Mark Stinchcombe's Predictions

Mark Stinchcombe's Premier League tips and Super 6 predictions: 25/26 Matchday 13


super 6 round 16


Football betting tips: Premier League

Sunday 12:00 - C Palace v Man Utd

1pt Over 2.5 goals at 8/11 (General)

Sunday 14:05

1pt Aston Villa to beat Wolves & Over 1.5 goals at 7/10 (General)

1.5pts Over 2.5 goals in N Forest v Brighton at 10/11 (General)

1pt West Ham to beat Liverpool at 10/3 (General)

Sunday 16:30 - Chelsea v Arsenal

1pt Enzo Fernandez anytime goalscorer at 13/2 (bet365)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair

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Crystal Palace vs Man Utd

Can Crystal Palace cope with playing twice a week in league and Europe? Favourites for the Conference League but two defeats in four has seen them drop to 18th in the opening phase of that competition. Their top-flight form remains excellent as they sit fifth and just a point outside the Champions League spots.

Ruben Amorim

Manchester United come to town with no wins in three halted a mini-resurgence under Ruben Amorim. Despite playing against 10 men for the majority of the game and having 25 shots against Everton on Monday night, they couldn’t find a way past Jordan Pickford.

I’m not expecting a lack of goals here though, given eight of United's last 10 league games have seen OVER 2.5 GOALS coupled with the fact that at Selhurst Park, Palace have seen three or more goals in 10 of their last 18 Premier League games.

Score prediction: Palace 2-2 Man Utd


Aston Villa vs Wolves

New manager bounce anyone? Nah. We debunked that myth for this particular appointment last weekend and were rewarded with another Wolves defeat. Crystal Palace created by far the better chances and it was only late on when 2-0 down and chasing the game Wolves created a couple of decent chances.

It means they’ve now lost 10 of their last 12 league matches and have conceded at least twice in all of the last five. They’re rooted to the bottom of the table, nine points adrift of safety.

It doesn’t get any easier this weekend as they travel to in-form ASTON VILLA who have won six of their last seven league matches and 10 of their last 12 across all competitions. Villa are understandably big favourites at 1/2 but we can increase that to 7/10 by also backing OVER 1.5 GOALS given Wolves’ propensity to concede. No side has conceded more than their 27 goals this season (2.25 per game).

Score prediction: Aston Villa 2-0 Wolves


Nottingham Forest vs Brighton

Brighton are by far my favourite team to back in the Premier League when it comes to OVER 2.5 GOALS, yet we still get 2.5 goal lines. It’s madness but there’s no need to overthink why and just keep betting it. Eight of their last 10 have gone overs but further back it’s a staggering 21 of their last 27 league games (78%).

They’ve scored 19 goals already (just five fewer than top scorers Arsenal and Manchester City) and defence has been an issue under Fabian Hürzeler with only three clean sheets in their last 24 matches.

Sean Dyche’s Nottingham Forest have seen 13 goals in his first four league games and home fans will have fond memories of this fixture last season when they trounced Brighton 7-0.

Score prediction: Nottingham Forest 2-2 Brighton


West Ham vs Liverpool

Arne Slot

These are alarming times for Liverpool. They’ve lost six of their last seven in the Premier League, across all competitions it’s nine defeats in 12 and remarkably they have lost three successive matches by three or more goals.

The odds they’ve been beaten by read PSV 17/2, Nottingham Forest 6/1, Man City 10/11, Crystal Palace 11/8 (EFL Cup), Brentford 3/1, Man Utd 7/2, Chelsea 19/10, Galatasaray 4/1 and Crystal Palace 16/5. This gives us average odds of around 7/2 and with WEST HAM 10/3 this weekend it seems a no brainer.

Slow starts have been a real problem for Liverpool, with West Ham only 6/4 to score first and West Ham to score over 1.5 goals only 13/8. Given everything we know about Liverpool, if West Ham do score first and/or go on to get a second, it will likely result in a West Ham win.

Score prediction: West Ham 2-1 Liverpool


Chelsea vs Arsenal

Is this a title clash at Stamford Bridge on Sunday afternoon? Second hosts first as Chelsea look to cut the gap to just three points with victory. And both sides should feel confident after impressive midweek displays where the Blues put Barcelona to the sword and Arsenal took down the juggernaut that is Bayern Munich. It could be a great clash.

For me there is massive standout bet and that’s to back ENZO FERNANDEZ TO SCORE ANYTIME at 13/2. I’m a huge fan of this because it’s likely he’s on penalties with Cole Palmer still out, it’s likely he’s playing in a more advanced position as a #10 rather than an #8 and he’s already scored five goals in 14 starts this season.

Those goals have been no fluke, with the Argentine averaging over two shots per game with 1.44 coming inside the penalty area, showing he is now more adept at getting himself into good goalscoring positions. Two of his goals have been penalties and in the bigger games against Tottenham, Liverpool, Barcelona and Bayern, he’s been deployed as the #10, giving him a greater opportunity to find himself in the penalty area to score.

