Billy Cundall is expecting Denmark to fall short to France and help Australia to scrape through the round of 16 for just the second time in their history on Tuesday night.
1pt France to win and under 2.5 goals at 3/1
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Scenario: Leaders France are already through but will want to beat Denmark on Tuesday to take top spot in style, although a draw would also keep them clear. Australia need to beat bottom side Peru and hope Denmark lose to France, and also need at least a two-goal swing in their favour.
Predictions
Despite France already securing qualification, there is still a lot to play for in Group C. Denmark will face Deschamp’s men which could see the Danes top the group, or conversely see them crash out of the tournament.
France came into the tournament full of promise; pace, power, depth were all in abundance, yet something seems to be missing. The likes of Kylian Mbappe, Ousmane Dembele, Thomas Lemar and Antoine Grizemann paint a star-studded picture, but it took France to turn to the less glamorous but arguably more effective Olivier Giroud in order to get the job done.
The Chelsea striker is usually heavily influential in France’s goal scoring trends, demonstrated by the fact that since March 2017 Giroud has been involved in more goals than any other player (11). He's 6/1 to be named FIFA Man of the Match which is worth considering even if his modus operandi doesn't always catch the eye.
Denmark haven’t been overly convincing themselves. A less than resounding win over a Peru side who deserved more papered over the cracks of a team overly reliant on Tottenham’s Christian Eriksen, whose subsequent goal against Australia was one of the best of the tournament so far.
With neither team bagging goals relentlessly, another low-scoring game certainly looks likely one way or another. France may be less inclined to settle for a draw and backing them to win a low-scoring game is the way to go.
Prediction: Denmark 0-2 France (Sky Bet odds: 8/1)
Best Bet: France to win and under 2.5 goals at 3/1
In arguably the biggest game of Australia’s recent history, a win over Peru could see them through to the round of 16 for only the second time. They need to dispatch Peru whilst hoping France beat Denmark in order to qualify, despite picking up just one point thus far. The group is tight and because of their draw in the previous game, Australia and Denmark will have to look at deeper permutations in order to progress.
Because of the close nature of the group, Australia will enter this make-or-break fixture knowing they need goals to trump Denmark on goal difference. Peru have performed valiantly and may have given all they can in the previous two trying to qualify. Perhaps Australia on the handicap at 11/2 (-1) will tempt some, although there must be concerns around their attacking capabilities.
Despite having nothing tangible to play for, Peru will be desperate to score their first goal of the tournament, and considering Australia haven’t kept a clean sheet yet the 5/1 that they win a game in which both teams score is another plausible option in a game where strong fancies are hard to come by.
Peru captain Jose Paolo Guerrero, 37, is surely participating in his last World Cup game and will be desperate to mark it with a goal. The Flamengo striker will likely burst out of the traps and is a decent option at 13/2 to score first.
Mile Jedinak has been Australia’s standout player so far, with the Aston Villa midfielder scoring both of their goals, and the Aussie captain will be pivotal if his team are to raise their game and collect their first victory in Russia.
Jedinak’s performance, and possibly another penalty opportunity, means that he could be heavily involved once more and he's closely considered in all markets, chiefly Man of the Match at 10/1.
Prediction: Australia 2-1 Peru (Sky Bet odds: 11/1)
Best Bet: Mile Jedinak Man of the Match at 10/1
Posted at 1300 BST on 25/06/18.