17:30 Carlisle

Thursday 18 October 2018

All13:4014:1014:4515:1515:4516:2016:5517:30

smarkets.com EBF Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race

Off time: 17:30 | Winning time: 4m 18.20s

Cedar Valley¹⁸⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: R Johnson| T: P Hobbs & J White

13/8

Winner of a bumper over an extended 2m at Taunton (heavy) on debut in March, and not disgraced when ninth of 20 to Getaway Katie Mai in Listed Mares' bumper at Aintree subsequently. Gives the impression she will do well as stamina is drawn out.

Form: 19-

Kalifornia¹⁵²

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Andrew Tinkler| T: H D Daly| D

9/2

Needed debut at Southwell in April, and much improved when winning at Bangor following month. Sets the clear standard on that effort, although never simple conceding a penalty in such events.

Form: 7-1

Liz's Dream⁵⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 11-5| J: Aidan Coleman| T: R Brisland

50/1

Won bumper on Fontwell debut for Laura Mongan, and better effort since when runner-up for new yard at Stratford in August, although no match for easy winner. Others appear to have stronger claims again.

Form: 10-2

Ballela's Dream^t1

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Mr John Dixon⁽⁷⁾| T: J E Dixon

250/1

By Josr Algarhoud out of a point winner, and others have more attractive pedigrees for this sphere, while the fitting of a tongue tie also raises concerns.

Form:

Charlie's Lass⁶¹

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: D R Fox| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell

28/1

Dam won over 2m6f as a hurdler, and this daughter of Getaway shaped like a stayer when 16L third of 8 to Carrie des Champs in mares bumper at Perth in August.

Form: 3

Donnas Dream²⁰¹

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Liam Quinlan⁽⁷⁾| T: C Grant

66/1

Out of a half-sister to a couple of staying chasers and has looked as if in need of time and distance in a trio of bumpers to date. Others expected to have the legs of her again.

Form: 645-

Do The Fandango

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Callum Bewley| T: Mrs H O Graham

40/1

By Mahler out of an unraced half-sister to Thisthatandtother The Tother One and Carlingford Lough. Appeals very much on pedigree, and small yard is 1-3 in bumpers here in last five years.

Form:

Heather Song

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Paul O'Brien⁽⁵⁾| T: C E LongsdonWS

11/1

Kayf Tara half-sister to bumper winner/useful hurdler Jack Frost and fairly useful hurdler Pipe Banner. Yard has 40% record in bumpers here in last decade, and this well-bred filly has had a wind operation prior to this debut.

Form:

Mega Yeats¹⁷²

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Jamie Hamilton| T: Ruth Jefferson

7/1

From family of Betfair Chase winner Snoopy Loopy and won an Irish point-to-point in April before joining current yard for £60,000. One to bear in mind starting out under Rules.

Form: 1

Rashee⁶¹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-12| J: B S Hughes| T: S R B Crawford

16/1

Runners from this yard normally know their job first time, and this mare shaped well when fourth on debut at Kelso last November, Failed to improve for that when fifth at Perth in August, however, and vulnerable again.

Form: 4-5

Redbridge Gold²²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: G Sheehan| T: Jamie Snowden

8/1

Gold Well half-sister to bumper winner Cheyenne Girl. Got off the mark in Irish point-to-points at fourth attempt in March, and joined current yard for £30,000 subsequently. No easy task on Rules bow, but not without claims.

Form: P641-

Regarding Ruth¹⁷⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: L P Aspell| T: L Wadham

16/1

Showed ability when fair third of 12 on racecourse bow at Market Rasen in March, but she proved a disappointment at Towcester the following month, and probably one for the longer term given stamina in her pedigree.

Form: 39-

Shotgun Sally^t1¹⁷³

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: S Bowen| T: O Greenall & J Guerriero

25/1

Closely related to smart staying chaser Shotgun Paddy, and won an Irish point-to-point on sole outing between the flags in April. Should make her mark under Rules, but a tongue tie raises doubts, and she may need a stiffer test.

Form: 1-

Southeast Rose¹⁴⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Danny Cook| T: M Todhunter

100/1

Placed twice from four starts in Irish point-to-points, but that form looks modest at best, and others appear to have much stronger claims here.

Form: 6/3-P3

Splash The Cash¹³⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Sean Quinlan| T: J Candlish

40/1

Stoutly-bred Scorpion mare who was runner-up in an Irish mares maiden point-to-point in June, before joining current yard for £17,000 later in the summer. Yard 0-7 in bumpers since start of last season.

Form: 2

Watching Over⁴³

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Ross Chapman⁽³⁾| T: G Boanas

125/1

Schiaparelli filly who showed ability when fourth of seven at Southwell (good) on last month's bumper debut, but plenty more required in this deeper contest.

Form: 4

Forecasts

Cedar Valley (13/8), Kalifornia (9/2), Mega Yeats (7/1), Redbridge Gold (8/1), Heather Song (11/1), Regarding Ruth (16/1), Rashee (16/1), Shotgun Sally (25/1), Charlie's Lass (28/1), Splash The Cash (40/1), Do The Fandango (40/1), Liz's Dream (50/1), Donnas Dream (66/1), Southeast Rose (100/1), Watching Over (125/1), Ballela's Dream (250/1)

Cedar Valley appeals most of the penalised runners, largely because she seemed to be learning on the job last year, but it's never easy to concede weight in such events, and she may be vulnerable to a newcomer, with well-bred pair MEGA YEATS and Heather Song fitting the bill.