Liam Kelly selects his value bet of interest for the next round of Premier League fixtures in this week's Kelly Bet.
Football betting tips: The Kelly Bet
1.5pts Marc Guéhi to make 75 or more passes in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest at 19/20 (Ladbrokes)
Possession with Palace
Nottingham Forest are fairly happy to cede possession in always all circumstances in the Premier League this season, averaging just 37% of the ball across their seven Premier League games.
Indeed, Steve Cooper's side are yet to have more possession than their opposition in any league game and appear very happy with playing on the counter this term.
Forest might be even more inclined to invite Palace to break them down after news of Eberechi Eze's injury, an absence that makes the outcome of this game at Selhurst Park a little more difficult to predict.
It is easier to predict that Crystal Palace will be afforded the opportunity to hold most of the possession, and in that case, MARC GUÉHI TO MAKE 75 OR MORE PASSES makes appeal at a shade of odds-on.
Both Guéhi and Joachim Andersen are more than comfortable with the ball at their feet and should be the starting point for Roy Hodgson's side's attempts to break down a Forest block.
Palace don't really have a favoured side to play through, so the better odds for Guéhi over Andersen is the selection.
Game state is an obvious barrier to this kind of bet at times, but the key injuries Palace have from an attacking perspective gives credence to the idea that the hosts will struggle to score, adding to the confidence in the selection.
Odds correct at 2000 BST (05/10/23)
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