Premier League betting tips: Previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs
Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.
Recommended bets
1pt Southampton in a draw no bet v Burnley at 11/10
1pt BTTS in Palace v Fulham at 4/5
1pt Wolves to score 2+ goals at 2/1
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
3pm fixtures
- Brighton and Hove Albion v Watford
- Burnley v Southampton
- Chelsea v Huddersfield Town
- Crystal Palace v Fulham
- Everton v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Brighton v Watford
A tough match to call at the Amex, but one where Glenn Murray can improve on his 10-goal tally this season.
The Seagulls forward, 35, had been on a barren run before scoring two in the defeat at Fulham on Tuesday evening and he urged his team-mates to bounce back on Saturday against the Hornets after surrendering their lead.
He told the club’s website: “Everyone reacts differently and no one is more disappointed than me, but I know that you can't dwell on things in the Premier League. It's about getting on the horse again and there's another three points up for grabs.”
Murray leads by example and has a great record in front of Brighton’s home fans with 70% of this term’s goals coming at the Amex.
His experience and know-how at this level can help Albion bounce back and get at least a point against the Hornets and he is available at a best price of 13/8 to find the back of the net anytime, Price Boosted by Sky Bet to open the scoring at 9/2.
Javi Gracia’s side were also victims of blowing a lead in midweek, with Tottenham coming back to win at Wembley to condemn Watford to their first defeat of the year. It’s a tough one to call, but Brighton are strong at home while Watford often find the back of the net, so a draw is predicted with Murray getting on the score sheet as the best option.
Score prediction: Brighton 1-1 Watford (Sky Bet odds: 9/2)
Best bet: Glenn Murray to score anytime at 13/8
Opta facts
- Brighton have won just one of their last eight league games against Watford (D3 L4), though it did come in this exact fixture in the Premier League last season.
- Watford are looking to complete a league double over Brighton for the first time since the 1973-74 season, when they competed in the third tier.
- Brighton have failed to score in their last two home games in all competitions (W0 D1 L1), last failing to find the net in three in a row at the Amex in January 2016.
- Brighton haven’t lost four consecutive league matches since December 2011 under Gus Poyet, while current boss Chris Hughton hasn’t done so since January 2013 when he was Norwich manager.
- Watford haven’t lost consecutive Premier League away games since a run of six between February-May 2018.
- Brighton have never lost a Premier League game in February (W2 D1), one of just two teams to be unbeaten in a single month in the competition’s history (Blackpool W2 D0 L0 in December).
- Brighton striker Glenn Murray has scored 10 Premier League goals in back-to-back seasons (12 in 2017-18, 10 in 2018-19) – he has found the net with 10 of his 17 shots on target this season.
- This will be Brighton manager Chris Hughton’s fifth home league meeting with Watford (P4 W3 D0 L1 previously), facing a different manager each time (Malky Mackay, Sean Dyche, Slavisa Jokanovic, Marco Silva and Javier Gracia).
- Watford defender Craig Cathcart has scored in consecutive Premier League games. He’d only scored in three of his previous 108 in the competition.
- This will be Watford manager Javier Gracia’s 39th Premier League game in charge of the Hornets, more than any other manager for the club in the competition.
Burnley v Southampton
Southampton have a great chance to move further clear of danger as they travel to another relegation rival in Burnley.
Ralph Hasenhuttl's men battled back from a goal down to earn a draw with Crystal Palace in midweek and they can continue their good run under the Austrian here.
The Saints are unbeaten in their last six in all competitions, while Burnley are winless in three in all competitions and still inconsistent at Turf Moor. They will need to dust themselves off after surrendering a two-goal lead on Tuesday, albeit at Manchester United.
Granted, they have won their last two Premier League matches at home, but they have failed to win seven of 11 there this season and they are there for the taking.
Hasenhuttl's relentless style can cause them problems, especially with the likes of Nathan Redmond and James Ward-Prowse flourishing under his management. The latter has scored in his last three Premier League appearances.
With a great 11/10 best price available on the visitors draw no bet, you have the insurance of the draw but there should be no issues here.
Score prediction: Burnley 0-1 Southampton (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)
Best bet: Southampton in a draw no bet at 11/10
Opta facts
- Burnley are unbeaten in five home league matches against Southampton (W3 D2 L0) since losing 2-3 in October 2007 in a Championship clash.
- Southampton have won just one of their nine top-flight visits to Turf Moor (D2 L6), a 1-0 win in March 1971 with Mick Channon scoring the winner.
- In this season’s reverse Premier League fixture between Burnley and Southampton, there were 34 shots in a 0-0 draw – only one game this season has seen more shots without a goal scored (Crystal Palace 0-0 Cardiff on Boxing Day, 40 shots).
