FA Cup best bets

FA Cup fourth round predictions, tips, best bets and previews


The FA Cup fourth round continues on Sunday, and our experts pick out their best bets from across the action.


Football betting tips: FA Cup

2pts Solly March anytime goalscorer in Brighton v Liverpool at 11/2 (William Hill)

1.5pts Stevenage win/draw v Stoke at 6/5 (General)

1pt Jayden Bogle to score anytime in Wrexham v Sheff Utd at 8/1 (bet365)

  • Selected tips only - read full match previews for all selections

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Stoke v Stevenage

James Cantrill (@JimmythePunt)

STEVENAGE came from behind in the third-round to stun Villa Park and make it eight seasons since Aston Villa have progressed to the fourth.

Aston Villa were in control until Leander Dendoncker was sent off in the 85th minute. Jamie Reid scored the resulting penalty and then Dean Campbell grabbed the winner in injury time.

With that victory, Steve Evans' side extended their unbeaten run to four games and have since taken four points from two games in the League Two.

Their most recent victory, a 3-0 victory over title rivals Leyton Orient moved them to within two points of the top of the division with a game in hand.

No doubt the Boro will want to build on their momentum and a trip to struggling Stoke provides an opportunity for another scalp.

The Potters have slumped to 18th in the table. Their emphatic victory over Reading in their most recent game was only their second one in the league since the restart.

Stevenage direct approach and stubborn low block could prove to be another fatal combination, backing them DOUBLE CHANCE is the bet here.

Score prediction: Stoke 1-2 Stevenage (Sky Bet odds: 14/1)

Odds correct at 1200 GMT (27/01/23)


Wrexham v Sheffield United

Read James Cantrill's (@JimmythePunt) full preview here

Wrexham's three FA Cup games so far have seen 15 goals scored, with this at least three scored in all three.

If they are going to stand a chance of progressing here, I imagine they will have to outscore the Blades.

If goals are going to be rife, I like the hefty price available for JAYDEN BOGLE to SCORE ANYTIME at 8/1. The wing-back has hit a real purple patch of late.

Bogle

In his three starts since returning from injury he has found the net three times, one coming in the last round of this competition and the other two in the following game.

Bogle should have extending his scoring streak to three games, he missed a 'big chance' (xG over 0.35) last Friday against Hull.

Score prediction: Wrexham 1-3 Sheffield United (Sky Bet odds: 12/1)

Odds correct at 1200 GMT (25/01/23)


Brighton v Liverpool

Read James Cantrill's (@JimmythePunt) full preview here

The emphatic nature of Brighton's most recent victory has seen the hosts' price tumble. Previously they went off at a shade under 2/1. As I write, Albion are generally 17/10.

Brighton racked up 16 shots that afternoon, nine of which hit the target, and generated an xG of 1.96.

SOLLY MARCH scored twice and I fancy him to be amongst the goals once more as Liverpool return to the south coast. Backing him to SCORE ANYTIME is the bet.

Perhaps because of the form of Kaoru Mitoma on the other side, March's own performances have flown somewhat under the radar.

Since De Zerbi took charge, his offensive output has spiked. Now operating as a fully-fledged right winger, the goals have begun to flow.

Solly March celebrates his goal against Everton

Over his last six appearances, March has had 16 shots, assisting three and scoring four. It should have been five as he blazed a 'big chance' (0.35 xG+) over the bar against Leicester on Saturday.

Brighton have scored 19 goals in their last six games, hitting three or more on four occasions.

Given Liverpool's defensive woes, Albion could run up another hefty scoreline here and March represents the best value in the goalscorer market.

Score prediction: Brighton 4-2 Liverpool (Sky Bet odds: 40/1)

Odds correct at 1300 GMT (25/01/23)

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