17:20 Catterick Sat 21 September 2019
Consistent since joining Iain Jardine, yet hasn't quite managed to force his head to the front; drops back in trip and it's possible that switch could hold the key, but equally he'll need some luck in running if dropped in from an inside berth.
23-race turf maiden (multiple AW scorer); reasonably attractively weighted on turf as a result (some 27lb lower than on synthetics); idled inside the final furlong when headed close home (third) at Musselburgh (7f) last week; place claims.
Running consistently well in recent weeks, with his Thirsk fourth (6f, good) to Buccaneers Vault representing a solid level of form for this grade; drawn wide and keeping on well when third to Sfumato here (6f) subsequently; a major player over 7f.
No win since July 2018, and has fallen to a 17lb lower mark; displayed plenty of early pace when an improved second to I Know How at Carlisle (6f, good to soft) ten days ago; first career start over 7f.
Let her previous form light years behind when scoring on handicap debut over 6f at Newcastle in January - now rated 5lb higher; entitled to be sharper for her comeback run (first start for 224 days) at that track a fortnight ago; possible.
Out of form since finishing third to Thornaby Nash (beaten 2½L) at Thirsk in April, slipping quickly down the weights as a result; cheekpieces (worn latest) are discarded; first start since recent wind surgery; watching brief.
Strongest at Carlisle, and a winner of back-to-back 6f handicaps there during July; has regularly fluffed the start since and that is of course detrimental to her chances; finished eighth (behind today's rival Exchequer) at Musselburgh last week.
C&D winner (July 2018); has at times flown the flag for Galashiels trainer Katie Scott, but also isn't the easiest of horses to predict; somewhat of a disappointment when finishing last of 11 at Musselburgh (7f, good to firm) last week.
Back to form with a solid performance over 6f here recently, finishing a closing second to Carlovian after meeting trouble in running; lowly-rated (competes off the same mark); of definite interest now returned to 7f; should be positively involved.
Broke his duck on turf at the 24th attempt when winning a 1m apprentices' handicap at Ripon (good to soft) in August; was nearest at the finish when placed over 7f at Musselburgh subsequently; competes off a 2lb higher mark from the widest draw.
5lb above her last winning mark (7f); given a forceful front-running ride by Luke Morris when run down late by the 50-1 shot Olaf in a 1m1f Lingfield claimer (good to firm) last month; the drop back to 7f looks to be a sensible approach.
Hasn't won since scoring over 6f (soft) here last October; 16lb lower in the weights and almost exploited that leniency under a positive ride from Harrison Shaw here (6f) 24 days ago - 1½L third to Someone Exciting; has won over 7f in the past.
Infrequent winner - sole success came in a 7f Redcar seller (good to firm) in June 2018; placed (never dangerous) off this career low mark on the AW at Wolverhampton (7f) six weeks ago; seems unlikely unless the market speaks positively.
Last Year's Winner
|T: E J AlstonJ: Theodore Ladd|
Eldelbar (4/1), Christmas Night (5/1), Mansfield (7/1), Tarnhelm (7/1), Ishebayorgrey (7/1), Suitcase 'n' Taxi (8/1), Exchequer (10/1), Paddy's Pursuit (12/1), Robben Rainbow (16/1), Lukoutoldmakezebak (16/1), Lady Lavinia (16/1), Scandinavian Lady (20/1), Vallarta (22/1), Seafaring Girl (33/1)
- Scandinavian Lady
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