- Only Manchester United (7) are on a current longer unbeaten run in the Premier League than Burnley (5, W3 D2).
- Burnley are winless in their last 13 Premier League games played in February (D6 L7) since winning their first ever such game in the month in 2010 (2-1 vs West Ham).
- Southampton have earned seven points from their last three Premier League away games (W2 D1 L0), as many as they had in their previous 10 on the road (W2 D1 L7).
- Burnley have conceded eight Premier League goals in the 90th minute of games this season, more than any other side. Only two teams have ever conceded more in a single season – Hull City x2 (9 in 2009-10, 10 in 2016-17) and Cardiff City (10 in 2013-14).
- Southampton forward Charlie Austin has scored four goals in his last four league starts against former side Burnley – during his league career, Austin has only scored more goals at Loftus Road (32 in 45 games) than Turf Moor (23 in 43).
- Since the start of last season, both Ashley Barnes and Chris Wood have scored 14 Premier League goals for Burnley, with Wood managing that tally in 18 fewer shots (74) than Barnes (92).
- Since the start of the 2016-17 season, Burnley have won 59% of their home Premier League games when Tom Heaton has started in goal (13/22), compared to just 30% without him (8/27).
- James Ward-Prowse has scored in each of his last three Premier League appearances for Southampton, having netted in just two of his last 46 in the competition.
Chelsea v Huddersfield Town
Chelsea are reeling after a shock 4-0 drubbing at Bournemouth in midweek, so can Huddersfield upset the odds here?
The Terriers are 18/1 to take all three points at Stamford Bridge and it would be some scalp in just a second Premier League game in charge for Jan Siewert. Despite a bit of disruption in West London, it is still difficult to see Town pulling off a shock result.
The Blues have not lost back-to-back games under Maurizio Sarri, but pressure is building after his criticism of players and some jeers from away fans at the Vitality on Wednesday.
Gonzalo Higuain is odds-on to score anytime on his first Premier League game in front of home fans, while Huddersfield (+2) on the handicap at 7/5 is a little tempting. With Chelsea needing to grind out a win and Town attempting to impress their new boss, it could be closer than you think.
But Huddersfield have been incredibly short of goals this season and you would expect the hosts to dominate possession and chances. Goals are expected and going odds-on with over 2.5 goals at 8/13 looks a good price to add to the accas.
Score prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Huddersfield (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)
Best bet: Over 2.5 total goals at 8/13
Opta facts
- Chelsea have lost just one of their last 16 matches against Huddersfield Town in all competitions (W11 D4), a 0-1 defeat in the League Cup third round in October 1999.
- In the top-flight, Huddersfield are winless in 10 matches against Chelsea (D4 L6) since winning 1-0 in October 1954.
- Chelsea haven’t lost any of their last 14 home league matches against ‘Town’ sides (W11 D3) since a 1-3 defeat to Luton Town in September 1986.
- Chelsea have failed to score in three of their last six home Premier League games, more than they had in their previous 21 combined in the competition (2).
- Chelsea are looking to avoid three consecutive Premier League defeats for the first time since November 2015.
- Huddersfield have won none of their 19 Premier League games against sides who aren’t newly-promoted to the division this season (W0 D3 L16), with their two wins coming against Fulham and Wolves.
- The side starting the day bottom have lost 11 of their last 12 away Premier League games against ‘big six’ sides, by an aggregate score of 3-36. The only exception was a West Brom victory against Man Utd at Old Trafford last season.
- Huddersfield striker Laurent Depoitre has scored both of Huddersfield’s Premier League goals against Chelsea, netting at the John Smith’s Stadium in December 2017 and Stamford Bridge in May 2018.
- The last permanent Huddersfield Town manager to win his first away league match in charge was Neil Warnock in August 1993, a 3-2 win at Rotherham United in the third tier.
- Chelsea’s Eden Hazard has had a hand in nine goals in his last seven Premier League appearances against sides starting the day bottom (5 goals, 4 assists).
- In 13 of the last 14 Premier League matches Huddersfield’s Jason Puncheon has started, the side he’s been playing for has failed to score (10 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Huddersfield).
Crystal Palace v Fulham
Crystal Palace will be without Wilfried Zaha on Saturday, but we all know how poorly the Eagles perform without their star man.
With their visitors on the back of a 4-2 comeback win over Brighton in midweek, that would point towards an away win at 3/1, 5/1 if you chuck in over 2.5 goals.
The preference though, is to avoid this as the Cottagers can be incredibly unpredictable under Claudio Ranieri. So too can Palace, who beat Tottenham in the FA Cup last week and Man City in the Premier League last month.
