Michael Beardmore peruses the final Saturday 3pm fixture programme before Christmas to select the standout options for your accumulator, as well as picking out a best bet.
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- Saturday Seven Nap 21/22: +9.8pts profit | 12% return on investment
- Saturday Seven Nap 22/23: +5.9pts profit | 14.3% return on investment
Football betting tips: Saturday best bet
3pts Barnsley to beat Burton at 10/11 (General)
Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook
For a full list of postponed matches, click here
Michael Duff's BARNSLEY are Sky Bet League One’s form team, with six successive wins in league and FA Cup – and with games in hand on the three sides above them, they will harbour hopes of automatic promotion.
Third-bottom Burton could exit the division the other way. They’ve improved recently, losing just one of eight BUT seven of those have been at home – their away record (W1 D3 L6) is the third tier’s worst.
Two of the Sky Bet Championship’s big guns meet at Turf Moor as leaders BURNLEY host MIDDLESBROUGH and everything points to goals between two sides with the division’s joint highest BTTS rates (64%).
Boro have kept just one away clean sheet all season and their trips average 3.09 goals per game, while Burnley’s home matches average 3.00 goals a game so back BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE HERE.
Carlos Corberan has WEST BROMWICH ALBION climbing up the table after four successive wins and the Baggies should be one of the first teams you look to for a home banker.
They should be top six on Expected Goals stats, while visitors Rotherham should be bottom on such metrics and are beginning to struggle, losing five of their past eight, after a decent start results-wise.
Two of League One’s BTTS specialists meet at The Valley as CHARLTON host a BRISTOL ROVERS side whose away matches are averaging 3.30 goals per game.
The Addicks have netted in 80% of home matches, Rovers in 80% of away games but the pair have just nine clean sheets in 41 combined matches so this is another BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE selection.
PLYMOUTH have dipped slightly recently but that’s mostly due to a run of away games – at Home Park they have been imperious this season, winning nine of their 10 home league matches.
Bottom side Morecambe have won one in 15 and have lost six of their past nine away games, drawing the other three, so the second-placed Pilgrims can be backed with confidence.
LEYTON ORIENT are marching on at the top of Sky Bet League Two with six wins in their past seven games – and they have taken 25 points from a possible 30 at home (W8 D1 L1).
Visitors Sutton United sit 16th but their away form is poor (W1 D3 L6) and they have scored just seven times in those 10 journeys. At 17/20 in places, Orient were very close to Nap selection.
NOTE: THIS GAME - STOCKPORT V GILLINGHAM - HAS BEEN POSTPONED
Nine wins in 13 games mean STOCKPORT are one of League Two’s form sides, while the opposite can be said of visitors Gillingham, winless in nine and without an away league victory all season.
Odds correct at 1800 GMT (16/12/22) *Nap originally published quoting incorrect best price of 3/4
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