Paul Higham previews Sunday's Premier League action as Everton travel to Bournemouth and Watford host Arsenal as Quique Sanchez Flores returns as manager.
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Bournemouth v Everton
Vitality Stadium 2pm | Sky Sports PL
As we seen to say every season we can't really get a handle on either of these teams, who make flattering to deceive almost part of their mantra with some eye-catching wins usually mixed in with some below-par disappointments.
The Toffees had an entertaining win over Wolves to finish before the international break, while the Cherries were outclassed at Leicester and, aside form a win at Villa, they've failed to impress as yet.
Eddie Howe's side have conceded three in their last two games, and Everton, who finally found their scoring touch against Wolves and Bournemouth, are just the wide-open side that will help them keep that going.
Added to that is the fact that this game has a history of goals - having seen 31 in eight meetings between these two so and with some doubts still lingering over Everton, preference is to side with their being a few more goals at both ends.
Prediction: Bournemouth 2-3 Everton (Sky bet odds: 25/1)
Best bet: Over 3.5 goals 2/1
Bournemouth – Everton Opta stats
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in all four of their Premier League home games against Everton (W2 D2), their joint-best unbeaten home record against a side in the competition (also four vs Leicester).
- Everton have only kept one clean sheet in their eight Premier League meetings with Bournemouth (2-0 in January 2019), though they’ve also only failed to score in one of those matches (0-1 in September 2016).
- Of Premier League fixtures to be played at least eight times, only Blackburn v Nottingham Forest (4) and Liverpool v Norwich (4) have a higher goals-per-game ratio than Bournemouth v Everton (3.9 – 31 goals in 8 games).
- Richarlison has scored three goals in his last two Everton appearances in all competitions – as many as in his previous 16 games combined.
- Everton’s Moise Kean assisted Richarlison’s first goal against Wolves – the 19-year-old could become the first teenager to assist in consecutive Premier League appearances for the Toffees since Francis Jeffers in April 1999.
Watford v Arsenal
Vicarage Road - Sunday 4.30pm | Sky Sports PL
Alexandre Lacazette being out is a blow the Gunners could do without, but there shouldn’t be too much of a drop-off in their attacking threat given that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is still there and can now spearhead their attack.
The Gabon striker always looks more at home through the middle and it could actually benefit him to have a few games as a central striker, as there's no surprise to see him trading at a best price of 13/10 to score in this one.
Quique Sanchez Flores has returned as Watford boss, of course, and there's the new manager bounce effect to take hold at Vicarage Road, but on what we've seen so far there's no comparison between these two sides.
With shades of odds-against on the Gunners here there's no reason to try and get fancy when looking for a best bet.
Prediction: Watford 0-2 Arsenal (Sky Bet odds: 11/1)
Best bet: Arsenal to win at 21/20
Watford v Arsenal Opta stats
- Watford have lost five of their six Premier League home games against Arsenal, coming from behind to win the other 2-1 in October 2017.
- Arsenal have won their last three Premier League meetings with Watford, keeping a clean sheet each time. Indeed, Watford were the only side not to score against the Gunners in the Premier League last season.
- Arsenal have kept just nine clean sheets in 42 Premier League matches under Unai Emery but two of those were against Watford last season.
- Watford go into MD5 as one of two Premier League teams yet to win in 2019-20, along with Wolves (W0 D1 L3); the Hornets haven’t failed to win any of their opening five league matches of a season since 2011-12 in the Championship.
- Only Mohamed Salah (52) has been involved in more Premier League goals since Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s debut for Arsenal in February 2018 (44; 35 goals, 9 assists), with the Gabonese forward scoring the winner in Arsenal’s 1-0 win at Vicarage Road in 2018-19.
Follow Sporting Life on social media - find us on Facebook here or tweet @SportingLifeFC
Related football links
- Watch: Premier League MD4 highlights
- VAR view: From an ex-PL referee
- QUIZ: Premier League hat-tricks
- Would a 'Redzone' work for PL?
- Harry who? Meet Leicester's new star
- No Utd return for Van der Sar
- Champions League outright preview
- Back to school: Championship grades
- Star man for surprising Swans
- Super 6: Enter NOW!
- Fantasy Football: Pick your team now!
- Football results