19:30 Newcastle

Tuesday 17 September 2019

All17:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Nutshell Apps Handicap

Off time: 19:30 | Winning time: 1m 40.22s

(6)

Ghayadh^h²⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: P J McDonald| T: G Boughey| OR: 75| D

10/1

8lb lower than when winning a Class 4 handicap at Bath (1m, good to firm) last September; in poor form for Stuart Williams this year, and merely made late progress past beaten horses on debut for this trainer at Windsor.

Form: 606007

(3)

Tum Tum^p1³⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: T Eaves| T: M Herrington| OR: 74| CD

33/1

2lb higher than when making all to score over C&D in April; increasingly poor by the race since (7f-1m2f), hence the application of cheekpieces; return to Newcastle is considered a positive move; risky nevertheless.

Form: 261000

(7)

Pickett's Charge^p³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-6| J: Ben Robinson| T: B Ellison| OR: 71| CD

13/2

Won twice here in 2018 (7f-1m), including when landing a touch in the opening race of the 2018 Northumberland Plate Festival; in reasonable shape elsewhere since late July (2,3,1,3,3,8) and can't ever be swiftly dismissed at this track.

Form: 231338

(1)

Home Before Dusk^p¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: D Tudhope| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 69| CD

4/1

Set plenty to do by Joe Fanning when a never dangerous sixth over 1m2f here recently; a course winner (1m-1m2f) on the last two occasions that he has been partnered by Danny Tudhope; rates as a fairly obvious contender.

Form: 150216

(11)

Roller^p²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: A Mullen| T: D M Loughnane| OR: 69| CD

25/1

C&D maiden winner for Mick Easterby in December 2016; placed in a Chester claimer (7½f) in June, but 0-3 since joining Mark Loughnane; easing in the weights with few encouraging signs.

Form: 633650

(12)

Fiery Mission^t³⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Jim Crowley| T: Sir Michael Stoute| OR: 72

9/2

Noble Mission colt; half-brother to three winners, including the 1m2f-1m4f scorer Arch Fire; given connections, he's worth a market check on handicap debut, but essentially was disappointing in a Carlisle novice (1m1f, heavy) five weeks ago.

Form: 344

(5)

Insurplus¹⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: P Mathers| T: J S Goldie| OR: 68| CD

28/1

Newcastle regular, and a force to be reckoned with over this C&D; followed up a July Redcar win (1m, good) with a gritty short-head success here (7f) last month; 3lb higher, but is probably even more effective over tonight's trip; solid credentials.

Form: 088101

(10)

Armed¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: P Mulrennan| T: Phillip Makin| OR: 67

18/1

Nine-race maiden; unfortunately for his connections he appears to be regressive rather than progressive; finished weakly when last of ten at Beverley (7½f, good) 17 days ago; his record on an artificial surface stands at 0-1.

Form: 47-6890

(2)

Newmarket Warrior^p¹⁹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-2| J: Harrison Shaw⁽³⁾| T: I Jardine| OR: 67| CD

25/1

Course regular (three-time C&D winner) who ideally needs to be dropped in front on the line, or as near as possible; runner-up at Pontefract (1m) on his penultimate start; isn't getting any younger but will see plenty of action here this winter.

Form: 244627

(4)

Fitzrovia⁴²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: Barry McHugh| T: E De Giles| OR: 66| D

22/1

Mud-lark; won back-to-back races at Yarmouth (7f) and Nottingham (1m+) in June but has paid the price to the handicapper since; still 7lb above his last winning mark on his fourth career AW appearance (0-3 previously).

Form: 011096

(8)

Kentuckyconnection¹⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: G Lee| T: B Smart| OR: 66| C

12/1

Took advantage of an ease in grade (Class 6) when seeing off the reliable Scuzeme over 6f here in April; remains 3lb above that winning mark; unlucky in the run when sixth to Insurplus over 7f here latest; finished fifth in the 2016 2000 Guineas.

Form: 175656

(14)

Toro Dorado²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R Havlin| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 69

13/2

Just failed to catch Highfaluting in a 1m Class 5 handicap on Polytrack at Kempton four weeks ago; raised 3lb since, and on balance isn't the easiest to win with; has C&D previous with Home Before Dusk (first/second in June); place chance.

Form: 723102

(13)

Cameo Star^p¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: Sean Davis⁽³⁾| T: R A Fahey| OR: 62

10/1

Gained his second career win at Hamilton (6f, good to firm) in June 2018. Yet to score on AW but only beaten 1L when third to Castle Quarter (7f) here last month and posted a respectable third of 14 at Carlisle last time; respected from 1lb lower.

Form: 665533

Non-Runners

(9)

Tamkeen¹⁸

Weight: 9-7| Age: 4

T: Mrs R Carr J: J P Sullivan

Forecasts

Home Before Dusk (4/1), Fiery Mission (9/2), Toro Dorado (13/2), Pickett's Charge (13/2), Cameo Star (10/1), Ghayadh (10/1), Kentuckyconnection (12/1), Armed (18/1), Fitzrovia (22/1), Newmarket Warrior (25/1), Roller (25/1), Tamkeen (25/1), Insurplus (28/1), Tum Tum (33/1)

Fiery Mission will capture plenty of attention as a lightly-raced handicap debutant for Sir Michael Stoute, but even allowing for heavy ground being a contributory factor he was a disappointment in a Carlisle novice (1m1f) five weeks ago. Home Before Dusk and Toro Dorado have clashed previously, and with Danny Tudhope returning to the saddle (was set a very difficult task latest) the former makes more appeal. However, a more pertinent course form line (7f) saw INSURPLUS being a gritty short-head winner (Kentuckyconnection an unlucky in running sixth). The winner promises to be even better suited by a return to 1m and should comfortably cope with a 3lb rise.