A market that catches the eye is both teams to score, available at just below evens, which seems a good price considering the records of both sides.
Palace have conceded 33 goals in 24 league games this season and could be without Cheikhou Kouyate and James Tomkins who picked up injuries in midweek.
Although Fulham's defence has improved under Ranieri, they still concede far too many, at least once in their last five outings, and should do so again here, so BTTS could be on the cards.
Score prediction: Crystal Palace 1-2 Fulham (Sky Bet odds: 12/1)
Best bet: BTTS at 4/5
Opta facts
- Crystal Palace haven’t hosted Fulham in the Premier League since October 2013, when the Cottagers won 4-1 in Ian Holloway’s final match in charge of Palace.
- Fulham have only lost one of their last 11 away league matches against Crystal Palace (W5 D5), losing 0-2 in a Premier League game in October 2004.
- Crystal Palace have won just four of their last 28 Premier League London derbies (D5 L19), with one of those in the reverse fixture against Fulham this season.
- Crystal Palace have won only two of their last 11 Premier League home games (D3 L6).
- Defeat here would see Fulham become the first team in top-flight history to lose eight consecutive London derby matches.
- Only Huddersfield (5) have scored fewer home goals than Crystal Palace in the Premier League this season (6). However, Fulham have shipped a league-high 30 away goals.
- Fulham manager Claudio Ranieri has won none of his last 20 away Premier League matches (W0 D6 L14), with his last victory back in April 2016 as Leicester manager at Sunderland; he has picked up one point from five away matches as Fulham manager (W0 D1 L4).
- Fulham boss Claudio Ranieri has won all three of his Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace, beating them twice in 2015-16 and once in 2016-17, all with Leicester City.
- Against Brighton, Fulham’s Ryan Babel registered his first assist in the Premier League since September 2009 (for Liverpool v West Ham), a gap of 3,419 days – the eighth biggest gap between assists and longest wait between assists since Danny Simpson in 2017 (3,465 days).
- Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored 20 Premier League goals (10 for Newcastle, 10 for Fulham), scoring five apiece under four different managers – Steve McClaren, Rafael Benitez, Slavisa Jokanovic and Claudio Ranieri.
Everton v Wolves
Looking at it on paper, this match could be entertaining between two sides competing to be best of the rest in the Premier League.
Everton got a much-needed win in midweek after their FA Cup defeat at Millwall days earlier saw a few questions raised about Marco Silva's position.
The Toffees triumphed 1-0 at Huddersfield, thanks to Richarlison's early goal, on a night where Wolves won 3-0 at home to West Ham.
Nuno Espirito Santo's men have impressively adapted to the top flight this season, as they currently sit seventh and have beaten Chelsea and Tottenham and drawn with Man City, Man United and Arsenal.
They have upped the ante against bigger teams and they can do that for the trip to Goodison, against a team that is in a period of vulnerability having only won four of their last 13 in all competitions.
Wolves are fancied to get a result here, so backing them to score two or more goals provides the insurance of a high-scoring draw. The 2/1 price is appealing considering they have scored at least two in five of their last seven games in all competitions.
Both teams like to play football and there should be plenty of goals with Wolves edging it.
Score prediction: Everton 1-2 Wolves (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)
Best bet: Wolves to score 2+ goals at 2/1
Opta facts
- Everton have lost just one of their last 14 home matches against Wolves in all competitions (W8 D5), a 2-3 defeat in September 1979 in a top-flight encounter.
- Five of the last seven Premier League meetings between Everton and Wolves have ended as draws, with the Toffees winning the other two in 2011.
- Everton have won 21 of their last 25 home matches in all competitions in February (D3 L1).
- Everton have won 18 of their last 21 home Premier League matches against newly-promoted teams (D2 L1), winning each of their last 10 in a row.
- Wolves have won 10 Premier League games this season – just one fewer than their highest tally in a single Premier League campaign, winning 11 in the 2010-11 season.
- Wolves are looking to score three or more goals in three consecutive top-flight matches for the first time since March 1980.
- Everton have won just one of their eight Premier League games this season against teams starting the day higher than them in the table (W1 D2 L5), losing the last four in a row.
- Against Huddersfield Town, Everton defender Lucas Digne became the 10th player to be sent off under Marco Silva in the Premier League – no manager has seen more players red carded since Silva’s first match in charge in January 2017.
- Wolves midfielder João Moutinho has registered four Premier League assists in 2019 – double the number of any other player.
- Everton striker Cenk Tosun has had a hand in four goals in six Premier League appearances against newly-promoted sides (3 goals, 1 assist).
Odds correct as of 1800 GMT on 31/01/18
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