thomas Bramall. Of officials to take charge of 10+ matches, Bramall ranks sixth for cards given, handing out 4.0 per game across his 19 games.

Newcastle's Dan Burn

Joelinton is Newcastle’s most carded player but it’s no surprise he’s suspended which brings in their second-most carded player DAN BURN. He's collected 12 bookings across all competitions this season. After the Brazilian, Burn is committing the second most fouls per game (1.50) and will likely be up against Evanilson who’s been fouled multiple times on eight occasions this season - indeed Malick Thiaw was booked in the reverse meeting.

Referee Bramall has taken charge of two Newcastle league matches this season and CARDED Burn last time out.

Score prediction: Newcastle 1-1 Bournemouth

Tottenham vs Brighton

Roberto De Zerbi

It’s the Roberto De Zerbi derby! And boy does the new boss need a result.

Tottenham are now in the relegation zone and two points adrift of safety. This is a huge game and just so happens to be between two of the most CARDED teams in the top flight. Spurs have picked up the most cards this season with 82 (2.56 per game) and Brighton the third most with 80 (2.50 per game).

We won’t get a price on a Brighton player so it’s over to Spurs and there are two standouts at the odds. MICKY VAN DE VEN has 12 cards and can be backed at 10/3 and RICHARLISON has picked up 10 across all competitions and be backed at 7/2.

It just so happens that referee Stuart Atwell is the best in the league for showing cautions with 4.75 per game. It’s now or never for De Zerbi and Spurs, so we'll be having the VAN DE VEN-RICHARLISON CARD DOUBLE at 18/1 too.

Score prediction: Tottenham 1-2 Brighton

Chelsea vs Man Utd

Both sides come into this in poor form with just two wins between them in their last eight games combined.

Question marks continue over Liam Rosenior with five defeats in six across all competitions and three straight league defeats, while Michael Carrick has suffered two defeats in four and will have to do without suspended centre-backs Harry Maguire and Lisandro Martinez.

The key theme in both of these managers' tenures has been goals. Under Rosenior, Chelsea have seen 79 in just 21 games at an average of 3.76 per game, scoring 45 and conceding 34. For Carrick it’s been 34 goals in 11 games at an average of 3.09 per game, scoring 21 and conceding 13.

Eight of Chelsea’s last 10 league games have seen over 2.5 goals and it’s five in a row for Manchester United but we’ll only get paid at 4/7 by backing three or more goals. Over 3.5 goals is 6/4 but if we’re backing four or more goals, I think it’s worth chancing both sides to contribute by backing BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE OVER 1.5 GOALS at 14/5.

It’s a bet that’s already landed six times for Rosenior and three times for Carrick.

Score prediction: Chelsea 2-2 Manchester United

Saturday games - Odds correct at 13:00 BST (16/4/25)

Sunday & Monday games - Odds correct at 14:00 BST (17/4/25)

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