Arsenal will be without Gabriel once again and since April he’s missed 14 games across league and Europe - the Gunners have kept just three clean sheets. With 24 hours fewer rest having taken on Bayern, there could be an element of legginess in defence too.

Score prediction: Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal


Football betting tips: Premier League

Saturday 15:00

1pt Igor Thiago anytime goalscorer in Brentford vs Burnley at 11/10 (bet365, Sky Bet)

1pt Erling Haaland to score 2+ goals in Man City vs Leeds at 9/4 (Sky Bet)

1pt Over 2.5 goals in Sunderland vs Bournemouth at evens (bet365)

Saturday 17:30 - Everton vs Newcastle

1pt Tino Livramento to be shown a card at 15/2 (Sky Bet, Betfair, Paddy Power)

Saturday 20:00 - Tottenham vs Fulham

1pt Richarlison to be shown a card at 5/1 (bet365)

0.5pt Richarlison to score and be carded at 14/1 (bet365)


Brentford vs Burnley

A third defeat on the spin for Burnley has seen them drop into the relegation zone and second from bottom, with only hapless Wolves below them.

It should come as no surprise given their defence has shipped at least two goals in six of their last seven Premier League matches.

They’ve now conceded 24 goals in just 12 matches (2.0 per game) and statistically they have the worst defence in the league.

Igor Thiago and Keith Andrews
Igor Thiago has been in fine form for Brentford

They’re conceding the most shots (17.3 per game) and the most expected goals (27.82), so expect even more opposition players to find the net. Which brings me nicely onto Brentford’s main man and the Premier League’s second top scorer IGOR THIAGO.

He has nine goals in 12 games this season and looks a bet TO SCORE ANYTIME again at 11/10 given Brentford are only 6/10 to score over 1.5 goals.

Only Erling Haaland has more expected goals than Thiago, with the Norwegian also the sole figure to see more shots per game in the penalty area.

Score prediction: Brentford 2-0 Burnley


Man City vs Leeds

Five defeats in six has seen Leeds drop from 12th to the bottom three and the pressure is beginning to pile on manager Daniel Farke.

The defensive problems are underlined in the fact that Leeds have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven. A daunting task therefore awaits as they face the division's top scorer and arguably the best number nine in the world.

Haaland

ERLING HAALAND has 19 goals in only 16 starts across league and European outings this season, with 11 of those coming at the Etihad.

His team-mates create chances for fun with him averaging 4.2 shots per game, with a hefty 4.0 per game coming in the penalty area.

Such is City’s game plan to use their star striker that no player in Europe’s top five leagues has a higher goal contribution than his 58%, hence we can be bold and back him TO SCORE 2+ GOALS at 9/4.

Score prediction: Man City 3-0 Leeds


Sunderland vs Bournemouth

Sunderland have had a terrific start to the season and find themselves in the lofty heights of seventh in the Premier League table. There are signs that this is unsustainable however, with expected points ranking them 15th in comparison.

This is a result of their overachievement defensively, preventing over six more goals being conceded based on xG – the third highest in the league.

Bournemouth's games are always great for goals with only West Ham (40) seeing more than the Cherries' total of 39 (19 for, 20 against).

Six of their last seven have seen three or more goals and they have a fantastic away record when it comes to goals, with 20 of their last 25 away games since the beginning of last season returning OVER 2.5 winners (80%).

Score prediction: Sunderland 2-2 Bournemouth

Everton v Newcastle

Jack Grealish looks to be back to his best and could even be in World Cup contention with England next summer after being spotted chatting to Three Lions manager Thomas Tuchel following Everton’s victory at Old Trafford on Monday night.

Opposition are well aware of this with Grealish regularly targeted for rough treatment. He is the most fouled player in the Premier League with an average of 3.3 per game. To put that figure into context, the next-highest is Bruno Guimaraes at a modest 2.5.

It's no surprise that opposition full/wing-backs have been carded when coming up against him.

Direct opponents in Nordi Mukiele, Trai Hume, Daniel Munoz, Kyle Walker-Peters, Matty Cash and Mats Wieffer have all been booked this season and likely Newcastle right-back TINO LIVRAMENTO looks a huge price at 15/2 TO BE CARDED.

Score prediction: Everton 1-1 Newcastle

Tottenham vs Fulham

It’s now five defeats in nine for Tottenham across all competitions with tensions, understandably, rising.

At home, it’s just one win in five. It's a long way from the joyous mood of sitting third at the end of October as they now reside in ninth.

Richarlison

So I fancy getting a Spurs player onside at a big price for a booking and it just so happens RICHARLISON is their most carded player this season with six in just 13 starts under Thomas Frank.

Despite this, he is a whopping 5/1 TO BE CARDED.

He’s also Spurs’ top scorer alongside Micky van de Ven with six goals this season and has an outstanding record of 16 in his last 22 Premier League starts for Tottenham, so I'll back him TO SCORE ANYTIME alongside a caution.

Score prediction: Tottenham 2-1 Fulham


Saturday tips - odds correct at 1435 GMT (27/11/25)
Sunday tips - odds correct at 1335 GMT (28/11/25)

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